gotta go with flipkens tommorow at + money

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  • Wulfman14
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-24-10
    • 8869

    #1
    gotta go with flipkens tommorow at + money
    the line was +140 at one point. now it is +105. venus hasnt played since the french open. been awhile for flipkens also , she played wimbledon though. went to the SF losing to eventual champion marion bartoli. flipkens obv doesnt have power on her side at 5'5 120 lbs but neither does ferrer or davydenko. venus will be rusty and i cant believe she isnt the underdog in this match. unfortunately i didnt pull the trigger until looking at stats so i got flipkens at +105.

    flipkens has 43 matches played this year vs . venus' 15. williams is still ranked 38th and has the skill to make this a tough match but it is my opinion that flipkens takes this one . 1 unit on flipkens. 1 unit for me is $100 dollars.
  • lucasdawg
    SBR MVP
    • 02-19-13
    • 3399

    #2
    like the pick i would tail but im not in the right situation to go for a dog, a pre good one too imo. cant trust the wta but BOL
    Comment
    • Hardcoar
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-17-13
      • 15606

      #3
      How can you not be in a right situation to go for a dog as opposed to a favorite?
      Comment
      • lucasdawg
        SBR MVP
        • 02-19-13
        • 3399

        #4
        i rather go with a favourite then risking it for a dog esp if its wta
        Comment
        • Hardcoar
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-17-13
          • 15606

          #5
          I see. I thought it was a bankroll issue, in which case you should simply lower your stake to win the same amount as usual.
          Comment
          • Wulfman14
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-24-10
            • 8869

            #6
            just as i suspected the odds for flipkens to win has been increased . it is now -105. now line movement doesnt mean much in tennis , but dont be surprised if flipkens is the fav come match time. venus hass not played since the french open. flipkens went to the semis in wimbledon. these are hard courts , a new surface for both for quite some time but the 34 year old venus , as illustrious career as she had, is winding down. im adding another 0.5 unit to this one even though its at -105 now.
            Comment
            • MagicDiceFlow
              SBR MVP
              • 01-15-12
              • 4585

              #7
              I'm on Flipkens as well. If you take a look at Williams previous matches, her fitness is questionable. She's been huffing and puffing out of shape after just a set. Flipkens knows how to win tough three set matches.
              Comment
              • OpinionatedPrime
                SBR Hustler
                • 08-04-13
                • 50

                #8
                +Flipkens
                Comment
                • killawookie
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-25-09
                  • 3457

                  #9
                  Venus rolls
                  Comment
                  • bald_guy
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-02-12
                    • 990

                    #10
                    Going to be a battle for sure. I got Venus on a 4 team parlay, but due to this thread just put a unit on Flipkens to win. Venus is getting a bit long in the tooth and looking at Flipkens picture scared me. Then on rank, Flipkens is higher.
                    Comment
                    • killawookie
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-25-09
                      • 3457

                      #11
                      Venus reminds me of Tiger Woods. They both either roll through an event and show they mean business. Or they look like they don't want to be there.. rather just making an appearance obligation. Obviously is going to be tough coin flip.. I just feel Venus being eliminated so early last tourney won't happen again in the Round of 128
                      Comment
                      • KushMoney
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 07-11-11
                        • 658

                        #12
                        Venus coming out STRONG.

                        Gonna take this one.


                        I'm all-in on Venus in her return match!!! Let's do it!
                        Comment
                        • bald_guy
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-02-12
                          • 990

                          #13
                          Originally posted by KushMoney
                          Venus coming out STRONG.

                          Gonna take this one for sure.
                          Looks like my fear was unfounded. When I looked at Flipkens picture she looked like an ATP player. LOL. O well, least will keep my parlay alive.
                          Comment
                          • killawookie
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-25-09
                            • 3457

                            #14
                            This being the WTA.. Flipkens might retire lol
                            Comment
                            • bald_guy
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-02-12
                              • 990

                              #15
                              Originally posted by killawookie
                              This being the WTA.. Flipkens might retire lol
                              She may as well, Williams is killing her. And not looking bad doing it either. Wish I didn't see this thread. But such is life.
                              Comment
                              • killawookie
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-25-09
                                • 3457

                                #16
                                Venus giving her a chance now.. girl cant play and Venus is over hitting EVERY shot
                                Comment
                                • MagicDiceFlow
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-15-12
                                  • 4585

                                  #17
                                  Don't forget guys, Kvitova has a very similar power game as Venus Williams and Flipkens found a way to beat her in three sets twice already this year. Taller power hitters will eventually get frustrated with Flipken's low slicing style because they can't develop rhythm into their shots, resulting into a lot of errors into the net.

                                  Venus is starting to look a bit tired now. Let's see if that fitness comes into play. Third set here we go.

                                  Comment
                                  • alexus110
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 08-01-13
                                    • 359

                                    #18
                                    What a match....
                                    Comment
                                    • killawookie
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-25-09
                                      • 3457

                                      #19
                                      Venus isn't even trying anymore.. How do you blank someone first set and just give up.
                                      Comment
                                      • killawookie
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-25-09
                                        • 3457

                                        #20
                                        Every Advantage Venus gets she just gives it back by not hustling... lazy

                                        Edit: She checked out.. peace all
                                        Comment
                                        • MagicDiceFlow
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-15-12
                                          • 4585

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by killawookie
                                          Every Advantage Venus gets she just gives it back by not hustling... lazy

                                          Edit: She checked out.. peace all
                                          Venus is tired, starting to gasp for air now. Flipkens is killing her with these slices, making her run around a lot.
                                          Comment
                                          • alexus110
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 08-01-13
                                            • 359

                                            #22
                                            Ok, I go on flipkens too, live betting now
                                            Comment
                                            • GoBlue77
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 03-20-11
                                              • 9166

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by KushMoney
                                              Venus coming out STRONG.

                                              Gonna take this one.


                                              I'm all-in on Venus in her return match!!! Let's do it!
                                              best to not tip your hand until the match is over. hope u really didnt go all in
                                              Comment
                                              • Laker_crazy
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 02-08-09
                                                • 9669

                                                #24
                                                At 0-5 down,some divine power intervenes for venus ?
                                                Comment
                                                • alexus110
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 08-01-13
                                                  • 359

                                                  #25
                                                  Guys, I never do WTA, but with your guidence I m quite succesfull. Big thank you guys for your help!!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MagicDiceFlow
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-15-12
                                                    • 4585

                                                    #26
                                                    Finesse beats power today ......cash it fellas.

                                                    Comment
                                                    • Wulfman14
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-24-10
                                                      • 8869

                                                      #27
                                                      was a nice win. i am not known much in the tennis forum. i usually peruse dont post much. was a nutty match for sure as are most WTA matches. i actually put another unit on flipkens right before the match. so i had 3 units on her. as MDF said she knows how to win tough three set matches (e.g against kvitova) but my main issue with venus was she has not played a WTA match since the end of may.

                                                      she was once one of the best but personally at the age of 34 i think she needs to hang it up now.
                                                      always liked her game though. the grass queen.

                                                      those that tailed me congrats . i dont often post my plays but i will try to do so once a week. more during the grand slams of course. gonna put 0.5 unit on wickmayer +6 at -105. i think she covers easily.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • MagicDiceFlow
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-15-12
                                                        • 4585

                                                        #28
                                                        Good job Wulfman. You nailed it right on point with her age and absence from play.

                                                        Great pick
                                                        Comment
                                                        • theballsflop
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-22-13
                                                          • 1483

                                                          #29
                                                          thanks wulf.

                                                          Kushmoney... lol.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bald_guy
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 11-02-12
                                                            • 990

                                                            #30
                                                            Job well done. When I left work last night (venus just got 6-0, set 1), I really thought she couldn't possible lose. Before I went into store, checked the iPhone and seen flipkens was putting up a tad bit of fight in 2nd set but still thought Venus had it under control. Got home, turned it on the net, figuring Venus would have already finished her off. Only had 1 game to go, and was shocked at the difference Venus looked at work vs at home. She was beat in more ways then one, just like you called it. You saved me a unit of money. Thanks.
                                                            Comment
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