Aussie Open Day 7 In-Game-Thread

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  • SBR Lou
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-02-07
    • 37863

    #1
    Aussie Open Day 7 In-Game-Thread
    Despite the public lambasting by some , and losing a good chunk of change on Ivanovic, I'm only down 5.6 units.

    YTD 26-20-1 -5.60

    Picks for today

    Del Potro -203
    vs M Cilic
    Risking 6.09 to win 3

    T Robredo +428
    vs Andy Roddick
    Risking 1 to win 4.28

    Jankovic -350
    vs Bartoli
    Risking 3.5 to win 1

    V. Zvonareva -168
    Risking 3.36 to win 2

    A. Cornet +390
    Risking .50 to win 1.95
  • HeeeHAWWWW
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 06-13-08
    • 5487

    #2
    Originally posted by CrazyLou

    T Robredo +428
    vs Andy Roddick
    Risking 1 to win 4.28


    Oooh, tasty! What's the thinking there? I've largely avoided both their matches so far (because they're both awful to watch!), but has RoboRod been playing particularly badly? Or Boredo particularly well?
    Comment
    • SBR Lou
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-02-07
      • 37863

      #3
      Originally posted by HeeeHAWWWW
      Oooh, tasty! What's the thinking there? I've largely avoided both their matches so far (because they're both awful to watch!), but has RoboRod been playing particularly badly? Or Boredo particularly well?
      Roddick has played quite well lately actually, almost too well. I think it's easy to forget, especially from looking at this line, how one dimensional he can be if he's not returning well and his opponents are holding serve. He also holds a 9-0 H2H against Tommy, which can be a bit disconcerting at first but they've only played twice in the last 4 years.

      Roddick has had flashes of greatness this tournament but if Robredo can stick to his guns, Roddick is not much more than a one trick pony, I'll take my chances at this incredible price that his serve will not be flawless and hope for a 76 64 67 75 outcome. This is still a surface that benefit Robredo's game as much as it does Andy's, and in fact Andy's game is better suited to the courts of US Open than down under in Australia.
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #4
        Not that I would tout taking Roddick at the price, but even though the price is "good" on Robredo, that seems like a wasted choice to me. A-Rod has beaten him on every surface. Not that Robredo isn't fully capable if Roddick has an off day, but you could say the same for anyone. This is another one where I think A-Rod has too much power, even though Robredo should give him a run in at least one set.
        Comment
        • HeeeHAWWWW
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 06-13-08
          • 5487

          #5
          On:

          Roddick 3-0, +119 pinnacle. Roddick even beat him in Rome, which just speaks to a fundamental massive matchup advantage

          Baghdatis 3-2, +1000 betcris: Only way Baghdatis wins, surely.
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #6
            I'm rooting for Marcos. Again another match that I won't get to see though because it's the late one and I shall be asleep by then. There's going to be a moderate upset somewhere in the 4th round I think. I really hope it's Baghdatis. I think Baghdatis, Cilic or Blake has a shot to be that surprise in this round. Just a feeling I had going into this thing.
            Comment
            • daggerkobe
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-25-08
              • 10744

              #7
              Chief Wiggum is currently destroying Barbaro.
              Comment
              • HeeeHAWWWW
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-13-08
                • 5487

                #8
                Del Potro is asleep :-)
                Comment
                • SBR Lou
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-02-07
                  • 37863

                  #9
                  Sexy Jankovic coming back.
                  Comment
                  • Tchocky
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-14-06
                    • 2371

                    #10
                    1. Robredo +6
                    2. Federer/Berdych - Under 32.5
                    3. Baghdatis +5.5
                    4. Petrova +186
                    5. Cornet +5
                    6. Dokic/Kleybanova - Over 21.5
                    7. Suarez Navarro -103
                    8. Blake +171
                    Comment
                    • SBR Lou
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-02-07
                      • 37863

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Tchocky
                      1. Robredo +6
                      2. Federer/Berdych - Under 32.5
                      3. Baghdatis +5.5
                      4. Petrova +186
                      5. Cornet +5
                      6. Dokic/Kleybanova - Over 21.5
                      7. Suarez Navarro -103
                      8. Blake +171
                      Incredible card.
                      Comment
                      • daggerkobe
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-25-08
                        • 10744

                        #12
                        RIP Barbaro II.

                        Chief Wiggum will be eating some horseburgers tonight!
                        Comment
                        • MilfDriller
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-23-08
                          • 10186

                          #13
                          GL bro, but no way Robredo is beating Roddick.
                          Comment
                          • SBR Lou
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-02-07
                            • 37863

                            #14
                            Jankovic facing double match points, good game Bartoli backers.
                            Comment
                            • Stacocakes
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-10-08
                              • 7126

                              #15
                              Down goes Jankovic. Match wasn't even close. JJ always finds a way to shit the bed in a major
                              Comment
                              • SBR Lou
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 08-02-07
                                • 37863

                                #16
                                Unbelievable. I can't believe I wrote so highly of the "world #1" in my article. Serena was right about this pretender.
                                Comment
                                • MilfDriller
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 11-23-08
                                  • 10186

                                  #17
                                  Bro, I'm serious. Robredo will do much worse than Jackoffvic. Arod will likely 3-0 roll him.

                                  Get your unit back or some of it by taking the other side on Arod.

                                  GL
                                  Comment
                                  • MadCapper
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-27-08
                                    • 4179

                                    #18
                                    CL,

                                    Im on Berdych +1075, Berdych +7.5 -135, OVER 32.5 games

                                    Ladies side...the two dogs..Petrova and Cornet.

                                    And tomorrow morning....DJOKOVIC as a -290 fav.
                                    My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                                    Comment
                                    • HeeeHAWWWW
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 06-13-08
                                      • 5487

                                      #19
                                      You were perplexed by the not-very-pretty-in-any-way-you-can-pin-down-but-still-strangely-very-hot factor? :-))

                                      I never bet women's tennis, probably just as well.
                                      Comment
                                      • MilfDriller
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 11-23-08
                                        • 10186

                                        #20
                                        MadC, Fed is going to ass rape Berdych.

                                        Bird is another mentally weak tennis player from the upper class. A shitload of talent, but just mentally weak. Fed will clean you on your bets.
                                        Comment
                                        • SBR Lou
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 08-02-07
                                          • 37863

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by HeeeHAWWWW
                                          You were perplexed by the not-very-pretty-in-any-way-you-can-pin-down-but-still-strangely-very-hot factor? :-))

                                          I never bet women's tennis, probably just as well.
                                          Betting and losing on Sexy Serbs is cheaper than hiring a mistress, either way it's financial domination but sometimes they win money for you.
                                          Comment
                                          • MadCapper
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-27-08
                                            • 4179

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by MilfDriller
                                            MadC, Fed is going to ass rape Berdych.

                                            Bird is another mentally weak tennis player from the upper class. A shitload of talent, but just mentally weak. Fed will clean you on your bets.
                                            Fed should. But I have a feeling he wont. I think Berdych has a chance (VERY SLIGHT) to get it done.
                                            My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                                            Comment
                                            • SBR Lou
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 08-02-07
                                              • 37863

                                              #23
                                              Riddle me this gentlemen, why are Russian WTA players the hottest ones alive?
                                              Comment
                                              • HeeeHAWWWW
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 06-13-08
                                                • 5487

                                                #24
                                                DelPot takes 2nd set. He was really passive till midway through this set, but then got annoyed at something and it's woken him up. Now the aggression is there, the deep flat shots are coming out, and Cilic is struggling - doesn't have time to get his swing in place, and he's not that good at half-volleying low flat hits near the baseline.

                                                Strangely enough for two 6'6 guys, serve isn't playing much of a part in the game. Cilic has the better serve normally, but was at 32% in the first set. Went up to 60% in the 2nd, and he lost that - this pretty much reflects that the game is a baseline slugfest most of the time.
                                                Comment
                                                • HeeeHAWWWW
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 06-13-08
                                                  • 5487

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by CrazyLou
                                                  Riddle me this gentlemen, why are Russian WTA players the hottest ones alive?
                                                  It's because they're all blonde and a bit dim.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MadCapper
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-27-08
                                                    • 4179

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by CrazyLou
                                                    Riddle me this gentlemen, why are Russian WTA players the hottest ones alive?
                                                    because 3 million try to make the tour. 3 of them are hottt.

                                                    10 are butt ugly.
                                                    My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                                                    Comment
                                                    • daggerkobe
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-25-08
                                                      • 10744

                                                      #27
                                                      I'd pick Safina and Kuznetsova over Mrs Ed.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • HeeeHAWWWW
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 06-13-08
                                                        • 5487

                                                        #28
                                                        ....and Delpot's level drops off again, all passive now, tons of errors.

                                                        Cilic has a miles superior winners:UEs ratio here, but somehow the match is dead level. That's probably cos of DelPot's superior matchplay instinct at this stage in their developments - he plays the big points more efficiently.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MilfDriller
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 11-23-08
                                                          • 10186

                                                          #29
                                                          JMDP will win the match. Just a question of time. This is destined for DP and Federated.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • HeeeHAWWWW
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 06-13-08
                                                            • 5487

                                                            #30
                                                            Yeah, agreed - he just has more in most aspects of the game, at least at present. In particular he's better on the defence, and at returning. Cilic only has a clear advantage in serve, and that's not working today.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MilfDriller
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 11-23-08
                                                              • 10186

                                                              #31
                                                              there's break. now serving for 2-1 sets lead. this will be done in 4 sets.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Netprofit
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-25-08
                                                                • 3538

                                                                #32
                                                                5-2, 40-15, but once a choker, forever a choker.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • daggerkobe
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-25-08
                                                                  • 10744

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Safina pulls another W out of her pussy.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SBR Lou
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 08-02-07
                                                                    • 37863

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Wow, Fed about to drop set one.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • HeeeHAWWWW
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 06-13-08
                                                                      • 5487

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Might be some fun to be had on the outright markets at the exchanges. If Fed is broken at any point in this set, his line will rocket.
                                                                      Comment
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