FOGNINI +110 will beat Almagro tomorrow........analysis and here's why:

kenz · 07-20-13, 05:51 AM

Originally posted by frugalgambler

Federer - Youzhny 16-0. By now, Youzhny should be pissing his pants every time he sees a picture of Roger. And there is no such thing as "due" factor.

Yes, there is a due factor, all mental. And I am 100% sure you did not watch Halle game. It was not a cakewalk for Federer.

By the way, Forza Fognini!!

Next stop is Federer

kenz · 07-20-13, 05:53 AM

Originally posted by theballsflop

I know its a bit premature, but what a matchup it'll be to see Fognini vs Delbonis. Both playing phenomenal tennis atm, assuming it does happens, anyone wanna offer their handicaps on this matchup?

I think Fog can beat Federer. Single handed BH players are weak against Fognini on clay, and Federer is not playing good tennis lately

kenz · 07-20-13, 05:54 AM

You need to hold Fognini

matt1216 · 07-20-13, 05:54 AM

Originally posted by theballsflop

I know its a bit premature, but what a matchup it'll be to see Fognini vs Delbonis. Both playing phenomenal tennis atm, assuming it does happens, anyone wanna offer their handicaps on this matchup?

Lol, roger isnt losing

theballsflop · 07-20-13, 05:54 AM

Yeah, just giving a hypothetical matchup. Obviously Federer is overwhelming favourite but I wont be shocked at all to see Delbs push him, possibly even take a set off him.

kenz · 07-20-13, 06:00 AM

Forza Fognini!

DoggyStyle · 07-20-13, 06:02 AM

Nice first set to Fogi...anyone watching the match? I feel its going to be a 3 setter but i hope Fogi takes it in straight sets!

MagicDiceFlow · 07-20-13, 06:03 AM

One set down , one to to go fellas!!

First set analysis:
The more you watch Fognini , the more you appreciate how well he defends. Several of those shots Almagro pounded hard and would have been out of the reach of a Monaco yet Fogs tracked them down. This guy is so money at the net too. Almagro's backhand also let him down on a few key points especially that one into the net at a crucial deuce.

theballsflop · 07-20-13, 06:04 AM

Yep, Fogs playing well. Almagro is a grinder but he can't stop Fogs blazing winners

theballsflop · 07-20-13, 06:05 AM

Almagro looks like he's giving up LOL

DoggyStyle · 07-20-13, 06:06 AM

Good to hear. I got a few units on Mr Fognini.

matt1216 · 07-20-13, 06:08 AM

First set shoulda been 6-1 fognini 0-40 services games time 2 for nico

kenz · 07-20-13, 06:13 AM

Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow

One set down , one to to go fellas!!

First set analysis:
The more you watch Fognini , the more you appreciate how well he defends. Several of those shots Almagro pounded hard and would have been out of the reach of a Monaco yet Fogs tracked them down. This guy is so money at the net too. Almagro's backhand also let him down on a few key points especially that one into the net at a crucial deuce.

Gasquet, Kohli in final in front of German crowd, Haas twice, now Almagro...

All single handed BH players who have trouble with Fognini's defence and compact game

I see 100% getting a set from fedex and probably winng the game too from Fognini. Fognini around @3-@4 is definitely value in the final.

What do you think?

MagicDiceFlow · 07-20-13, 06:17 AM

Originally posted by kenz

Gasquet, Kohli in final in front of German crowd, Haas twice, now Almagro...

All single handed BH players who have trouble with Fognini's defence and compact game

I see 100% getting a set from fedex and probably winng the game too from Fognini. Fognini around @3-@4 is definitely value in the final.

What do you think?

Fognini definitely has a chance against Fed. Far as betting goes, depends on the line. If books dare to hang Fed at -250 or higher, I'm pounding Fogs again.

matt1216 · 07-20-13, 06:18 AM

Originally posted by kenz

Gasquet, Kohli in final in front of German crowd, Haas twice, now Almagro...

All single handed BH players who have trouble with Fognini's defence and compact game

I see 100% getting a set from fedex and probably winng the game too from Fognini. Fognini around @3-@4 is definitely value in the final.

What do you think?

Dude i watched fed play Mayer, i was disgusted. The guy is barely getting by on clay.

frugalgambler · 07-20-13, 06:21 AM

Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow

Fognini definitely has a chance against Fed. Far as betting goes, depends on the line. If books dare to hang Fed at -250 or higher, I'm pounding Fogs again.

Way to get ahead of yourself. Almagro is far from finished. If anything, the body language really makes me worried. If this goes to the third, Almagro wins.

MagicDiceFlow · 07-20-13, 06:24 AM

Originally posted by frugalgambler

Way to get ahead of yourself. Almagro is far from finished. If anything, the body language really makes me worried. If this goes to the third, Almagro wins.

I'm not thinking ahead. This match is far from over. He was the one who brought up the scenario and what the odds would be.

kenz · 07-20-13, 06:31 AM

frugalgambler we are just talking about such matchup. I know I assumed who the finalists are, but this forum is for chatting. I respect you support Almagro too

theballsflop · 07-20-13, 06:31 AM

I'm actually impressed with Fognini's temperament. If anything, Almagro looks like he's the one about to get a stroke. If this does go to a 3rd set and books hang Fogs as a dog, pound that shit.

matt1216 · 07-20-13, 06:32 AM

Gotta love almagros war cry!! Fognini laughing lol

frugalgambler · 07-20-13, 06:33 AM

So mad I canot hedge this live in my book. 3-3 now in the second. Fognini looks like a lazy surfer dude who wants to be friends with his opponent and please the crowd. Almagro looks like a fighter trying to get the KO delivered. Gotta say Fognini is definitely very crafty player, but his body language really has me worried.

MagicDiceFlow · 07-20-13, 06:40 AM

Originally posted by frugalgambler

So mad I canot hedge this live in my book. 3-3 now in the second. Fognini looks like a lazy surfer dude who wants to be friends with his opponent and please the crowd. Almagro looks like a fighter trying to get the KO delivered. Gotta say Fognini is definitely very crafty player, but his body language really has me worried.

Why hedge out??? Fognini's already got you this far, let it ride.

theballsflop · 07-20-13, 06:41 AM

Fogs reminds me of Federer, so casual

kenz · 07-20-13, 06:44 AM

It wont be easy for Fabio to hold until tb. Last few games he saved so many break points

Forza Fabio!

matt1216 · 07-20-13, 06:45 AM

Originally posted by theballsflop

Fogs reminds me of Federer, so casual

Federer pissed me off yesterday. Its like he starts trying in the 3rd set of every match. Always kills my fed handicapp

frugalgambler · 07-20-13, 06:45 AM

Originally posted by theballsflop

Fogs reminds me of Federer, so casual

Eh, no. Feds always looks pretty pissed off when the match is not going this way. Fognini looks about the same after he breaks or after he gets broken.

frugalgambler · 07-20-13, 06:46 AM

Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow

Why hedge out??? Fognini's already got you this far, let it ride.

B/c I am sure Frognini will lose the 3rd set, and I like my money.

kenz · 07-20-13, 06:47 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

Federer pissed me off yesterday. Its like he starts trying in the 3rd set of every match. Always kills my fed handicapp

Always take + handicap in Federers games then

theballsflop · 07-20-13, 06:47 AM

Almagro always looks like he invented how to suck penis.

MagicDiceFlow · 07-20-13, 06:50 AM

Originally posted by theballsflop

Almagro always looks like he invented how to suck penis.

MagicDiceFlow · 07-20-13, 06:54 AM

Originally posted by frugalgambler

B/c I am sure Frognini will lose the 3rd set, and I like my money.

I don't believe in hedging out single bets. Big parlays , yes to guarantee profit but on single bets, I spent all that time to cap the match, let that sucka ride. Even if Almagro wins this set, I would much rather have my money resting on the racquet of Fognini.....clearly the better player.

kenz · 07-20-13, 06:59 AM

Forza!

frugalgambler · 07-20-13, 07:01 AM

Wow. Congrats MDF et al.

matt1216 · 07-20-13, 07:01 AM

Fck yeahh 1200$ swing for me!

face · 07-20-13, 07:02 AM

good call. fognini so much variety and change of speed in order to have time so defend, very impressive