Going fairly large on Mayr-Achleitner tomorrow in Austria @ PK

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  • tevari
    SBR MVP
    • 02-02-07
    • 4959

    #1
    Going fairly large on Mayr-Achleitner tomorrow in Austria @ PK
    440 to win 400. She only plays well around this time of year, in her native country. I watched her matches leading up to this QF against Svitolina, and I feel rather confident that she'll take it comfortably. Her cross court forehand has been good and she's winning over half of her points on second serve. Svitolina has had an easy run here so far (Slovak qualifier and Scheepers who's career is in a downward spiral), and is 2-4 in her last 6. GL if you tail.
  • tevari
    SBR MVP
    • 02-02-07
    • 4959

    #2
    Thank you for the point. I expect another after she pulls out the W.
    Comment
    • tevari
      SBR MVP
      • 02-02-07
      • 4959

      #3
      Last little tidbit: Starts around 7:45 AM EST.
      Comment
      • face
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-31-11
        • 14740

        #4
        yeah i have been watching svitolina and see nothing special, except that she is a fighter. tailing, but was going to play it anyway

        what do you think about the dodgers +150? nolasco is pretty good, and i think they can tire strasburg out in the heat and at least get him out of the game by the 6th or 7th inning
        Comment
        • Possum
          SBR Sharp
          • 03-29-12
          • 431

          #5
          Alright, Tevari--I am tailing for $300---I detest this WTA shit and I have no idea what these SBR points are good for, but you can have as many as you want if this play hits.
          Comment
          • tevari
            SBR MVP
            • 02-02-07
            • 4959

            #6
            I like it, though I'd only go small on it - Dodgers are pretty putrid on the road even as they are getting healthier. If anything on the MLB card tomorrow, I'd play Chen & Holland under 9.5 @ EV in Texas.
            Comment
            • tevari
              SBR MVP
              • 02-02-07
              • 4959

              #7
              Originally posted by Possum
              Alright, Tevari--I am tailing for $300---I detest this WTA shit and I have no idea what these SBR points are good for, but you can have as many as you want if this play hits.
              I really wouldn't advise you to tail if you don't know anything about WTA or follow their matches. Though I post to give insight & suggestions, I never endorse blind tailing. Perhaps tone it down to a couple hundy? If you locked it in however, we'll sweat it out together.
              Comment
              • pattymayo
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 05-19-09
                • 10221

                #8


                yes
                Comment
                • tevari
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-02-07
                  • 4959

                  #9
                  Looking at Baltimore's #s against lefties is what has me liking that play, and Holland has given up 0,1,2,2 runs in his last 4 games while pitching into the 7th inning or later. Chen himself was decently impressive in his first start off the DL. But, I misread the odds, the under 9.5 is @ -120.
                  Comment
                  • tevari
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-02-07
                    • 4959

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Possum
                    I have no idea what these SBR points are good for
                    Free coffee from Starbucks.
                    Comment
                    • Possum
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 03-29-12
                      • 431

                      #11
                      Originally posted by tevari
                      I really wouldn't advise you to tail if you don't know anything about WTA or follow their matches. Though I post to give insight & suggestions, I never endorse blind tailing. Perhaps tone it down to a couple hundy? If you locked it in however, we'll sweat it out together.
                      I stay familiar with the games of the top 20 and the looks of those who are hot--I miss Gisela Dulko-- but that's about it as far as WTA is concerned. I do know that you are familiar with the majority of them and I respect your opinion. I am locked in and I understand that its completely my responsibility so no sweat either way. Good luck.
                      Comment
                      • tevari
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-02-07
                        • 4959

                        #12
                        Good. If it makes you feel any better, this is a fairly large play for me and it's not without rhyme or reason. I believe our tickets will cash.
                        Comment
                        • ohumad
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-19-12
                          • 2298

                          #13
                          Originally posted by tevari
                          Thank you for the point. I expect another after she pulls out the W.
                          Originally posted by pattymayo


                          yes
                          lol!

                          Svitolina does have the better "resume" as she's better ranked. I was thinking your girl wouldn't have the consistency to finish her. PMA's win over Martic is more impressive though and she has had a few good matches against some big names within the last year.
                          There's a couple bets now that I'm on that have strong leans against on the board. Time to look over them again
                          Comment
                          • tevari
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-02-07
                            • 4959

                            #14
                            Svitolina will have the better career, but I'm 1000000% sure we get a max effort from the Austrian tomorrow. She's significantly older with much more experience, and I feel just wants to be in the semis much more. From a skills standpoint, I also give PMA the edge, especially on return of serve.
                            Comment
                            • frugalgambler
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-30-13
                              • 3418

                              #15
                              The austrian chick has only 2-3 years of her career left, and she has never won a WTA title. She has a real chance here and now, maybe her last one. So I like this bet, but given that this is WTA I am going with only 1.5u on it. GL.
                              Comment
                              • frugalgambler
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-30-13
                                • 3418

                                #16
                                Originally posted by frugalgambler
                                The austrian chick has only 2-3 years of her career left, and she has never won a WTA title. She has a real chance here and now, maybe her last one. So I like this bet, but given that this is WTA I am going with only 1.5u on it. GL.
                                You know who I also like in that tourney is A. Rus ML at +350. I have not idea how Mouseburger can be a -400 favorite here.
                                Comment
                                • leetreaper
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 10-23-10
                                  • 34841

                                  #17
                                  0-2 in split seconds...
                                  Comment
                                  • leetreaper
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 10-23-10
                                    • 34841

                                    #18
                                    Comment
                                    • leetreaper
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 10-23-10
                                      • 34841

                                      #19
                                      Hopefully she keeps it close at least to make this interesting...
                                      Comment
                                      • leetreaper
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 10-23-10
                                        • 34841

                                        #20
                                        3 advantages on a deuce and still can't finish it
                                        Comment
                                        • pattymayo
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-19-09
                                          • 10221

                                          #21
                                          Take it easy leet were four games in
                                          Comment
                                          • face
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-31-11
                                            • 14740

                                            #22
                                            hate this match, cannot watch
                                            wish svitolina would mess up sometimes
                                            Comment
                                            • leetreaper
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 10-23-10
                                              • 34841

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by pattymayo
                                              Take it easy leet were four games in
                                              Comment
                                              • tevari
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-02-07
                                                • 4959

                                                #24
                                                if you think one break of serve in a wta match is significant, well....i don't know what to say
                                                Comment
                                                • leetreaper
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 10-23-10
                                                  • 34841

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by tevari
                                                  if you think one break of serve in a wta match is significant, well....i don't know what to say
                                                  It usually starts with one, but if you can't get any, you see the result afterwards...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • GoBlue77
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 03-20-11
                                                    • 9166

                                                    #26
                                                    Not looking good for you guys early. Hopefully the old vet steps it up
                                                    Comment
                                                    • leetreaper
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 10-23-10
                                                      • 34841

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by GoBlue77
                                                      Not looking good for you guys early. Hopefully the old vet steps it up
                                                      It was done after 0-2 start you could tell...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • face
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-31-11
                                                        • 14740

                                                        #28
                                                        yeah you could tell. i could tell at least. fuk
                                                        Comment
                                                        • tevari
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-02-07
                                                          • 4959

                                                          #29
                                                          this match is over. she's tanking. surprising result for me, honestly. apologies to you folks who tailed.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • leetreaper
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 10-23-10
                                                            • 34841

                                                            #30
                                                            Serious question to OP, no BS: What possessed you to make this your best best which is clearly a pure domination from the Ukrainian player?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • tevari
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-02-07
                                                              • 4959

                                                              #31
                                                              Watching both their previous matches, Mayr's penchant for playing in Austria. She beat Lisicki and has had some other big scalps on this surface as well.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • leetreaper
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 10-23-10
                                                                • 34841

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by tevari
                                                                Watching both their previous matches, Mayr's penchant for playing in Austria. She beat Lisicki and has had some other big scalps on this surface as well.
                                                                Ok, gl with the next one.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • tevari
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-02-07
                                                                  • 4959

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I feel terrible for posting this pick, but in hindsight I did feel very strongly about it.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pattymayo
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 05-19-09
                                                                    • 10221

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Ouch
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • face
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-31-11
                                                                      • 14740

                                                                      #35
                                                                      don't sweat it tevari, it's the thought that counts, i've definitely tailed some winners of yours too
                                                                      Comment
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