Not Novak in 3 sets

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  • TheMLBKing
    SBR MVP
    • 04-20-13
    • 1129

    #1
    Not Novak in 3 sets
    Need this prop to hit to complete a nice 12 teamer. Should I consider hedging beforehand? Or are we confident that this goes at least 4?
  • tevari
    SBR MVP
    • 02-02-07
    • 4959

    #2
    i'd feel supremely confident in not hedging, but stranger things have happened
    Comment
    • secret007
      SBR MVP
      • 01-12-09
      • 1786

      #3
      Murray should be able to get at least 1, but you never know.
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #4
        I still always preach that when you are at the end of a long parlay, you owe yourself a hedge. You did great work to get to that point, don't blow it by thinking your final bet is full proof. Murray could roll his ankle in the first game and limp through three sets for all we know.
        Comment
        • Jayvegas420
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 03-09-11
          • 28213

          #5
          The tail end of your parlay must be about -600.
          You wouldn't have to hedge much to get the inverse of your final pick.
          hedging would be a no brainer here unless the other 11 legs are all -600, -700 as well.
          Comment
          • Pinocchio
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 06-26-11
            • 569

            #6
            You should have bet not Murray in three.

            I think Djokovic will win this in fewer than five sets, and I think the first challenge of the match will be unsuccessful (1.333 on Pinnacle).
            Comment
            • Noleafclover
              SBR MVP
              • 06-06-13
              • 1349

              #7
              Originally posted by Pinocchio
              I think the first challenge of the match will be unsuccessful (1.333 on Pinnacle).
              Total games: EVENS (-120) or ODDS (-120)?
              Comment
              • Domestic
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-10-09
                • 6323

                #8
                I'd hedge live if you feel the need and have the ability to at your book, but for now let it ride and good luck.
                Comment
                • animalambulance
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 07-07-13
                  • 1

                  #9
                  Murray will be trying his heart out and the crowd will be rooting for him so I can see this going all the way to set 5 UNLESS there is an injury that cuts the play short.As a Brit who lives 5km away from SW19 I can tell you that almost all of us British people would be delighted for him to win BUT how often do dreams really come true?You're safe on a 4 set minimum in my opinion as the crowd support alone is worth a set to Murray and he may even manage to get another on his own merit.MY Prediction Murray loses 3 sets to 2 !!
                  Comment
                  • Hardcoar
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-17-13
                    • 15606

                    #10
                    I think if Djokobo were to win, he'd most likely do so 3-1. I can't see him getting away with three straight, and if we head into a marathon fiver, Murray surely has the edge after Djokobo–Po'Mo and with the crowd support.
                    Comment
                    • allin1
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-07-11
                      • 4555

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Hardcoar
                      I think if Djokobo were to win, he'd most likely do so 3-1. I can't see him getting away with three straight, and if we head into a marathon fiver, Murray surely has the edge after Djokobo–Po'Mo and with the crowd support.
                      djoko 3-1 and murray 3-2 it is then
                      Comment
                      • Hardcoar
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-17-13
                        • 15606

                        #12
                        Or Murray any which way, but obviously Djokobo is unlikely to be set free.
                        ........................................ ........................................ .... ^
                        Comment
                        • BennyBigNuts
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-16-12
                          • 8700

                          #13
                          Biggest phony homo fake tout on this site.
                          Nothing but 48 teamers on the last leg all the time.
                          Never posted a pick before it started.

                          Comment
                          • allin1
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-07-11
                            • 4555

                            #14
                            I have decided to bet on 4 sets
                            Comment
                            • TheMLBKing
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-20-13
                              • 1129

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Jayvegas420
                              The tail end of your parlay must be about -600.
                              You wouldn't have to hedge much to get the inverse of your final pick.
                              hedging would be a no brainer here unless the other 11 legs are all -600, -700 as well.
                              I actually overslept and forgot to hedge but it looks like I made the right choice.

                              Pending 12 Team Parlay
                              Win 7/6/13 2:15pm International Basketball 1023 USA (U-19) -16 -530* vs Lithuania (U-19)
                              Cancelled 7/6/13 2:15pm MLB Baseball 901 Miami Marlins/St. Louis Cardinals Under 9 -169* (N Eovaldi - R must Start J Kelly - R must Start)
                              Win 7/6/13 4:05pm MLB Baseball 904 Chicago Cubs +2½ -235* vs Pittsburgh Pirates (C Morton - R must Start E Jackson - R must Start)
                              Win 7/6/13 1:05pm MLB Baseball 915 Baltimore Orioles +1½ -200* vs New York Yankees (C Tillman - R must Start A Pettitte - L must Start)
                              Win 7/6/13 1:05pm MLB Baseball 917 Minnesota Twins +2½ -190* vs Toronto Blue Jays (M Pelfrey - R must Start R Dickey - R must Start)
                              Win 7/6/13 2:10pm MLB Baseball 920 Kansas City Royals +2½ -300* vs Oakland Athletics (J Parker - R must Start E Santana - R must Start)
                              Win 7/6/13 7:15pm MLB Baseball 924 Tampa Bay Rays +2½ -360* vs Chicago White Sox (C Sale - L must Start M Moore - L must Start)
                              Win 7/6/13 4:10pm MLB Baseball 930 Cincinnati Reds -1 -168* vs Seattle Mariners (J Bonderman - R must Start M Latos - R must Start)
                              7/6/13 11:52am Win 7/6/13 12:00pm International Basketball 1022 Australia (U-19) +17½ -580* vs Serbia (U-19)
                              7/6/13 4:24pm Pending 7/7/13 9:00am Props Tennis 134 Not N.Djokovic In 3 Sets -380* vs N.Djokovic Wins 3-0
                              7/6/13 4:32pm Win 7/6/13 11:10pm Aussie Rules Other Sports 913 Sydney Swans -3000* vs Melbourne Demons
                              7/6/13 4:32pm Win 7/7/13 1:10am Aussie Rules Other Sports 916 Fremantle Dockers -1400* vs St Kilda Saints
                              Comment
                              • TheMLBKing
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-20-13
                                • 1129

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Pinocchio
                                You should have bet not Murray in three.

                                I think Djokovic will win this in fewer than five sets, and I think the first challenge of the match will be unsuccessful (1.333 on Pinnacle).
                                so I could lose? lol
                                Comment
                                • TheMLBKing
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-20-13
                                  • 1129

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                  Biggest phony homo fake tout on this site.
                                  Nothing but 48 teamers on the last leg all the time.
                                  Never posted a pick before it started.

                                  you keep saying this....but I've never once even suggested going tout or anything of the nature. I'm not sure that word means what you think it means. Conclusion: butthurt knicks fan is butthurt. Enjoy another decade of mediocrity.
                                  Comment
                                  • Jayvegas420
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 03-09-11
                                    • 28213

                                    #18
                                    Benny's new ghost is having a hard time lately.
                                    Just leave him alone.
                                    He'll get the point!
                                    Comment
                                    • BennyBigNuts
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-16-12
                                      • 8700

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Jayvegas420
                                      Benny's new ghost is having a hard time lately.
                                      Just leave him alone.
                                      He'll get the point!

                                      New ghost? WTF are you talking about?
                                      I would never post -12000 bullshit like this dumbfuk
                                      Get educated.
                                      ALL I DO IS WIN.
                                      This guy has never posted a winner in his life unless the line was -10000 or higher lol.
                                      Comment
                                      • TheMLBKing
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-20-13
                                        • 1129

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                        New ghost? WTF are you talking about?
                                        I would never post -12000 bullshit like this dumbfuk
                                        Get educated.
                                        ALL I DO IS WIN.
                                        This guy has never posted a winner in his life unless the line was -10000 or higher lol.
                                        didn't you just post about how MLB killed you this past weekend? And can you tell me which of these lines is -10000? Thanks.

                                        Win 12 Team Parlay
                                        Win 7/6/13 2:15pm International Basketball 1023 USA (U-19) -16 -530* vs Lithuania (U-19)
                                        Cancelled 7/6/13 2:15pm MLB Baseball 901 Miami Marlins/St. Louis Cardinals Under 9 -169* (N Eovaldi - R must Start J Kelly - R must Start)
                                        Win 7/6/13 4:05pm MLB Baseball 904 Chicago Cubs +2½ -235* vs Pittsburgh Pirates (C Morton - R must Start E Jackson - R must Start)
                                        Win 7/6/13 1:05pm MLB Baseball 915 Baltimore Orioles +1½ -200* vs New York Yankees (C Tillman - R must Start A Pettitte - L must Start)
                                        Win 7/6/13 1:05pm MLB Baseball 917 Minnesota Twins +2½ -190* vs Toronto Blue Jays (M Pelfrey - R must Start R Dickey - R must Start)
                                        Win 7/6/13 2:10pm MLB Baseball 920 Kansas City Royals +2½ -300* vs Oakland Athletics (J Parker - R must Start E Santana - R must Start)
                                        Win 7/6/13 7:15pm MLB Baseball 924 Tampa Bay Rays +2½ -360* vs Chicago White Sox (C Sale - L must Start M Moore - L must Start)
                                        Win 7/6/13 4:10pm MLB Baseball 930 Cincinnati Reds -1 -168* vs Seattle Mariners (J Bonderman - R must Start M Latos - R must Start)
                                        7/6/13 11:52am Win 7/6/13 12:00pm International Basketball 1022 Australia (U-19) +17½ -580* vs Serbia (U-19)
                                        7/6/13 4:24pm Win 7/7/13 9:00am Props Tennis 134 Not N.Djokovic In 3 Sets -380* vs N.Djokovic Wins 3-0
                                        7/6/13 4:32pm Win 7/6/13 11:10pm Aussie Rules Other Sports 913 Sydney Swans -3000* vs Melbourne Demons
                                        7/6/13 4:32pm Win 7/7/13 1:10am Aussie Rules Other Sports 916 Fremantle Dockers -1400* vs St Kilda Saints
                                        Comment
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