Kanepi vs Robson, et al

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  • Pinocchio
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 06-26-11
    • 569

    #1
    Kanepi vs Robson, et al
    I like Kanepi to beat Robson here. Kanepi -2 at greater than even odds is perhaps a better option, as when Robson loses she usually loses in straights.

    However, when Kanepi loses, she also loses in straights, which means...

    ...if Kanepi wins the first set (or has a large enough lead in it), it would make sense to additionally bet Kanepi LIVE to win the second set as well. Or alternately, take Kanepi ML then if she wins the first set, take her to also cover the spread.

    Other than that I am considering Lisicki +7. I know Lisicki will win more games in the second set than in the first if she doesn't win too many in the first, but if she does, +7 should be safe. If Lisicki happens to win the first set, I do not think she will win the second, so at that point in time the over (total games) could be a decent bet, provided the total would be no greater than around 16 games + first set games total.

    Also under consideration for me is Haas +2.5 sets. I think he can win a set at the very least. I will most likely parlay him with the above two suggestions...

    Haas +2.5 sets
    Lisicki +7
    Kanepi -2

    ...for a respectable 7.5x potential profit.
  • frugalgambler
    SBR MVP
    • 05-30-13
    • 3418

    #2
    Kanepi is not known to be mentally strong. Playing in front of a fairly hostile crowd might make her lose it. I still think Williams will just plow through Lisicki 6-2 6-1 style. Haas is probably a good bet, he should be able to take a set from Djoker.
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    • Diesel79
      SBR MVP
      • 11-27-08
      • 1001

      #3
      I read Kanepi interview yesterday and she said that she actually enjoys playing when crowd is against her... no pressure at all. I think its Kanepi 2-0 win here
      Comment
      • MagicDiceFlow
        SBR MVP
        • 01-15-12
        • 4585

        #4
        That's a nice parlay but why risk the -2 games on Kanepi, just take her straight up in the parlay. You still get about 6x payout which is nice and you dont have to sweat it just in case it goes three sets.
        Comment
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