Ferrer has a bad ancle!!!

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  • Boxing Champ
    SBR MVP
    • 03-11-11
    • 3358

    #1
    Ferrer has a bad ancle!!!
    Odds for Bautista-Agut to beat Ferrer dropped from +850 to +550.

    I'm gonna lay couple of Units on Bautista to WIN..
    Anyone with me???
  • Demonata
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 07-12-11
    • 25829

    #2
    Me.
    Comment
    • Hardcoar
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-17-13
      • 15606

      #3
      This is an archetype sucker bet. You said it yourself: He's possibly affected by an injury so the odds HAVE GONE DOWN from +850 to +550 (crazy American odds).

      Why would you make the bet when the odds have turned to shit!? :S

      P.S. This entire post assumes you're misusing the word "lay" which I'm assuming you are.
      Comment
      • pazim
        SBR Sharp
        • 02-09-10
        • 316

        #4
        I didn't like the way he played his last match. Ankle will hurt him, because he relies on his speed more than power.
        Comment
        • Boxing Champ
          SBR MVP
          • 03-11-11
          • 3358

          #5
          WOW
          Comment
          • Boxing Champ
            SBR MVP
            • 03-11-11
            • 3358

            #6
            Originally posted by Hardcoar
            This is an archetype sucker bet. You said it yourself: He's possibly affected by an injury so the odds HAVE GONE DOWN from +850 to +550 (crazy American odds).

            Why would you make the bet when the odds have turned to shit!? :S

            P.S. This entire post assumes you're misusing the word "lay" which I'm assuming you are.
            What's wrong with you bro??
            Is 5-1 not good enough for you anymore???
            You only bet 8-1 and higher??
            Comment
            • horja1
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-13-11
              • 5646

              #7
              +650 at Matchbook
              Comment
              • Hardcoar
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-17-13
                • 15606

                #8
                Originally posted by Boxing Champ
                What's wrong with you bro??
                Is 5-1 not good enough for you anymore???
                You only bet 8-1 and higher??
                What's wrong with you bro??
                Is 7-1 not better than 5-1??
                You only bet when the odds are the worst??
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #9
                  Considering he hurt it fairly early in that match and then rolled late, doesn't seem like it hindered him much. Also might be getting extra rest as the rain likely means they aren't getting much in today and tomorrow calls for showers off and on too.
                  Comment
                  • Hardcoar
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-17-13
                    • 15606

                    #10
                    "Rolled late" as in performed and won convincingly towards the latter stages of the match?
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #11
                      Yes sir.
                      Comment
                      • Hardcoar
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-17-13
                        • 15606

                        #12
                        Getting a bit worried about our Quarter bets since DAVIIIIIIIID's last match but hopefully he's still got it. I mean at least looking at the competition is reassuring!


                        In other news: Djokobo to bagel Bobby-boy in 3:rd!? :O
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #13
                          Next time they offer those quarter odds again, I may take some Delpo to balance that bet. I still have a hard time not seeing one of them winning the quarter.
                          Comment
                          • Hardcoar
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-17-13
                            • 15606

                            #14
                            They won't meet before "the finals", will they?
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #15
                              Nope. Hence you could put yourself into a no-lose situation if the seeds hold. I would have taken some Delpo before, but wanted to see some match play for him since his form was blah coming in. Delppo gets what's left from Dimitrov/Zemlja and then Seppi or Nishikori to get into the 4th round. Ferrer still obviously has to get past Bautista-Agut first, but then it's Sijsling or Dodig. As soon as Kohlschreiber went out in this half, I really liked Ferrer's shot. Sijsling and Dodig have played well lately, but they have not gone against the ultimate grinder. I would feel good about that match-up either way. Need to see what the Delpo price is, cannot remember what it was before. I think maybe started just under +200. Probably down to +170ish maybe now?
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                Comment
                                • Hardcoar
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-17-13
                                  • 15606

                                  #17
                                  He started just under +400 at one of the four books I use. Keep in mind Dimitrov or Japmaster could easily knock him out though, which is more than you can say about Dodig and BA, despite their recent runs of form. I'd be surprised if neither one of them gave him a match...
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #18
                                    I don't think Dimitrov is knocking anyone out, he'll be lucky if he survives Zemlja. Delpo owns Nishikori and beat him twice on grass last year, including straights @ Wimbledon. Anything can happen obviously with these courts a little odd now, but I think he sets up well if his play stays even.
                                    Comment
                                    • Hardcoar
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 02-17-13
                                      • 15606

                                      #19
                                      I think you are underestimating Griggs' and the Japmaster, but sure, Po'Mo is the clear favorite against either one.
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #20
                                        I'll make you a small points bet than Dimitrov comes out and loses tomorrow. 50?
                                        Comment
                                        • Hardcoar
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-17-13
                                          • 15606

                                          #21
                                          I really don't dabble in points. I have no idea how shit works or what they mean, but I did catch Griggs' @ evens with the current scoreline.

                                          I know he's in "bad" physical shape, but so is Zemlja, isn't he?
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #22
                                            Not sure about physical fitness at this point. I just know Dimitrov was not doing well in the rallies and was more or less staying in it with his serve, so having to come out cold and serve right away with the pressure of having to hold or lose ... could be big. May not matter. Could come out and smack four aces. Just a thought.
                                            Comment
                                            • Hardcoar
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-17-13
                                              • 15606

                                              #23
                                              I placed my wager because the day's rest should favor Griggs'. Without it he was losing anyway. Now he has at least a 50 % chance. That's basically my reasoning.
                                              Comment
                                              • Hardcoar
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-17-13
                                                • 15606

                                                #24
                                                Tell you what, I'll hand you 50 if Zemlja wins so long as it doesn't lock me into any real-world financial obligations.
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #25
                                                  LoL. 50 and your soul!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Tmuston Beltics
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-14-13
                                                    • 1253

                                                    #26
                                                    Will he give you 2 per day for 25 days?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #27
                                                      Yes or until he decides to have his bar mitvah and become a man.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                        Tell you what, I'll hand you 50 if Zemlja wins so long as it doesn't lock me into any real-world financial obligations.
                                                        Zemlja 11-9 in the 5th. Weeeeeee!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • yisman
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 09-01-08
                                                          • 75682

                                                          #29
                                                          nice call EP
                                                          [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                          [/quote]

                                                          [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Hardcoar
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 02-17-13
                                                            • 15606

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                            Yes or until he decides to have his bar mitvah and become a man.
                                                            What's that translate to? When I know what you know about surfaces?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EmpireMaker
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 06-18-09
                                                              • 15581

                                                              #31
                                                              he can send you 1 point every other day for the next 100 days
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Hardcoar
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 02-17-13
                                                                • 15606

                                                                #32
                                                                Except that'd total 100 pixelpoints...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                                  What's that translate to? When I know what you know about surfaces?
                                                                  Nah, just a silly joke about "going pro" for SBR. Just happy our dude Ferrer got through today. He needs to improve some to make me feel more comfortable.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Hardcoar
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 02-17-13
                                                                    • 15606

                                                                    #34
                                                                    He looked brilliant in patches today, but was still a bit inconsistent. It's positive how his ankle didn't seem to affect him very much, if at all.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Hardcoar
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 02-17-13
                                                                      • 15606

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Oh I should go pro?

                                                                      Can I go pro by spending pixelpoints?
                                                                      Comment
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