All England 2nd round picks...

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  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #1
    All England 2nd round picks...
    6-10-1 +2.2

    Futures pending..Sports book donation bet, (dont follow this one)..Nadal blows up knee(well he lost!!), Fed pulls his back out(come on fed pull the back out!!). Wawrinka gets food poisoning(he lost!!!)and 2 live crew arrives for the final in the Royal Box..
    Dustin Brown to win Wimbledon 5000-1..Risk .10 units
    Lopez to win Quarter +6600 .25 units
    Janowicz to win quarter +4000 . 25 units. With Nadal out here he comes!.

    WTA..

    Halep to win Quarter +800..1 unit.

    Flipkens to win Quarter +3300 .5 unit
    --------------------------------------------------------


    2nd round picks..
    Dustin "Doo Doo" Brown +415 .75 units...Dreddy on fire, should be able to get some aces in on Hewitt, he is going to rush the net every dam point.Going to play the over.Not posted yet.Get it early..saw 35.5 somewhere but not at US book.

    Janowicz -130..1.5 units..Man whats up with this line? He should manhandle Radek here.Too much power if Jersey keeps his head on straight.

    Ram +255 .5 unit Monaco nothing special on grass.If the serve is pumping Ram can have a chance here.
  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #2
    Added..

    Brown/Hewitt over 36 -120..Risk 1.5 units

    Stephens -2 -120..1 unit

    Shvedova +3.5 -105..1 unit

    Flipkens -3.5 -105..1 unit
    Comment
    • baconbets
      SBR Sharp
      • 05-11-13
      • 329

      #3
      janowicz line is a real head-scratcher.
      Comment
      • PharaohUB
        SBR MVP
        • 01-23-07
        • 4865

        #4
        Jano has been undervalued all year. Books haven't figured it out, I do not understand. I remember when he was tearing up challengers last year and won how ever many matches in a row you could get him -200ish against scrubs.

        I likee doo doo and I hope you win Jano's quarter bet. He is becoming one of my favorite players.
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #5
          Not sure I agree with the undervalued notion on Jerzy all year. Up until Rome, his year had been pretty blase. I think some are underestimating Stepanek's skills on grass. He's a good serve and volley guy. Jerzy has never played anyone like that on grass. Doesn't mean Jerzy won't win, but I said it elsewhere - I don't think it's going to be straight forward like some think.

          Also keep in mind that Jerzy had a tweaked elbow coming into the event. Obviously no issue against the greenhorn Edmunds in the opener, but it's something to bare in mind if you're betting on him for as long as he goes. Unfortunately it sounds like one of those things where you're not really going to know match-to-match if it's bothering him or not.

          Good luck Brutha Beefcake.
          Comment
          • Jago2008
            SBR MVP
            • 05-18-11
            • 3047

            #6
            Yes gentlemen considering a few-hundred on Janowicz, I like the value @ -145.

            unfortunately I'm not a tennis-connoisseur like some here, perhaps some see the line as a trap.
            Comment
            • PharaohUB
              SBR MVP
              • 01-23-07
              • 4865

              #7
              If you bet jano for 1 unit on every match in the past year, you would be way up. No question about it. He has been plus money many times this year and won. Last year even more so. I brought this guy up to the board way back when he started tearing up challengers. He consistently has been taking care of business. How you can say he hasn't been undervalued I do not know. But I never see you agree with any position with anyone, so I won't let it hurt my feelings.
              Comment
              • PharaohUB
                SBR MVP
                • 01-23-07
                • 4865

                #8
                That said. I'm not sure if I will play this. I haven't seen Stepanek play enough on Grass to take a position. I'd rather play this guy in smaller tournies against big names where he has the bigger motivation than the other guy to prove himself. Grand slams everyones motivation is the same and it's probably why I don't care to bet on grand slams all that much. Money is to be made on the smaller tournies and judging players motivation/fatigue/jet lag/tourny payout/etc. Everybody is up for these slams and usually come in rested enough. There is less of an edge and lines are sharper.
                Comment
                • frugalgambler
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-30-13
                  • 3418

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Jago2008
                  Yes gentlemen considering a few-hundred on Janowicz, I like the value @ -145.

                  unfortunately I'm not a tennis-connoisseur like some here, perhaps some see the line as a trap.
                  Stepanek is one mean grass court player and a great doubles player. I do not like the odds. Janowicz is more of a clay court hitter. I think Stepanek is actually the value play here.
                  Comment
                  • PharaohUB
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-23-07
                    • 4865

                    #10
                    Originally posted by frugalgambler
                    Stepanek is one mean grass court player and a great doubles player. I do not like the odds. Janowicz is more of a clay court hitter. I think Stepanek is actually the value play here.
                    The more I think about it the more I like Stepanek. Going to put a small play on him and Doo Doo in the AM.
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #11
                      Originally posted by PharaohUB
                      If you bet jano for 1 unit on every match in the past year, you would be way up. No question about it. He has been plus money many times this year and won. Last year even more so. I brought this guy up to the board way back when he started tearing up challengers. He consistently has been taking care of business. How you can say he hasn't been undervalued I do not know. But I never see you agree with any position with anyone, so I won't let it hurt my feelings.
                      This year he's been a dog [prices well above +110 because I didn't do all the math] I think 11-12 times for ATP tour events and has three wins. He's been favored or around a pick em/maybe a slight dog in I think in 13-15. I think he's been pretty appropriately priced this year and he hasn't hit that much as a dog outside of the Rome event. I am sure you'd still be up some if you bet him every event, but I don't think he's as big a cash cow this year as he was last year - definitely sure if you bet him a lot last year you made some nice money like you said.
                      Comment
                      • PharaohUB
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-23-07
                        • 4865

                        #12
                        Yeah I haven't been playing him as much this year now that I look at his matches this year I don't remember most of them which means I didn't touch them. Are we really half way through 2013? I feel like he just came up from the Challengers a few months ago. Damn getting old and time speeding up.
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #13
                          Yeah it's fukked up ain't it.
                          Comment
                          • beefcake
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-26-09
                            • 14029

                            #14
                            Dreddy POWER!! up 6+ units on the day..!!! Knew Doo Doo was going to make me some money someday.I would make him the slight fav vs Mannarino to be sure.
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #15
                              Couldn't happen to a pair of better dudes - Dreddy & the Beef! Nice selection hombre.
                              Comment
                              • shari91
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-23-10
                                • 32661

                                #16
                                I'm in the mood to gamble tonight so along with Pospisil I'm now on Giorgi, McHale, Shvedova and Jovanovski. Let's see if I can pull the 0-5'er.
                                Comment
                                • ParlayininHTown
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 06-27-10
                                  • 7561

                                  #17
                                  This one goes out to Dustin Brown and his biggest fan Beefcake:

                                  Comment
                                  • beefcake
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-26-09
                                    • 14029

                                    #18
                                    Comment
                                    • beefcake
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-26-09
                                      • 14029

                                      #19
                                      10-12-2..In doo doo we trust..

                                      +7.61 units..
                                      Comment
                                      • beefcake
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-26-09
                                        • 14029

                                        #20
                                        Thursday.

                                        Halep +160..1 unit. Former biggest boobs on tour is white hot. Tough going vs Li, but Halep is playing with house money.

                                        Grass court specialist parlay..Lisicki + Pironkova ..+161..1 unit

                                        More later..
                                        Comment
                                        • Hardcoar
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-17-13
                                          • 15606

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by shari91
                                          I'm in the mood to gamble tonight so along with Pospisil I'm now on Giorgi, McHale, Shvedova and Jovanovski. Let's see if I can pull the 0-5'er.
                                          I'm amazed but Giorgi actually won in straight tiebreaks.

                                          I guess how much ass Sorana Cirstea sucks on frequent occasions shouldn't be that much of a shocker anymore, but still...
                                          Comment
                                          • beefcake
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-26-09
                                            • 14029

                                            #22
                                            Added..

                                            Lopez -5.5 -127..1 unit..Man is on a HUGE roll..Serving bullets..

                                            Brands/Berdych over 33 -125..1 unit..Brands has the pop to make this work..

                                            Kudla +4 -112..RIsk 1 unit..

                                            Kanepi +4.5 -125 1 unit

                                            Sijsling +215 .5 unit..Milos just does not get it on grass, balls bouncing to low..unlike hard..
                                            Comment
                                            • beefcake
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-26-09
                                              • 14029

                                              #23
                                              12-15-3(1 pending) +6.925..
                                              Comment
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