Any thoughts on Llorda @+285

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  • matt1216
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-27-11
    • 14683

    #1
    Any thoughts on Llorda @+285
    Is it just me, or does anyone else think llorda could beat Raonic tommorow?
  • tevari
    SBR MVP
    • 02-02-07
    • 4959

    #2
    it's lloDRa... i believe it will be a tight contest. raonic hasn't put it together yet and is often upset by much lesser-skilled players. however far it goes, i still think his serve will reign supreme when all is said and done. i will play llodra +2.5 sets @ -180 for parlay fodder.
    Comment
    • matt1216
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-27-11
      • 14683

      #3
      Originally posted by tevari
      it's lloDRa... i believe it will be a tight contest. raonic hasn't put it together yet and is often upset by much lesser-skilled players. however far it goes, i still think his serve will reign supreme when all is said and done. i will play llodra +2.5 sets @ -180 for parlay fodder.
      Good idea
      Comment
      • baconbets
        SBR Sharp
        • 05-11-13
        • 329

        #4
        llodra's line has come way down, so it seems a lot of people were thinking the same thing.

        it seems these guys will have an easy time holding serve against each other, which probably explains why the over is so high at 39.5 games for a -400 favorite. given the style matchup, i dont think llodra's age is an issue. this will look like a grass match, with short points, both guys resting on return games and looking for a tiebreak or one big push per set to get up a break. i like llodra's experience to help him in those pivotal moments.

        raonic has some serious clay wins this year, but from monte carlo to rome, he lost 4 out of 7 tiebreaks in 9 matches, including to guys like kohlschreiber, robredo and nieminen. llodra is a very good server and will play a different clay game than raonic might be used to.

        wish my book carried set spreads, as +2.5 is a great bet here.
        Comment
        • CaptainOmar111
          SBR MVP
          • 02-11-13
          • 2024

          #5
          Originally posted by tevari
          it's lloDRa... i believe it will be a tight contest. raonic hasn't put it together yet and is often upset by much lesser-skilled players. however far it goes, i still think his serve will reign supreme when all is said and done. i will play llodra +2.5 sets @ -180 for parlay fodder.
          I think the same !!!
          Comment
          • matt1216
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-27-11
            • 14683

            #6
            I took llodra +5 @ +100
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #7
              Think Llodra is Wednesday's Trojan Horse, hiding a pile of crap inside.
              Comment
              • Ron29301
                SBR MVP
                • 12-27-11
                • 2311

                #8
                Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                Think Llodra is Wednesday's Trojan Horse, hiding a pile of crap inside.
                I don't think he'll make it pass the 2nd set. The dude blows after the 2nd set against good players. He's all hype from the 1st to the 2nd set. After that he stinks the place up. Can't back that dude anymore. GL guys.
                Comment
                • drfunkmaster
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-29-08
                  • 11162

                  #9
                  moneyline +300
                  Comment
                  • Hardcoar
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-17-13
                    • 15606

                    #10
                    One way to fail miserably at gambling:

                    Jump on odds that used to be great – after they've halved...
                    Comment
                    • face
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-31-11
                      • 14740

                      #11
                      1-1 llodra still in it
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #12
                        Raonic's serve hasn't been at its best, but seems to be getting better in the 3rd set. Llodra will have to sneak one out in a TB if he's going to pull the upset it looks like.
                        Comment
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