I implore everyone on this forum to take Puig +135 tomorrow

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  • tevari
    SBR MVP
    • 02-02-07
    • 4959

    #1
    I implore everyone on this forum to take Puig +135 tomorrow
    I have watched her carefully this entire season - from being a couple points away of beating Kerber in Brisbane to taking Venus the distance in Charleston on clay. She is the real deal on clay. Keys, on the other hand, is an unforced error machine and once her forehand starts misfiring, the rest of her game does too. This match should be a shit show extraordinaire with more breaks of serve likely to outnumber holds, but at the end of the day, I give a moderate edge to Puig.

    Last 10:

    Round of 128 Def. (11)Nadia Petrova(11,2.97) (RUS) 3-6 7-5 6-4 Recap Match Stats $3.074
    May 13 2013 Prague ITF (CZE) , Clay, Seed (7), Rank 89, Rating 1.58
    Quarter Final Lost to (2)Lucie Safarova(27,2.70) (CZE) 6-7(5) 6-4 6-2 Recap $2.950
    Round of 16 Def. Akgul Amanmuradova(166,0.58) (UZB) 7-6(4) 6-4 Recap $1.270
    Round of 32 Def. Olivia Rogowska(160,-1.34) (AUS) 6-3 7-5 Recap $1.210
    Apr 29 2013 Oeiras WTA Int'l (POR) Match Stats, Clay, Seed (LL), Rank 102, Rating 2.25
    Quarter Final Lost to (4)Carla Suarez Navarro(23,2.83) (ESP) 6-2 6-4 Recap Match Stats $3.555
    Round of 16 Def. Francesca Schiavone(37,2.93) (ITA) 6-3 6-2 Recap Match Stats $2.894
    Round of 32 Def. (8)(WC)Julia Goerges(29,2.20) (GER) 7-6(3) 6-2 Recap Match Stats $2.717
    Qualifying Rnd Lost to Galina Voskoboeva(117,1.78) (KAZ) 6-3 6-3 Recap Match Stats $1.690
    Qualifying R2 Def. Claire Feuerstein(137,0.34) (FRA) 6-3 6-0 Recap Match Stats $1.570
    Qualifying R1 Def. (4)Maria-Teresa Torro-Flor(84,1.81) (ESP) 0-6 6-4 6-4 Recap Match Stats




    There is nothing that Keys brings to the table that Petrova hadn't in the first round.



    Puig, +135, 2.5 units
  • EmpireMaker
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 06-18-09
    • 15582

    #2
    She is playing well, Venus is done but she has beaten some good players who aren't. She has beaten Goerges, Schiavonne and now Petrova but Keys does have quite of bit of talent and she has beaten Safarova, Zheng and Li this year.
    Comment
    • gators0708
      SBR MVP
      • 10-07-10
      • 2318

      #3
      Keys in 2!
      Comment
      • Hardcoar
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-17-13
        • 15606

        #4
        In my mind it's good, but not that good.

        I really appreciate you sharing your thoughts!
        Comment
        • baconbets
          SBR Sharp
          • 05-11-13
          • 329

          #5
          keys seems fairly explosive and athletic. hard to bet against that.
          Comment
          • ohumad
            SBR MVP
            • 05-19-12
            • 2298

            #6
            Originally posted by baconbets
            keys seems fairly explosive and athletic. hard to bet against that.
            aka black . And you are so fcked tevari because I'm also on Puig. Have a good day
            Comment
            • GoBlue77
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 03-20-11
              • 9166

              #7
              you beat me to it tevari.

              two matches i have on my radar

              keys / puig

              gulbis / monfils


              i will say, this match goes 3 sets for sure and was leaning puig as well BUT it will be close.
              Comment
              • EmpireMaker
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 06-18-09
                • 15582

                #8
                Originally posted by GoBlue77
                you beat me to it tevari.

                two matches i have on my radar

                keys / puig

                gulbis / monfils


                i will say, this match goes 3 sets for sure and was leaning puig as well BUT it will be close.
                Gulbis -150
                Comment
                • EmpireMaker
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 06-18-09
                  • 15582

                  #9
                  Puig +105 now BKMKR
                  Comment
                  • Pinocchio
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 06-26-11
                    • 569

                    #10
                    I like Keys -2 at even odds. But more than that, I like Burdette +6 against Radwanska (also even odds)...
                    Comment
                    • MagicDiceFlow
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-15-12
                      • 4585

                      #11
                      I agree, Keys can go into a mental midget mode at any given moment. Her movement on clay isnt so hot either. 50/50 match in my opinion so getting +125 on Puig is a good number.
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #12
                        Not touching it with a ten foot pole, but will eagerly follow the results because the end result should yield a beautiful thread.
                        Comment
                        • GoBlue77
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 03-20-11
                          • 9166

                          #13
                          Line moving against your homegirl
                          Comment
                          • tevari
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-02-07
                            • 4959

                            #14
                            Not concerned
                            Comment
                            • MagicDiceFlow
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-15-12
                              • 4585

                              #15
                              Originally posted by GoBlue77
                              Line moving against your homegirl
                              10 cents in tennis is far from a line movement. Talk to us when it moves 50 cents or more.
                              Comment
                              • tevari
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-02-07
                                • 4959

                                #16
                                If Querrey and Hajek keep dicking around on this court, this match may not get played, or only be played partially. Be warned.
                                Comment
                                • Bet10Heinekens
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-10-13
                                  • 10567

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by tevari
                                  If Querrey and Hajek keep dicking around on this court, this match may not get played, or only be played partially. Be warned.
                                  Why won't they move it to another court, no matches on court 4,5,etc.
                                  Comment
                                  • tevari
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-02-07
                                    • 4959

                                    #18
                                    They actually did. We are on gents.
                                    Comment
                                    • GoBlue77
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 03-20-11
                                      • 9166

                                      #19
                                      Talk about a shit fest...Hajek breaking Equerry and giving it back everytime
                                      Comment
                                      • MagicDiceFlow
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-15-12
                                        • 4585

                                        #20
                                        Damn, no camera on that court. Anyone got a stream for court #7?
                                        Comment
                                        • ohumad
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-19-12
                                          • 2298

                                          #21
                                          Comment
                                          • MagicDiceFlow
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-15-12
                                            • 4585

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by ohumad

                                            Sweet, thanks man.
                                            Comment
                                            • OhMyEli
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-17-12
                                              • 1164

                                              #23
                                              Seeing as I knew little about these two, Keys is definitely the superior player from what I see early on. Hopefully Puig can slip by on a few.
                                              Comment
                                              • MagicDiceFlow
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-15-12
                                                • 4585

                                                #24
                                                Puig has a stout serve. It's gonna get her some easy points.
                                                Comment
                                                • tevari
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-02-07
                                                  • 4959

                                                  #25
                                                  First blood to Puig.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MUHerd37
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-23-09
                                                    • 12816

                                                    #26
                                                    Puig looks good out there. That ass. Them legs. Yeah boy.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MagicDiceFlow
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-15-12
                                                      • 4585

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by MUHerd37
                                                      Puig looks good out there. That ass. Them legs. Yeah boy.
                                                      I can tell from that hump in her skirt that Puig has a very nice derriere.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ohumad
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-19-12
                                                        • 2298

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by MUHerd37
                                                        Puig looks good out there. That ass. Them legs. Yeah boy.
                                                        On the tenniswarehouse forums they have a 2000 page thread devoted to this
                                                        Comment
                                                        • tevari
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-02-07
                                                          • 4959

                                                          #29
                                                          Puig serving for the first set. A hold here would surprise me.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • tevari
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-02-07
                                                            • 4959

                                                            #30
                                                            Alright then, I'm surprised. 1 set to the good. Leggo.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MagicDiceFlow
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-15-12
                                                              • 4585

                                                              #31
                                                              Click image for larger version

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                                                              Comment
                                                              • Bet10Heinekens
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-10-13
                                                                • 10567

                                                                #32
                                                                need 5 games Keys


                                                                How about a 7-5 Puig 2nd set
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ohumad
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-19-12
                                                                  • 2298

                                                                  #33

                                                                  Get that weak sht outta here MDF
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MUHerd37
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-23-09
                                                                    • 12816

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MagicDiceFlow
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-15-12
                                                                      • 4585

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by ohumad

                                                                      Get that weak sht outta here MDF

                                                                      Ewwwwwwww .....thats all you ohumad. Looks like Carl Lewis.
                                                                      Comment
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