Gifu ITF Women

Hardcoar · 05-16-13, 12:17 PM

How good are you convinced it is? What odds would be fair in your mind?

Pinocchio · 05-16-13, 01:39 PM

Fair odds for Ishizu, 1.4 I'd say (odds have already dropped on Bet365 as well). With these small tournaments you can't be 100% confident, though, the Yakuza could be involved.

Hardcoar · 05-16-13, 01:55 PM

You have no idea how true that is. At least 365 voids retirements...

'FK is "slight underdog at 2.0" supposed to mean though??

Pinocchio · 05-16-13, 03:00 PM

You know Bet365 is a juicy book. 2.0 = 2.3 on Pinnacle. And the Ishizu line is still dropping...

Hardcoar · 05-16-13, 04:42 PM

They're a "juicy book"!?

I know their payouts are far worse than Pinnacle yes, though without running my numbers I doubt evens would represent @ 2.3...

I use both, but Bet365 has massive added value as a bookmaker.

Edit: About my initial question: That was FK'ing stupid of me. My bad entirely. Obviously evens is the underdog. Sorry about that really. I feel ashamed, but slips of the mind occur. <3

Hardcoar · 05-17-13, 10:20 AM

So how did the scoreline end up then?

Pinocchio · 05-17-13, 01:15 PM

Three set loss. 40% BP conversion for Ishizu. Around 80% for Namigata. Usually, when I bet on Bet365 and I don't like how a match is going I try to trade out of my pre-match bet, unless it's a smaller amount such as in this case. I must admit I expected a straight set win for Ishizu here. I'm on Jabeur (1.83) and Mestach (1.5) now, let's see what happens.

Hardcoar · 05-17-13, 01:39 PM

And how good would you say those odds are?

Pinocchio · 05-17-13, 11:08 PM

Pretty accurate for a change. Jabeur tightly won, let's see what Mestach can do...

They're playing right now, actually, and Namigata's odds are already at 5.25 after only losing the first two games.

Hardcoar · 05-18-13, 02:46 AM

Why bet then?

Pinocchio · 05-18-13, 08:57 AM

In this particular case only because I thought they would win, which they did.

Hardcoar · 05-18-13, 10:29 AM

Betting on odds @ 1.5 isn't a good idea unless you're absolutely convinced that bet will win at least 2/3 times.

Grats' on the winners though!

Pinocchio · 05-18-13, 10:02 PM

Well I wish the odds were higher, but I'll take 1.5 too sometimes. Can be alright as part of a parlay. Those were all single bets, but I did parlay Mestach, Jabeur and Vitor Belfort (UFC) for $15 as well. Looks like it's over. Didn't expect Vitor to win so fast.