MTC's tennis plays

[mtc44380]

Since its the cool thing to do, I have decided to start my own thread so I can track just my tennis plays. I have had a great few months with tennis, and I wish I could say the same about everything other sport.



I am still crunchin' all the matchups for tomorrow, but I will definitely have some plays. I mostly dabble in ATP, I try to stay away from the women, but just like in life, its hard to do something. I dont play much of the Challenger matches, but if I see some value, I wont hesitate.

Lets continue the winning ways

[ohumad]

"Never fckin heard of ya pal!" Look forward to the plays. Don't even try to fade my lean on dogs tomorrow. Thoughts?

Korolev E. - Struff J-L.
2.16
1.62


Brands D. - Kamke T.
1.51
2.49

[mtc44380]

Mathieu (FRA) v Tursunov (RUS) -2.5 (1.05u to win 1u)

Kuznetsova (RUS) v Lepchenko (USA) +150 (1u to win 1.5u)

Istomin (UZB) v Donskoy (RUS) +110 (1u to win 1.1)

[mtc44380]

"Never fckin heard of ya pal!" Look forward to the plays. Don't even try to fade my lean on dogs tomorrow. Thoughts?

Korolev E. - Struff J-L.
2.16
1.62


Brands D. - Kamke T.
1.51
2.49

If I had to chose, I wouldnt play on Korolev/Struff, I could see Korolev winning, but there is just something about betting against a homer. As for Brands/Kamke, I would have thought it would have been about even odds for both of them, so im kinda baffled why they have Brands at 1.5. However, I think he may squeek out a win in 3 sets, so I would feel more comfortable taking Kamke +2.5 or whatever he is. It will be a close match none the less, so the value is with Kamke.
Those are my thoughts, but "YOUVE NEVER FKIN HEARD OF ME PAL" haha
BOL tomorrow

[CaptainOmar111]

Nice to see your own thread Iam sure I will follow it Good Luck man

[Hardcoar]

Stay the FK away from Korolev at those odds, I'd say.

Mathieu (FRA) v Tursunov (RUS) -2.5 (1.05u to win 1u)

Kuznetsova (RUS) v Lepchenko (USA) +150 (1u to win 1.5u)

Istomin (UZB) v Donskoy (RUS) +110 (1u to win 1.1)

On Tursy @ 1.8 (don't do game capping).
Liking Lepchenko at those odds or higher.
Liking Donskoy to win but odds are too short for me to justify a bet.

Could this be a bad omen!? :O

[mtc44380]

ADDING TODAY!

Sorana Cirstea* +115 vs Anabel Medina Garrigues (1u to win 1.15u)

[mtc44380]

Stay the FK away from Korolev at those odds, I'd say.


On Tursy @ 1.8 (don't do game capping).
Liking Lepchenko at those odds or higher.
Liking Donskoy to win but odds are too short for me to justify a bet.

Could this be a bad omen!? :O

Well, Tursy was a good one either way you bet it, Lepchenko wanted to win, and then didnt, it was a typical WTA match when the women at both 100+ in rankings, pretty sloppy, no one can hold a serve.

I took Cirstea today, I know she isnt that good on Clay, but I have a feeling she will beat Anabel today.

[mtc44380]

Adding a late action parlay, just for shits, Paire and Matosevic should win, and I think Muller can keep it close, and maybe win a set to keep it within 3.5. I thought about taking over 20.5.... that might have been the better bet, OH WELL

G.Muller Games Won +3½ -125* vs E.Roger-Vasselin Games
Benoit Paire -395* vs Igor Sijsling
Marinko Matosevic -700* vs Kevin Krawietz
PARLAY (0.5u to win 0.79u)

[mtc44380]

Not a fan of the Challenger, but Ive got a 4parlay for tonight in China.

ADDING FOR TONIGHT!!

Chris Guccione -750* vs Yu Cheng Li
Matthew Ebden -350* vs Mao-Xin Gong
Josselin Ouanna -2000* vs Ruikai Wang
Ze Zhang -390* vs Ji Sung Nam
PARLAY (1u to win 0.92u)

[mtc44380]

Mathieu (FRA) v Tursunov (RUS) -2.5 (1.05u to win 1u)

Kuznetsova (RUS) v Lepchenko (USA) +150 (1u to win 1.5u)

Istomin (UZB) v Donskoy (RUS) +110 (1u to win 1.1)

Sorana Cirstea* +115 vs Anabel Medina Garrigues (1u to win 1.15u)

G.Muller Games Won +3½ -125* vs E.Roger-Vasselin Games (CANCELLED)
Benoit Paire -395* vs Igor Sijsling
Marinko Matosevic -700* vs Kevin Krawietz
PARLAY (0.5u to win 0.79u) (PAYED 0.22u)

RECAP FOR TODAY!

Daily
3-2
+0.37u

TOTAL
3-2
+0.37u

[ohumad]

Not a fan of the Challenger, but Ive got a 4parlay for tonight in China.

ADDING FOR TONIGHT!!

Chris Guccione -750* vs Yu Cheng Li
Matthew Ebden -350* vs Mao-Xin Gong
Josselin Ouanna -2000* vs Ruikai Wang
Ze Zhang -390* vs Ji Sung Nam
PARLAY (1u to win 0.92u)

Challenger parlay. Brave, brave man! BOL

[CaptainOmar111]

Still good Keep up the good work

[mtc44380]

Challenger parlay. Brave, brave man! BOL

Decent players, all have ATP tourney experience, playing pretty weak opponents. I figured, WHAT THE HELL, ill give 'er a shot. Plus, I haven't been doing so well in Basketball or Baseball, so evening tennis play might be the remedy.

[ohumad]

Decent players, all have ATP tourney experience, playing pretty weak opponents. I figured, WHAT THE HELL, ill give 'er a shot. Plus, I haven't been doing so well in Basketball or Baseball, so evening tennis play might be the remedy.

Fer sure! These are players I've heard of at least

[mtc44380]

Chris Guccione -750* vs Yu Cheng Li
Matthew Ebden -350* vs Mao-Xin Gong
Josselin Ouanna -2000* vs Ruikai Wang
Ze Zhang -390* vs Ji Sung Nam
PARLAY (1u to win 0.92u)

After that winner, that brings the daily total for yesterday to....
4-2
+1.29u

I had 2 plays that I entered last night on my phone that I didnt post, 1-1
V.Troicki Games Won -1½ -105* vs M.Bachinger Games Won (1.05u to win 1u)

J.Benneteau Games Won -2½ -110* vs P.Carreno-Busta Games Won (1.1u to win 1u)
.... I thought JB would play a little better today, I know its been a while for him, but it was only a few months ago he beat Federrer (if I remember right) So I thought he may pull out a win against Busta, im now 0-2 when fading Busta, so I guess I wont be doing that much more.

I also have a few more plays for today.

U.Radwanska Games Won +3½ -110* vs D.Cibulkova Games Won (1.1u to win 1u)

2PARLAY
Horacio Zeballos -155* vs Gastao Elias
Francesca Schiavone -240* vs Lourdes Dominguez Lino
(1u to win 1.3u)

3PARLAY
Paolo Lorenzi -360* vs Niels Desein
Alexandr Dolgopolov -320* vs Sergiy Stakhovsky
Kiki Bertens -150* vs Romina Oprandi
(0.8u to win 1.44u)

I apologize for the plays after the fact - no time to get on last night, and its tough with these 4am starts here in the states! I need my beauty sleep

BOL with everyones play today!

[mtc44380]

ADDING a few more for today. Im headed out to the golf course, so I gotta get everything in before I go.

F.Schiavone Games Won -4½ +100* vs L.Dominguez Lino Games Won (0.5u to win 0.5u)

D.Gimeno-Traver Games Won +4 -105* vs T.Robredo Games Won (1.05u to win 1u)

V.Hanescu Games Won -2½ -115* vs R.Machado Games Won (1.15u to win 1u) I like the odds
Victor Hanescu -150* vs Rui Machado (1.5u to win 1u)

[mtc44380]

WOMEN ALWAYS SCREWIN THINGS UP! Kiki wasnt able to pull it out. I guess thats what I get for playin the WTA.

[MasterBet]

hard pick you take on Shv -4.5..

BOL today man...

[mtc44380]

hard pick you take on Shv -4.5..

BOL today man...

(S)He is playing pretty good tennis as of late. I will ride the tranny train til it de-rails.

[MasterBet]

He take the first 62! hope for you he can win also the 2nd! lets go!

[Bet10Heinekens]

Tranny won by the hook

congrats man

[mtc44380]

Yeah, I figure (S)He would take the 2nd also, so it looks like it was a little shaky. I was out on the course getting my 18 in, so I wasnt able to keep track. By the looks, it was a pretty decent day, I will crunch the numbers now.
Thanks guys!

[mtc44380]

V.Troicki Games Won -1½ -105* vs M.Bachinger Games Won (1.05u to win 1u)

J.Benneteau Games Won -2½ -110* vs P.Carreno-Busta Games Won (1.1u to win 1u)

U.Radwanska Games Won +3½ -110* vs D.Cibulkova Games Won (1.1u to win 1u)

2PARLAY
Horacio Zeballos -155* vs Gastao Elias
Francesca Schiavone -240* vs Lourdes Dominguez Lino
(1u to win 1.3u)

3PARLAY
Paolo Lorenzi -360* vs Niels Desein
Alexandr Dolgopolov -320* vs Sergiy Stakhovsky
Kiki Bertens -150* vs Romina Oprandi
(0.8u to win 1.44u)


F.Schiavone Games Won -4½ +100* vs L.Dominguez Lino Games Won (0.5u to win 0.5u)

D.Gimeno-Traver Games Won +4 -105* vs T.Robredo Games Won (1.05u to win 1u)

V.Hanescu Games Won -2½ -115* vs R.Machado Games Won (1.15u to win 1u)
Victor Hanescu -150* vs Rui Machado (1.5u to win 1u)

Well, it looks like the laters plays kept me in the black. I guess its alot easier when I dont watch and sweat the results.
TOTAL FOR TODAY
6-2 +2.2u

OVERALL TOTAL
10-4 +3.49u

[mtc44380]

I really thought Horacio would pull out the win, I didnt watch the match, but looking at the numbers, its pretty disappointing. That would have been a nice W to have. But I am happy with the day. Looking back Kiki was the wrong choice, but of course hind-sight is 20/20. I hope everyone else had a profitable day as well. I may look at some Challenger matches again this evening, I will take a look now!

CHEERS

[mtc44380]

So, I didnt like too much today. I was on the fence about fading Ferrer and taking ERV +6, but never pulled the trigger. I have 2 plays for the afternoon, and fortunately, they are still yet to play.

Urszula Radwanska -115* vs Ayumi Morita (1.15u to win 1u)

2PARLAY
Fabio Fognini -290* vs Paolo Lorenzi
David Goffin +110* vs Pablo Carreno-Busta
(1u to win 1.83u)

[mtc44380]

OK, So I decided to add another parlay, this one on the Challenger Tour playing here in the states.

3PARLAY
Tim Smyczek -200* vs Gerald Melzer
Ryan Harrison -420* vs Alex Bogdanovic
Wayne Odesnik -210* vs Facundo Arguello
(1u to win 1.74u)

I like all the homers to win today.
BOL today with everyones plays.

CHEERS

[Theboy1dur]

Im seeing Ryan Harrison -240 on 5dimes ... ?

[mtc44380]

.... weird. That was what it said when I placed the bet, but it went across as -420, I better talk to a rep. Thanks for pointing that out.

[mtc44380]

Urszula Radwanska -115* vs Ayumi Morita (1.15u to win 1u)

2PARLAY
Fabio Fognini -290* vs Paolo Lorenzi
David Goffin +110* vs Pablo Carreno-Busta
(1u to win 1.83u)

3PARLAY
Tim Smyczek -200* vs Gerald Melzer
Ryan Harrison -420* vs Alex Bogdanovic
Wayne Odesnik -210* vs Facundo Arguello
(1u to win 1.74u)

OUCH! Not a good day for me. Gives back all the winnings from the previous 2 days, just like that. If Goffin could have taken the 2nd or 3rd set it would have been a break-even day, instead its a big loss. Oh well, its a marathon, not a sprint.

TOTAL FOR TODAY
0-3 -3.15u

OVERALL TOTAL
10-7 +0.34u

[mtc44380]

Sorry guys, long night last night, so I wasn't able to get on to post my plays, since I entered them via my cellphone.
I know this doesnt do much good, but I will post my mornings plays anyways, just for tracking purposes.

A.Morita Games Won +4½ -110* vs K.Kanepi Games Won
(1.1u to win 1u)

Ayumi Morita +230* vs Kaia Kanepi
(0.6u to win 1.48u)

Romina Oprandi +220* vs Svetlana Kuznetsova
(0.6u to win 1.32u)

Tommy Haas +105* vs Ernests Gulbis
(1.4u to win 1.47u)

J.Tipsarevic Games Won -3½ -110* vs G.Zemlja Games Won
(1.1u to win 1u)

Denis Istomin +135* vs Gastao Elias
(0.8u to win 1.08u)

E.Gulbis Games Won/T.Haas Games Won Under 22½ -115*
(.92u to win .8u)

M.Matosevic Games Won +3½ -105* vs F.Mayer Games Won
(1.05u to win 1u)

Daniel Brands +160* vs Gael Monfils
(1u to win 1.6u)

A.Ramos Games Won/S.Wawrinka Games Won Under 21½ -105*
(1.05u to win 1u)

D.Brands Games Won/G.Monfils Games Won Under 23 +110*
(0.9u to win 0.99u)

Andreas Seppi -255* vs Alejandro Falla
(2.55u to win 1u)

[mtc44380]

I also started a 2u 7team OPEN parlay.

7OPEN PARLAY
Stanislas Wawrinka -350* vs Albert Ramos
Carla Suarez Navarro -260* vs Monica Puig
(2u to win ????)

[mtc44380]

Sorry again for posting most of the plays after or while the matches were in play. Wasnt able to log in this AM. DAMN EURO TOURNEYS!!

TOTAL FOR TODAY
6-6 +2.02u

OVERALL TOTAL
16-13 +2.36u

[mtc44380]

PLAYS FOR TOMORROW 5/3/13

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova +100* vs Romina Oprandi
(1u to win 1u)

V.Hanescu Games Won +5½ -125* vs D.Ferrer Games Won
(1.25u to win 1u)

P.Kohlschreiber Games Won -3½ -120* vs V.Troicki Games Won
(1.2u to win 1u)

I may also add another play to the 7PARLAY. I can decide that later! BOL everyone and I hope its a profitable day.

CHEERS

[mtc44380]

177847593-1	5/2/13 11:31pm	$525.00	$70.00	Pending	5/3/13 7:00am Challenger Tennis 507 Lukas Rosol -750* vs Nikola Mektic
(10.5u to win 1.2u)
177830945-1	5/2/13 10:28pm	$40.00	$67.20	Pending	5/3/13 10:10am ATP Tennis 202 Daniel Brands +168* vs Janko Tipsarevic

(0.8u to win 1.24u)

Since these plays were posted after the fact, here are the tickets.

I also added to the 7OPEN PARLAY
5/3/13 7:00am Challenger Tennis 507 Lukas Rosol -750* vs Nikola Mektic
5/3/13 8:50am ATP Tennis 162 Stanislas Wawrinka -770* vs Gastao Elias

ROSOL was a pretty crazy play, a little larger than I would have liked, I considered a parlay with another high odds fav, but I thought I better just leave it alone.

BOL everyone