Dmitry Tursunov vs Thomaz Bellucci

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  • BigPage25
    SBR MVP
    • 04-17-12
    • 3571

    #1
    Dmitry Tursunov vs Thomaz Bellucci
    Alright whats the play here guys??? Seems like everybody is riding on Tursunov since he beat Ferrer and Istomin already in this tournament... Man would of been nice to bet the money line on this guy yesterday.... But anyways the odds are the same with 5dimes right now as both players are a -110.... Im leaning on wanting to play Thomaz.. Plus why would the odds be so even given the fact Dmitry just beat Ferrer?? you would at least think he would be favored -180, -200... Anyways whats the play here guys?
  • secret007
    SBR MVP
    • 01-12-09
    • 1786

    #2
    The play is NO PLAY .

    If I have to choose, I'll go with Tursunov. I get what you're saying with letdown spot or illogical line, but I'll still go with Tursunov in this one ( if I have to ).
    Comment
    • BigPage25
      SBR MVP
      • 04-17-12
      • 3571

      #3
      is it because of how well Tursunov has played this tournament?
      Comment
      • secret007
        SBR MVP
        • 01-12-09
        • 1786

        #4
        I looked at Bellucci records in clay lately. He lost against Kuznetsov, Schwartzman and Volandri in clay in the past 3 months. He showed nothing for me to take him.

        The situation with Robredro yesterday is different. Robredro is a solid clay court player so I have no problem taking him. But not Thomaz Bellucci.
        Comment
        • Hardcoar
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-17-13
          • 15606

          #5
          Bellucci has been playing a lot better since Miami...

          Why would you consider betting on this match in the first place though? :S
          Comment
          • Sport_Fish
            SBR MVP
            • 12-06-10
            • 4079

            #6
            Normally I love fade spots like this of players coming off a huge win...but its very unfortunate nut-case Bellucci is the guy on the other side of the net and I can't put $ on this guy.

            Toss up IMO. Fade theory works or Bellucci will shit the bed.
            Comment
            • BigPage25
              SBR MVP
              • 04-17-12
              • 3571

              #7
              Originally posted by Hardcoar
              Bellucci has been playing a lot better since Miami...

              Why would you consider betting on this match in the first place though? :S
              Given the low price on both players..... Don't like paying heavy juice on favorites in tennis
              Comment
              • secret007
                SBR MVP
                • 01-12-09
                • 1786

                #8
                I'm looking at the following matches. Any opinion in any?

                I like

                Gulbis ML
                Safarova +6.5
                Shvedova +2.5 or ML
                Jankovic ML
                J. Goerges +3.5
                A. Ramos +3.5

                Btw looking on the line, it seems that Bellucci is the play.
                Comment
                • Hardcoar
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-17-13
                  • 15606

                  #9
                  Sigh...

                  It's such an obvious no bet.

                  Why would you even bet on that match (at these odds) in the first place? Do you think there's value in either odds? :S
                  Comment
                  • secret007
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-12-09
                    • 1786

                    #10
                    @Hardcoar any opinion on the matches I listed above?
                    Comment
                    • Hardcoar
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-17-13
                      • 15606

                      #11
                      I don't comment game capping, but as far as the matches go I would take goerges @ 3, I did take Ramos @ 2.75, I would take Jankovic @ 1.5 and I'm considering Safarova if the odds rise a little bit (which I assume they will, frankly). Really don't have enough faith in Shvedova, despite being really impressed by her lately. I don't think she'll be able to beat Carla on clay at the moment, and at these odds if anything Suarez-Navarro is the play.

                      Gulbis will wipe the dirt with Giraffe though...
                      Comment
                      • BigPage25
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-17-12
                        • 3571

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Sport_Fish
                        Normally I love fade spots like this of players coming off a huge win...but its very unfortunate nut-case Bellucci is the guy on the other side of the net and I can't put $ on this guy.

                        Toss up IMO. Fade theory works or Bellucci will shit the bed.
                        And in true bellucci form he is sh itting the bed lol... Luckily i bet small this match so no biggy... kudos to Tursunov he's playing some real good tennis right now
                        Comment
                        • Hardcoar
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-17-13
                          • 15606

                          #13
                          Originally posted by BigPage25
                          Given the low price on both players..... Don't like paying heavy juice on favorites in tennis
                          That's very intelligent of you. However, it does not necessarily mean Uccibuu @ 1.8 is a good bet.

                          Originally posted by BigPage25
                          And in true bellucci form he is sh itting the bed lol... Luckily i bet small this match so no biggy... kudos to Tursunov he's playing some real good tennis right now
                          Match over? You watching?

                          Comment
                          • BigPage25
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-17-12
                            • 3571

                            #14
                            Nice! Belluci comes back after losing the first set and takes the next 2! Congrats to us Belluci backers ........ I hear tennis matches are fixed sometimes could this have been 1 of them?? i mean Turs wins first set 6-4 and than pretty much gets smoked in the next 2 sets.... Potential fixed match?? Lol who knows!
                            Comment
                            • BrianLaverty
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-02-07
                              • 2183

                              #15
                              Originally posted by BigPage25
                              Nice! Belluci comes back after losing the first set and takes the next 2! Congrats to us Belluci backers ........ I hear tennis matches are fixed sometimes could this have been 1 of them?? i mean Turs wins first set 6-4 and than pretty much gets smoked in the next 2 sets.... Potential fixed match?? Lol who knows!
                              Fixed? Seriously?

                              Seems to me he just ran out of gas after that huge emotional win yesterday
                              Comment
                              • BigPage25
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-17-12
                                • 3571

                                #16
                                Originally posted by BrianLaverty
                                Fixed? Seriously?

                                Seems to me he just ran out of gas after that huge emotional win yesterday
                                Idk I'm just saying since i always hear people talking about matches being fixed in tennis... i couldn't find a stream for the match so i was just on flash score getting updates on the match so i wouldn't know if he got gassed or not..
                                Comment
                                • Hardcoar
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-17-13
                                  • 15606

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by BigPage25
                                  Nice! Belluci comes back after losing the first set and takes the next 2! Congrats to us Belluci backers ........ I hear tennis matches are fixed sometimes could this have been 1 of them?? i mean Turs wins first set 6-4 and than pretty much gets smoked in the next 2 sets.... Potential fixed match?? Lol who knows!
                                  You can determine with more or less certainty whether a match is fixed by looking at market movements, coincidences and results. Follow the money.

                                  This was extremely unlikely a fix, if you care for my opinion.
                                  Comment
                                  • TheMLBKing
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-20-13
                                    • 1129

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                    I don't comment game capping, but as far as the matches go I would take goerges @ 3, I did take Ramos @ 2.75, I would take Jankovic @ 1.5 and I'm considering Safarova if the odds rise a little bit (which I assume they will, frankly). Really don't have enough faith in Shvedova, despite being really impressed by her lately. I don't think she'll be able to beat Carla on clay at the moment, and at these odds if anything Suarez-Navarro is the play.

                                    Gulbis will wipe the dirt with Giraffe though...
                                    lol nice winner brah. so much value!!!
                                    Comment
                                    • Hardcoar
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 02-17-13
                                      • 15606

                                      #19
                                      insane value! :O
                                      Comment
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