Kazakhstan / Czech rep. davis cup

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  • Sam_Hawkins
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-02-12
    • 922

    #1
    Kazakhstan / Czech rep. davis cup
    Sup, i am taking Czech republic for following reasons:
    1) I am czech ()
    2) I have been following czech davis cup fb page, they put up videos every day about conditions, training, etc...and I think the czech team is very well prepared even though will be lacking berdych
    3) I was looking forward for the lines to come out cos I knew they were going to be inflated with the facts that berdych will not play and radek is coming back after about month long injury and convalescence

    Atm, at Bet365, the odds are 1.83/1.83, imho a great value on czech team
    Stepanek won't play the first two singles, but even if czechs lose them both (I doubt both hajek and rosol who are solid players will choke) Czechs will imho win the double match plus radek will win his single on sunday and then there is a good chance that the last match will be ours.
    The home crowd and slow clay surface will be tricky but I think no prob as the czechs had whole week to train on it and said it is vey well prepared.

    Follow/fade or let it be, but I think this is a very solid bet.
  • horja1
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-13-11
    • 5646

    #2
    In theory this is a good bet, considering the odds and the fact that all Czech players are better ranked than the Kazakhstan players ... but Davis Cup matches are different than normal tourney matches and playing in from of your home crowd has its advantages
    Comment
    • horja1
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-13-11
      • 5646

      #3
      I am parlaying Czech Republic and France ... Hajek will probably lose the first match but that should be the only loss for the czechs
      Comment
      • Sam_Hawkins
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-02-12
        • 922

        #4
        Originally posted by horja1
        I am parlaying Czech Republic and France ... Hajek will probably lose the first match but that should be the only loss for the czechs
        lol I did the exact same thing
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #5
          Tough call. Think the Kazaks have a good chance at home on this surface. Quite a bit of pressure potentially on guys like Hajek and Rosol who aren't the type IMO to carry a team on their back ...
          Comment
          • horja1
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-13-11
            • 5646

            #6
            great start ... Hajek "destroyed" Kukushkin (6-3 6-2 6-4), not losing games on his serve and allowing only 1 break point

            Let's see what Rosol will do next.
            Comment
            • horja1
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-13-11
              • 5646

              #7
              Originally posted by horja1
              Let's see what Rosol will do next.
              And Rosol wins 4-6 6-4 6-2 7-6

              So Czech Republic has 2-0 after first day
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #8
                Yeah pretty much over. Surprised by the ease with which they won, but then again not like either Kazak is a steady player 100% of the time. Big confidence for them to be able to win without their best weapon.
                Comment
                • Sam_Hawkins
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-02-12
                  • 922

                  #9
                  Without two of the best weapons actually!
                  That went way better than expected
                  Comment
                  • horja1
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-13-11
                    • 5646

                    #10
                    Originally posted by horja1
                    I am parlaying Czech Republic and France ... Hajek will probably lose the first match but that should be the only loss for the czechs
                    Now I have to watch this worthless Tsonga playing like crap
                    Comment
                    • Sam_Hawkins
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-02-12
                      • 922

                      #11
                      Originally posted by horja1
                      Now I have to watch this worthless Tsonga playing like crap
                      he comes off weak a lot of time, but he is too experienced to lose this imho
                      Comment
                      • horja1
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-13-11
                        • 5646

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Sam_Hawkins
                        he comes off weak a lot of time, but he is too experienced to lose this imho
                        hope so ... France should win this match, especially with JMDP not playing for Argentina and Juan Monaco showing some poor form lately
                        Comment
                        • horja1
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-13-11
                          • 5646

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Sam_Hawkins
                          he comes off weak a lot of time, but he is too experienced to lose this imho
                          no ... I was right ... he is worthless ...
                          Comment
                          • Sam_Hawkins
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-02-12
                            • 922

                            #14
                            Originally posted by horja1
                            no ... I was right ... he is worthless ...
                            When he starts hitting first serves, berlocq is done.
                            Comment
                            • horja1
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-13-11
                              • 5646

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Sam_Hawkins
                              When he starts hitting first serves, berlocq is done.
                              hopefully that will happen during this match
                              Comment
                              • Sam_Hawkins
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 11-02-12
                                • 922

                                #16
                                Originally posted by horja1
                                hopefully that will happen during this match
                                there we go.
                                Comment
                                • horja1
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-13-11
                                  • 5646

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Sam_Hawkins
                                  there we go.
                                  I still believe he is worthless ...
                                  Comment
                                  • horja1
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-13-11
                                    • 5646

                                    #18
                                    Sam, who is playing tommorrow in the doubles match? Rosol and Stepanek?
                                    Comment
                                    • Sam_Hawkins
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-02-12
                                      • 922

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by horja1
                                      Sam, who is playing tommorrow in the doubles match? Rosol and Stepanek?
                                      Hajek and Stepanek
                                      Comment
                                      • horja1
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-13-11
                                        • 5646

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by horja1
                                        I still believe he is worthless ...
                                        Great ... now I can only hope the French double wins tommorrow and Tsonga on sunday, cause Simon didn't show up again ... someone should tell him 2013 season started already
                                        Comment
                                        • horja1
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-13-11
                                          • 5646

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Sam_Hawkins
                                          Hajek and Stepanek
                                          Minar & Stepanek
                                          Comment
                                          • Sam_Hawkins
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-02-12
                                            • 922

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by horja1
                                            Minar & Stepanek
                                            actually not, its as i said
                                            Comment
                                            • horja1
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 01-13-11
                                              • 5646

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Sam_Hawkins
                                              actually not, its as i said
                                              Indeed ... on some sites it said Minar was playing but it was like you said ...

                                              anyway, the match was a disaster for the Czech double ...
                                              Comment
                                              • Sam_Hawkins
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-02-12
                                                • 922

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by horja1
                                                Indeed ... on some sites it said Minar was playing but it was like you said ...

                                                anyway, the match was a disaster for the Czech double ...
                                                yep, stepanek played horribly, I was wrong when I thought he will be fully ready to play...The one point will be won tomorrow i believe
                                                Comment
                                                • horja1
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-13-11
                                                  • 5646

                                                  #25
                                                  Kukushkin was replaced with Korolev against Rosol
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Sam_Hawkins
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 11-02-12
                                                    • 922

                                                    #26
                                                    Rosol did it in a 3-tiebreak match!
                                                    Hedged the french match in a way that I put some money on tsonga/berlocq match...I can't see tsonga losing and well I doubt simon will win his match.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • horja1
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 01-13-11
                                                      • 5646

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Sam_Hawkins
                                                      Rosol did it in a 3-tiebreak match!
                                                      Hedged the french match in a way that I put some money on tsonga/berlocq match...I can't see tsonga losing and well I doubt simon will win his match.
                                                      It will take a miracle for France to win ... I just hope Tsonga wins against Monaco and Simon will at least have a good start against Berloq sa I can hedge too (damn Llodra/Beneteau not winning the doubles match)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Sam_Hawkins
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 11-02-12
                                                        • 922

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by horja1
                                                        It will take a miracle for France to win ... I just hope Tsonga wins against Monaco and Simon will at least have a good start against Berloq sa I can hedge too (damn Llodra/Beneteau not winning the doubles match)
                                                        actually i do not think simon has much of a chance and the beforematch odds for berlocq are rather good.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • horja1
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-13-11
                                                          • 5646

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Sam_Hawkins
                                                          actually i do not think simon has much of a chance and the beforematch odds for berlocq are rather good.
                                                          thinking the same myself ... I already hedged to get some of my stake back.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • horja1
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-13-11
                                                            • 5646

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Sam_Hawkins
                                                            actually i do not think simon has much of a chance and the beforematch odds for berlocq are rather good.
                                                            well ... the little girl lost again ...
                                                            Comment
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