risky parlay

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  • lucasdawg
    SBR MVP
    • 02-19-13
    • 3399

    #1
    risky parlay
    parlay:

    istomin
    karlovic
    berankis

    risky i know, does this have a good chance?
  • Regul8er
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-06-07
    • 10666

    #2
    I was gonna take Vasselin.....but Ive lost 6 of my last 7 tennis plays, and have zero confidence whatsoever.

    Sick and tired of my guys not being able to hold serve at all.....at least Dr. Ivo can hold once in a while.
    Comment
    • lucasdawg
      SBR MVP
      • 02-19-13
      • 3399

      #3
      the only reason im picking karlovic is that i saw vasselin last match and he didnt do anything right. karlovic has a good big serve and volley play. but still anything can happen.
      Comment
      • Regul8er
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-06-07
        • 10666

        #4
        YA.....I had Gimeno-Traver and Kuznetsov last night, and neither could hold serve, it was frustrating.
        Comment
        • CaptainOmar111
          SBR MVP
          • 02-11-13
          • 2024

          #5
          Karlovic serve always saves him .. and Istomin is not easy play in my opinion so Good Luck !!!
          Comment
          • Sam_Hawkins
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-02-12
            • 922

            #6
            will go with Ivo for a small play in a little parlay
            Comment
            • Regul8er
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-06-07
              • 10666

              #7
              lucas....sorry I fu(kin made your play lose.
              I changed my mind and just took Karlovic cuz I wanted a guy who could actually hold serve...and he gets broken first damn game.

              My 7 ATP matches, the guys I've bet on have held serve 46%........how the fu(k is that even possible?
              Comment
              • Regul8er
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-06-07
                • 10666

                #8
                I feel like I just can't bet....no matter what edge I think I have, I have -EV seemingly everytime.

                I just don't know how to get past anything. If I lose 1st set, I usually lose 2nd set 6-1.
                If I win 1st set, it's never an easy win, and always seems to go 3 sets.
                I probably win 25% of tiebreaks.....I'm sick of losing tiebreaks every time.
                Comment
                • Regul8er
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-06-07
                  • 10666

                  #9
                  Does Karlo has a shot of ever breaking?
                  Just wondering if I should write off the first set, and hope he picks his serve up and can win 7-6 in sets 2 and 3.
                  Comment
                  • Regul8er
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-06-07
                    • 10666

                    #10
                    Not even out of Karlo's 2nd serving game, and he's lost 9 points on serve. I've seen matches where he doesn't lose this many.
                    And it's not like Vasselin has a great return game. Yikes!
                    Comment
                    • Hardcoar
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-17-13
                      • 15606

                      #11
                      He can break, but if Karlovic loses 1:st he rarely wins.
                      Comment
                      • Regul8er
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-06-07
                        • 10666

                        #12
                        Ya, thats what I figured. After 1st game of the match, it was all but over.
                        Very frustrating because I changed my pick, so I could see a guy hold serve.......and wouldnt you know Karlovic, the most proficient server screws me. Might drop a lifetime high bet, cuz Im so ticked off.
                        Comment
                        • Hardcoar
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-17-13
                          • 15606

                          #13
                          As in a single massive high-stakes bet?

                          In those cases the bet winning is all that matters. ^^

                          I wouldn't recommend going all in though...
                          Comment
                          • Regul8er
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-06-07
                            • 10666

                            #14
                            Its sickening to me right now. I bet the guy because of his serve, and thats exactly what lets the fu(ker down. He double faults twice to fall behind 5-6 in the 2nd set. Again, how does this happen with a serving specialist??
                            Comment
                            • Regul8er
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-06-07
                              • 10666

                              #15
                              What really kills me is I changed my mind into Karlovic, because I wanted a guy who could hold.
                              Vasselin doesnt get broken once....not one time! Frustrating beyond belief!
                              Comment
                              • OhMyEli
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-17-12
                                • 1164

                                #16
                                Looks like all 3 could be losers...
                                Comment
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