Tipsarevic(-135) over Llodra ??????

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  • Chung
    SBR High Roller
    • 02-03-13
    • 107

    #1
    Tipsarevic(-135) over Llodra ??????
    Am I blind? or is this free money?
    Only possible problem is Tipsarevic's Fatigue retirement from the Austrailian open.


    This is my tip.

    Tipsarevic, ranked #9, really started shining last tennis season. He blew up the charts from close to rank #50 right up to the top 10. He's a superb TOP LEVEL player and should not be compared to with any lower end players. Llodra, rank #62, had his day many years ago. He has had a very decent run recently, but in no way do I think he matches up to Tipsarevic.
    I would bet my entire lot, BUT TIPSAREVIC LEFT HIS LAST TOURNAMENT WITH A HEEL INJURY.(Which is why the line is so good) This was only 3 weeks ago, but was due to the fact that he played 2 consecutive 5 set matches which will injure you anyway. Tipsarevic seems positive in winning this next match and unless that injury gets in the way... he should be able to beat Llodra. Not dominate... but he should still be able to win.
  • Chung
    SBR High Roller
    • 02-03-13
    • 107

    #2
    NVM. Llodra is sort of nice at Hard Court.
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #3
      If you're asking the question, you already know what you should do.
      Comment
      • gregm
        SBR MVP
        • 03-14-11
        • 3535

        #4
        Tipsarevic has some of the the worst retirement stats in tennis but he did seem to want to play the davis cup so this foot injury may still be an issue. He didn't end up playing davis cup, here is his statement about withdrawing.



        “Unfortunatley I have to inform everyone that I will not be able to compete in the upcoming Davis Cup match cause of the foot injury that happened on the Australian Open.This is one of the hardest decisions that I had to make in my career,but trust me it was not my firts choice.In the last 14,there has not been a single year where I was not a part of the Serbian National Team.

        Feeling extremely sad and disappointed right now cause I am emotionally attached to this competition,and winning the Davis Cup trophy is one of the highlights of my career
        We have a fantastic team,so lets all support them in a potential win against Belgium”

        He seems alright judging from his twitter post from Montpellier. Pretty big line move here and money certainly seems to be coming in on Llodra. I am going with llodra but I could have got +140's yesterday, I looked at indoor hard stats and h2h from Montpellier last year where Llodra won but you never know with Tipsarevic. If he is 100% he can certainly play like one of the top 10 in the world

        llodra at +111 now
        Comment
        • Bet10Heinekens
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-10-13
          • 10567

          #5
          Tipper one of the biggest fixer in tennis
          Comment
          • Sam_Hawkins
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-02-12
            • 922

            #6
            Wll imo llodra is able to hold a serve or two, but he will be eventually broken after some consecutive second serves...tipsy has a great serve, too and will prevail in the rallyes...so imho tipsy all the way, MB first set to go over 9.5 @1.5
            Comment
            • Sharp Snake
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-11-12
              • 550

              #7
              This seems like a great spot if your book's rule is that the match needs to finish. More than likely if Tipsarevic loses, it's because he's not healthy, and if he's not healthy, he'd probably retire mid-match (he's proven this before).
              Comment
              • Sam_Hawkins
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-02-12
                • 922

                #8
                also check this out http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-48KgdX-YTQ
                Comment
                • Ron29301
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-27-11
                  • 2311

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Bet10Heinekens
                  Tipper one of the biggest fixer in tennis
                  I noticed from a few stats where he backed out of a match after the 1st set. I still put money on him and Seppi. Hopefully, both will cash.
                  Comment
                  • radleriss
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 01-21-13
                    • 1

                    #10
                    it's not clear who will win this, but over 22,5 is garanteed. I am expecting at least one ty-break here
                    Comment
                    • Yezzir
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 03-29-10
                      • 933

                      #11
                      I love Llodra indoors.
                      Comment
                      • Tmuston Beltics
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-14-13
                        • 1253

                        #12
                        Don't trust Tipsarevich any more..
                        Comment
                        • Ron29301
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-27-11
                          • 2311

                          #13
                          Well the Seppi game was cancelled. Guess I'll get my money back from them and maybe put some more on Monfils.
                          Comment
                          • MasterBet
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 02-06-13
                            • 572

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Bet10Heinekens
                            Tipper one of the biggest fixer in tennis

                            ......
                            Comment
                            • Yezzir
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 03-29-10
                              • 933

                              #15
                              Great start for my boy Llodra.. let's hope he can keep this up.
                              Comment
                              • RapaQues
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 01-28-13
                                • 193

                                #16
                                Bring on the odds for an injury break by tipsy lol
                                Comment
                                • Sam_Hawkins
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-02-12
                                  • 922

                                  #17
                                  Well llodra impressed me in this much big time. everything he touched went with him. Going for him huge against hajek.
                                  Comment
                                  • Chung
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 02-03-13
                                    • 107

                                    #18
                                    Yeah Llodra was on fire today. Given a seemingly weakened Tipsarevic, Llodra hit the shots he wanted and he had the power to go with it. And during the match his confidence went through the roof.
                                    Comment
                                    • MUHerd37
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-23-09
                                      • 12816

                                      #19
                                      Guys playing in their own country are always dangerous.
                                      Comment
                                      • mdfizzle
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 10-19-10
                                        • 392

                                        #20
                                        Will be backing Llodra the rest of the way. That serve was killer, got him out of trouble when needed. Not sure what the odds will be, but a potential live dog.
                                        Comment
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