Challenger: I SPY!

[EaglesPhan36]

what do you think of Mathieu -400 and Becker -300? Will both surely bee too good as they both used to playing much better opposition?

Only thing that would scare me about both is those matches are likely to be serve fests. So you may be looking at a tie break to decide one of them. I'd probably be slightly more worried about Mathieu.

[Optional]

Fuggin 5Dimes doesn't even have Maui or Bucaramanga listed yet. Assclowns.

Holy Shit ... Bemelmans is -245 @ 5Dimes. WTF.

Doubt it would take much money to move it a fair way late at 5D. A couple of max bets from 2 or 3 people and the software would be moving it each time to about that I'd think.

Could have been your tip alone and SBR action junkies

[EaglesPhan36]

Adding ...

Maui: S.Johnson +100

[riffraff24]

Adding ...

Maui: S.Johnson +100

-130 now. GL brutha!

[Sam_Hawkins]

omg just when it started looking good, bemelmans epicly choked.

[EaglesPhan36]

Yep. I knew he was toast when he blew that shot to serve out the set. Follow this guy pretty closely. He's got talent, but like in Australia - sometimes he completely cluster fukks closing out sets and matches. Hopefully Johnson can turn around a shite start to the day.

[riffraff24]

Johnson -140 now. eeek. Shoulda locked it in earlier. Would you still take it or pass?

[EaglesPhan36]

-140 isn't bad, honestly it's probably where the line should have been any way IMO.

Wish I would have gone with my own advice on those two favorite mentioned in Heilbronn. Becker falls in a TB and Mathieu in a 3rd set TB as well. Was a good shot to try both dogs figuring one would win maybe, not both could. Guess I was gun shy from this morning.

[EaglesPhan36]

Have to give this one a try. Maybe Russell got his scare and wake up call yesterday, but I think he lost the 1st ten games before Kuznetsov started one of the all-time great chokes in tennis and lost the match in three. See if Kudla learned anything from their last meeting. He had some chances to close Russell out in straights, but lots a TB and eventually lost in 3.

Maui: Kudla +135

[EaglesPhan36]

Really poor play from Johnson. Looks like today is my evening out day from a hot start.

[face]

kudla moved from +135 to -160. not sure it's worth it now. gl

[EaglesPhan36]

It'd be nice to grab one today.

[riffraff24]

It'd be nice to grab one today.

He played like a fukkin turd dude. Not your fault he played with zero heart, but fuk. that one hurt

[riffraff24]

get the next one!

[EaglesPhan36]

Yeah problem with playing the young ones some times. They're still learning to play with motivation all the time. He's a ton better than Smyczek, but Smyczek is a Challenger dude - he knows how to do this.

[EaglesPhan36]

0-fer day looks about right. Kudla blows a break lead being up 4-3 and loses three straight to donk the set.

[tevari]

Not over yet, hoss.

[riffraff24]

broken already...another turd face. wake up ya jerks!

[EaglesPhan36]

Singles: 6-4 [+2.40]
Parlays: 1-0 [+1.00]
Open Parlays: 0-1 [-1.00]

Well that evens it out to a more realistic percentage. Shitty day, gonna happen.

[Optional]

Was shitty for me too. Must have just been a sun spot or biorhythms. ;-)

[beefcake]

Soeda seems a hell of a steal today at that price with his past success in Hawaii..

[EaglesPhan36]

I"m probably sitting out the rest of the weekend.

[EaglesPhan36]

Good little post-Aussie Challenger starts in Burnie today. Always lots of Aussies/Kiwis in this. More so this year than before. Used to be more Klingons at this - i.e. guys like Yen Hsun-Lu who stick around and vulture money/points against lesser players.

January 27
Burnie: Bolt -105

[Optional]

After watching Aussie Open with 25 sec limit between serves, watching this Maui final feels like watching grass grow they are playing so slow by comparison.

Not to mention that after 10 games each player has only held serve once each

[EaglesPhan36]

Challenger as many have said, very similar to WTA with the lack of service holds with the exception of some of the indoor tourneys with the quick surfaces.

[EaglesPhan36]

Meh. Bolt runs out of gas in the 3rd.

[Optional]

Reid started stumbling near end of the 2nd after both where solid on serve all match until then. Hoping Bolt still has some fight in him. Only needs 1 break still

[Optional]

oh well, so much for that idea...

[EaglesPhan36]

Reid started stumbling near end of the 2nd after both where solid on serve all match until then. Hoping Bolt still has some fight in him. Only needs 1 break still

Yeah when Bolt broke back to even up in the 2nd, I felt like he needed to use the momentum to finish it off in two - but he choked on-serve late and never really recovered.

[EaglesPhan36]

Singles: 6-5 [+1.35]
Parlays: 1-0 [+1.00]
Open Parlays: 0-1 [-1.00]

January 28
Burnie: Duckworth -135
Burnie: Klec -130

[EaglesPhan36]

Added Klec

[EaglesPhan36]

Klec got 'em right where he wants him. Playing like garbage and down a set in a matter of 20 minutes.

[EaglesPhan36]

Terrible picking today on Klec. Talked myself off Lemke. Win 6. Lose 6. Even Steven.

[El Sol]

Terrible picking today on Klec. Talked myself off Lemke. Win 6. Lose 6. Even Steven.

6 - 6 but not at -units. demonstrates the advantage of picks at +money

[EaglesPhan36]

Absolutely in the shitter with these now. Duckworth rolls 6-1 in the 1st and looks to be on his way out in three. Eeesh. Apologies to anyone following these lately. Trying harder tomorrow.