Almagro -130

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  • mdfizzle
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-19-10
    • 392

    #1
    Almagro -130
    Only straight bet available on the card tonight. If Tips doesn't get off to a fast start, Almagro will not let him back into the match like his previous opponents have. This one will go 4, but Almagro is a strong play here.
  • Sharp Snake
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-11-12
    • 550

    #2
    Everyone is on Almagro it seems. I may be one of the few that thinks if Tipsarevic is on his game tonight, he wins this. Trying to muster up a play but I may just pass.
    Comment
    • gaebiskon
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 03-10-12
      • 869

      #3
      think mugro opened +110 at Pinny and he's been playing better than fixa
      but im gonna pass -130
      Comment
      • Goat Milk
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 03-24-10
        • 25850

        #4
        tipsy is the better player. not sure why he's a dog.
        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
        Comment
        • king_danilo92
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-15-12
          • 837

          #5
          over 42.5 is the better play.
          Comment
          • mdfizzle
            SBR Sharp
            • 10-19-10
            • 392

            #6
            H2H factor might be a reason and I disagree that Tipsy is the better player. They are on the same level, I just like the form I have seen from Almagro. Something is off with Tips.
            Comment
            • Sharp Snake
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-11-12
              • 550

              #7
              Originally posted by Goat Milk
              tipsy is the better player. not sure why he's a dog.
              Almagro hasnt really had a close match thus far and Tipsy has played multiple 5 setters. Thats it.

              Nothing is "off" with Tipsarevic. He's had a much more difficult draw that most seeded players and he's seems to be taking sets off here or there if he gets broken early on. Not sure if it's a calculated risk or lapse of focus, but he's come through when he's needed to each point/game/set/match etc...
              Comment
              • mdfizzle
                SBR Sharp
                • 10-19-10
                • 392

                #8
                Yeah and that is risky to do against a player like Almagro... he wont let him back into the mach. Johnson and Janowics are formidable opponents. Id be hard pressed to say Tips has had the harder draw.
                Comment
                • Sharp Snake
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-11-12
                  • 550

                  #9
                  Gimeno-Traver and Johnson are not equal to Lleyton Hewitt in Australia and Lukas Lacko and I'd say Benneteau and Janowicz are a wash. Not saying Almagro has has a cakewalk of a draw or anything. He handled his business (except for Johnson. Allowing that to go 5 sets to start off your Grand Slam is probably not considered a success in his camp.) and moved on.
                  Comment
                  • Cessation
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 08-23-12
                    • 221

                    #10
                    I've been stewing on this one for a while. In a hard court match up against Almagro, you would usually have a lean towards Tipsy. I don't think the head to heads mean anything as one was on clay, which is adv Almagro, and the other was an exho. I think on form, and the fact that Tipsy came into the open with an injury cloud and has played consecutive 5 setters, then the price is probably about right for Almagro. I don't see value in either of them though, so just have to sit out I think.
                    Comment
                    • MagicDiceFlow
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-15-12
                      • 4585

                      #11
                      Tipsy is done. Even if he was at 100% , hard to win the way Almagro is playing.

                      Now with the heel injury timeout, no way he gets past this match.
                      Comment
                      • PharaohUB
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-23-07
                        • 4865

                        #12
                        MDF. He may not win, but Tipsy taking an injury timeout means nothing. Dude always acts like he's injured and then all of a sudden if he starts hitting shots he forgets about it.
                        Comment
                        • PharaohUB
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-23-07
                          • 4865

                          #13
                          Nvmd just started watching he's done you are right.
                          Comment
                          • mdfizzle
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 10-19-10
                            • 392

                            #14
                            Should be an entertaining one with Ferrer and Almagro... much better than the Nishikori match.
                            Comment
                            • suicidekings
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 03-23-09
                              • 9962

                              #15
                              I jumped on Almagro to win Set 2 at (-227) near the end of the first set. If Tipsarevic makes it through the second set, everyone should consider betting Almagro for Set #3. Pinnacle has pulled it off the board now, but maybe others have it available still?

                              Tipsarevic seems determined to tough it out, but he's completely outmatched right now.
                              Comment
                              • mdfizzle
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 10-19-10
                                • 392

                                #16
                                Only needed 1 set for action to count, good win here... wish I had action on some other matches, what to do the rest of the night?
                                Comment
                                • Goat Milk
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 03-24-10
                                  • 25850

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow
                                  Tipsy is done. Even if he was at 100% , hard to win the way Almagro is playing.

                                  Now with the heel injury timeout, no way he gets past this match.
                                  Tipseravic would win 100% if he was healthy. On this surface. Not on the clay but on this surface he in a best of 5 he has a lot more firepower than Almagro
                                  Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                  Comment
                                  • suicidekings
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-23-09
                                    • 9962

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                                    I jumped on Almagro to win Set 2 at (-227) near the end of the first set. If Tipsarevic makes it through the second set, everyone should consider betting Almagro for Set #3. Pinnacle has pulled it off the board now, but maybe others have it available still?

                                    Tipsarevic seems determined to tough it out, but he's completely outmatched right now.
                                    Almost made it, 5-1. Bet cancelled due to early retirement... Oh well.
                                    Comment
                                    • Sharp Snake
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-11-12
                                      • 550

                                      #19
                                      Tough to see Tipsarevic go out that way after seeing him play really great at times this tournament. Super glad I decided to lay off this one because I would probably have taken Tipsy.
                                      Comment
                                      • Billy M
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-12-11
                                        • 594

                                        #20
                                        What's the ruleing on this guys ! I had Almagro with a local !! sMh
                                        Comment
                                        • Goat Milk
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 03-24-10
                                          • 25850

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Billy M
                                          What's the ruleing on this guys ! I had Almagro with a local !! sMh
                                          Depends on the book. Most books do if you complete 1 set then the money line stands, but for spreads/totals, the whole match must be completed. If you didn't ask your bookie before the match, most likely he won't count if it was a big bet.
                                          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                          Comment
                                          • sando
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-30-12
                                            • 3723

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Billy M
                                            What's the ruleing on this guys ! I had Almagro with a local !! sMh

                                            Tennisform.com is the number one online tennis betting portal. With tournament links, tennis statistics, tournament information, live score links & more!
                                            Comment
                                            • EmpireMaker
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 06-18-09
                                              • 15581

                                              #23
                                              Tipsy quit like a little bitch because he was getting his ass drilled and it wasn't going to stop.
                                              Comment
                                              • Billy M
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-12-11
                                                • 594

                                                #24
                                                My local uses a sportbooks lines and rules and it said 2 Sets must be completed !! SMH !' First loss on GONzaga money line now this !' GOT To love Gambling!! LOL
                                                Comment
                                                • Sharp Snake
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 11-11-12
                                                  • 550

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by EmpireMaker
                                                  Tipsy quit like a little bitch because he was getting his ass drilled and it wasn't going to stop.
                                                  Ummm, no. The guy couldn't put any pressure on his left foot for most of the match. The fact he lasted as long as he did is saying something.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Billy M
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 11-12-11
                                                    • 594

                                                    #26
                                                    Wish he would have lasted for one more game!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MagicDiceFlow
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-15-12
                                                      • 4585

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Billy M
                                                      My local uses a sportbooks lines and rules and it said 2 Sets must be completed !! SMH !' First loss on GONzaga money line now this !' GOT To love Gambling!! LOL
                                                      That Gonzaga ending was the worst beat I've seen all year in hoops.
                                                      Comment
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