2013 Australian Open Selections

[CommonSense]

All are 1 unit bets and all are -110 unless indicated.

J.Benneteau Games Won/G.Dimitrov Games Won Over 41

N.Li Games Won/S.Karatantcheva Games Won Under 16½

O.Puchkova Games Won/M.Sharapova Games Won Under 16½ (-125)

BOL to all!

[CommonSense]

V.Troicki Games Won/R.Stepanek Games Won Over 38½

A.Bogomolov Jr Games Won/B.Baker Games Won Over 38 (-118)

O.Rochus Games Won +9½ (-104) vs D.Ferrer

BOL to all!

[Domestic]

Congrats on the easy Sharapova under.

[CommonSense]

Congrats on the easy Sharapova under.

Thanks. Now I wish I put a million dollars on it. GL!

[Domestic]

Haha, I know the feeling.

[CommonSense]

M.J.Koehler Games Won/K.Knapp Games Won Over 21 (-105)

E.Svitolina Games Won +6½ (-130) vs A.Kerber Games Won

BOL to all!

[gaebiskon]

very disappointed by dimitrov' garbage performance
he sure ****** many people today

[CommonSense]

very disappointed by dimitrov' garbage performance
he sure ****** many people today

Didn't he see the movie Wimbledon? Sharapova is suppose to be distracted and lose, not him! I figured he would win at least 1 set. GL in the rest of the tournament.

[CommonSense]

Last set of the night:

A.Ramos Games Won/M.Baghdatis Games Won Over 32½

L.Hewitt Games Won/J.Tipsarevic Games Won Over 41 (-125)

A.Ivanovic Games Won/M.Czink Games Won Under 17½ (-120)

BOL to all!

[CommonSense]

1/13/14 Results: 9-2 (+6.65 units)
J.Benneteau Games Won/G.Dimitrov Games Won Over 41 - l
N.Li Games Won/S.Karatantcheva Games Won Under 16½ - w
O.Puchkova Games Won/M.Sharapova Games Won Under 16½ (-125) - w
V.Troicki Games Won/R.Stepanek Games Won Over 38½ - w
A.Bogomolov Jr Games Won/B.Baker Games Won Over 38 (-118) - w
O.Rochus Games Won +9½ (-104) vs D.Ferrer - w
M.J.Koehler Games Won/K.Knapp Games Won Over 21 (-105) - w
E.Svitolina Games Won +6½ (-130) vs A.Kerber Games Won - w
A.Ramos Games Won/M.Baghdatis Games Won Over 32½ - w
L.Hewitt Games Won/J.Tipsarevic Games Won Over 41 (-125) - l
A.Ivanovic Games Won/M.Czink Games Won Under 17½ (-120) - w

Till later.

[CommonSense]

1/14/13
B.Paire Games Won/R.Federer Games Won Under 28½

V.Azarenka Games Won/M.Niculescu Games Won Under 16½ (-130)

S.Williams Games Won/E.Gallovits-Hall Games Won Under 15½ (-135)

BOL to all!

[CommonSense]

M.Oudin Games Won +5½ (-120) vs L.Robson Games Won

BOL to all!

[CommonSense]

R.Ramirez-Hidalgo Games Won +9½ (-125) vs Y-H.Lu

G.Monfils Games Won/A.Dolgopolov Games Won Over 40½ (-105)

L.Mayer Games Won +8 (-108) vs B.Tomic Games Won

BOL to all!

[CommonSense]

1/14/13 Results: 3-4 (-1.6 units)
B.Paire Games Won/R.Federer Games Won Under 28½ - w
V.Azarenka Games Won/M.Niculescu Games Won Under 16½ (-130) - l
S.Williams Games Won/E.Gallovits-Hall Games Won Under 15½ (-135) - w
M.Oudin Games Won +5½ (-120) vs L.Robson Games Won - l
R.Ramirez-Hidalgo Games Won +9½ (-125) vs Y-H.Lu - l
G.Monfils Games Won/A.Dolgopolov Games Won Over 40½ (-105) - w
L.Mayer Games Won +8 (-108) vs B.Tomic Games Won - l

YTD: 12-6 (+5.15 units)

Till later.

[CommonSense]

1/15/13
J.Goerges Games Won/R.Oprandi Games Won Over 20½ (-125)

K.Pervak Games Won/H.Watson Games Won Over 20½ (-120)

V.Dolonc Games Won/M.Bartoli Games Won Under 19

BOL to all!

[CommonSense]

M.Youzhny Games Won/E.Donskoy Games Won Under 37½

K.Nishikori Games Won -9 (-120) vs C.Berlocq

N.Almagro Games Won/D.Gimeno-Traver Games Won Over 35½ (-125)

BOL to all!

[CommonSense]

$300.00 To Win $168.47:
Pending 5 Team Parlay
Novak Djokovic -9000* vs Ryan Harrison
Janko Tipsarevic -700* vs Lukas Lacko
Ana Ivanovic -460* vs Yung-Jan Chan
Venus Williams -1120* vs Alize Cornet
Maria Sharapova -5250* vs Misaki Doi

BOL to all!

[CommonSense]

1/15/13 Results: 3-4 (-1.11 units)
J.Goerges Games Won/R.Oprandi Games Won Over 20½ (-125) - l
K.Pervak Games Won/H.Watson Games Won Over 20½ (-120) - w
V.Dolonc Games Won/M.Bartoli Games Won Under 19 - w
M.Youzhny Games Won/E.Donskoy Games Won Under 37½ - l
K.Nishikori Games Won -9 (-120) vs C.Berlocq - l
N.Almagro Games Won/D.Gimeno-Traver Games Won Over 35½ (-125) - l
$300.00 To Win $168.47 - 3 units to win 1.69 units - w
Pending 5 Team Parlay
Novak Djokovic -9000* vs Ryan Harrison
Janko Tipsarevic -700* vs Lukas Lacko
Ana Ivanovic -460* vs Yung-Jan Chan
Venus Williams -1120* vs Alize Cornet
Maria Sharapova -5250* vs Misaki Doi

YTD: 15-10 (+4.04 units)

I should just play the first 3 picks that come to my mind and leave it at that. I am 8-3 picking women matches so maybe I should stick with that. Parlays can be your friend, especially with heavy favorites. Till later.

[CommonSense]

1/16/13
$500.00 to win $1326.10 - 5 units to win 13.26 units
Pending 9 Team Parlay
Juan Martin del Potro -4000* vs Benjamin Becker
Andy Murray -16500* vs Joao Sousa
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -4000* vs Go Soeda
Richard Gasquet -1200* vs Alejandro Falla
Roger Federer -1700* vs Nikolay Davydenko
Victoria Azarenka -7000* vs Eleni Daniilidou
Caroline Wozniacki -520* vs Donna Vekic
Serena Williams -6000* vs Garbine Muguruza
Laura Robson +145* vs Petra Kvitova

Hope to get down to Robson bet and hedge either Kvitova or the over or both!

BOL to all!

[CommonSense]

1/16/13 Results: 1-0 (+13.26 units)
$500.00 to win $1326.10 - 5 units to win 13.26 units
Pending 9 Team Parlay
Juan Martin del Potro -4000* vs Benjamin Becker
Andy Murray -16500* vs Joao Sousa
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -4000* vs Go Soeda
Richard Gasquet -1200* vs Alejandro Falla
Roger Federer -1700* vs Nikolay Davydenko
Victoria Azarenka -7000* vs Eleni Daniilidou
Caroline Wozniacki -520* vs Donna Vekic
Serena Williams -6000* vs Garbine Muguruza
Laura Robson +145* vs Petra Kvitova

Was really tired last night and watching Fed/Dav match. Next thing I know, it's the morning and I didn't hedge my Robson pick. I would've been an unhappy camper if she lost.

YTD: 14-10 (+2.35 units)

YTD Parlays: 2-0 (+14.95 units)

Till later.

[Ms. Degen]

great job common sense!

let me know if you see anything worthy of a parlay or straight up today.

[thes0vereign]

Fantastic job with your 9-play parlay common!

[CommonSense]

1/17/13
S.Cirstea Games Won +6½ (-125) vs N.Li

J.Goerges Games Won/J.Zheng Games Won Over 21½

A.Ivanovic Games Won/J.Jankovic Games Won Over 21 (-112)

BOL to all!

[CommonSense]

great job common sense!

let me know if you see anything worthy of a parlay or straight up today.

Fantastic job with your 9-play parlay common!

Thanks. I did get lucky with Robson. I would've definitely hedge Kvitova if I had the chance. lol I'm going to play another parlay and see how long I can keep this up. GL today!

[CommonSense]

1/17/13
$300.00 to win $1249.35 - 3 units to win 12.49 units
8 Team Parlay
Duke -1500* vs Georgia Tech
Murray State -1400* vs Eastern Illinois
Novak Djokovic -10000* vs Radek Stepanek
Kei Nishikori -800* vs Evgeny Donskoy
Na Li -1250* vs Sorana Cirstea
J.Goerges Games Won/J.Zheng Games Won Over 21½
Agnieszka Radwanska -2300* vs Heather Watson
V.Williams Games Won/M.Sharapova Games Won Over 20

3.48 units to win 3 units - J.Zheng Games Won +2½ (-116) vs J.Goerges

The key is the J.Goerges Games Won/J.Zheng over 21.5 games which I also bet individually. I think this will go 3 sets and be a very close match so I also put some on Zheng in case it doesn't go 3 sets.

If I can get past that, the rest of the parlay has a high chance of winning until I reach the Williams/Sharapova match which I will definitely hedge this time around. I also hope there is live betting involved so I can wait and see what happens and hedge appropriately. I'm only doing this because I am up and I can afford to lose. Otherwise, this is a crazy ass bet!

BOL to all!

[CommonSense]

Hedging my 8-team parlay, just hope Novak comes through:

$200.00 to win $436.92 - 2 units to win 4.3 units
2 Team Parlay
E.Donskoy Games Won +7½ (-130) vs K.Nishikori Games Won
V.Williams Games Won/M.Sharapova Games Won Over 20 (-125)

[Optional]

Hedging my 8-team parlay, just hope Novak comes through:

$200.00 to win $436.92 - 2 units to win 4.3 units
2 Team Parlay
E.Donskoy Games Won +7½ (-130) vs K.Nishikori Games Won
V.Williams Games Won/M.Sharapova Games Won Over 20 (-125)

It scares me relying on Venus to win 9 games against Pova. She is in good form, but so is the #2 seed. Would add some straight ML Donskoy to the hedge myself.

[Optional]

* Maybe parlayed with the Under in Williams/Sharapova match?

[CommonSense]

* Maybe parlayed with the Under in Williams/Sharapova match?

If all goes well and Novak and Kei comes through, and if they have live betting and I think they will, I would see how the first set goes. Best scenerio is to go 7-6 and then I just sit and do nothing. If it isn't close and regardless of who wins, I would take the 1st set winner to win the 2nd set and then bet with them in each game until they get broken.

Or if all goes well, I just lay $700 on the under at probably even odds and go to sleep. lol

I didn't take ML Donskoy because I figure if he wins, he should win +7 games. But since I don't think he will win but can hang in there, Kei likes to have one close set in his matches, I might as well take the games so I can win both ways.

Worse case scenerio is if Novak loses or Kei loses, then I can go to sleep and ask myself why didn't I take ML Donskoy!!!! Time to watch the Donskoy match!

[Optional]

Sounds well thought out. GL

[CommonSense]

4* V.Williams Games Won/M.Sharapova Games Won Under 20 (-120)

Gonna play this out and see what happens. Worse case is up 1 unit. I'll also do live betting.

[CommonSense]

* Maybe parlayed with the Under in Williams/Sharapova match?

Actually, that would've been the correct play. But Donskoy made the "coulda, shoulda" moot when he couldn't hold serve in the 8th game.

[thes0vereign]

Congrats on staying awake to hedge your bet, I passed out without pressing enter on the confirmation screen and woke up to a losing wager with no arb. Sad panda, I was.

Still, a very good attempt and almost another hit. Keep up the good work, common.

[CommonSense]

1/18/13
S.Stephens Games Won/L.Robson Games Won Over 21½ (-130)

M.Raonic Games Won/P.Kohlschreiber Games Won Under 43

B.Tomic Games Won/R.Federer Games Won Under 35 (-120)

BOL to all!

[CommonSense]

Congrats on staying awake to hedge your bet, I passed out without pressing enter on the confirmation screen and woke up to a losing wager with no arb. Sad panda, I was.

Still, a very good attempt and almost another hit. Keep up the good work, common.

I made a couple of units in the first set by betting on Sharapova breaking Venus's serve so I came out okay. But if I only had the under ... You'll get 'em next time!