1.6.13: I Spy!

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #1
    1.6.13: I Spy!
    ATP Auckland: Bellucci +135
    Bellucci peetered out as the "guest" in the Challenger Finals in Sao Paulo - but a few weeks after, he scored a confidence boosting win over Roger Federer in an exhibition match in December. He draws Goffin to open. Goffin lost to Melzer in his 2nd match last week in Brisbane. He didn't play particularly bad, but a guy headed upwards - needs to win matches like that. Bellucci will be in his 1st appearance of the new season, but this is a comfortable spot for him. He's 4-3 in the main draw in this tournament in the last three trips. One of the things Goffin seems to have trouble with is playing against players with strong serves on quicker surfaces. While the surface isn't the best for the Brazilian, his serve does have some pop and if he isn't feeding Goffin a lot of 2nd serves ... he could be tough to break. Goffin may well rebound from last week's loss, but I'm looking for a good start for The Looch if he serves strong.
  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #2
    ATP Sydney: Ebden +130
    1st up for Granollers, while the home standing Aussie tries to rebound from a season opening drubbing to Goffin in Brisbane. This is almost an identical set-up to their meeting last year in this tournament. Ebden had lost to Stepanek in Brisbane and then beat Granollers in 3. Granollers can on occasion be tough on this surface, but his game is better suited elsewhere. Ebden is still green, but normally does heat up as the Aussie tournaments go on - at least from a competitive standpoint. Wins don't always follow, but I think the effort will be there and at plus odds he should at least make Granollers work if he wins.
    Comment
    • sando
      SBR MVP
      • 04-30-12
      • 3723

      #3
      Damn I really liked Granollers here EP. Might sit this one out. Best of luck to you...
      Comment
      • beefcake
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-26-09
        • 14029

        #4
        People are hot on a Sousa upset? What say you?
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #5
          Originally posted by sando
          Damn I really liked Granollers here EP. Might sit this one out. Best of luck to you...
          50-50ish in my opinion, but I like that Ebden has shown the ability to bounce back in past years and play well in Australia. Granollers has game, but a 1st up on his least favorite surface - good spot for Ebden IMO. Basically looking to split these dogs and profit. Not sure why people are hot on Sousa. He's a dirt rat. Mayer is always tough to figure out motivation wise. Pretty much a no play for me.
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #6
            Brilliant start Bellucci.
            :
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #7
              Bitchin' choke by Goffin. Was up 5-2, now down 5-6.


              I love/hate this shit.
              Comment
              • Optional
                Administrator
                • 06-10-10
                • 61615

                #8
                LOL. I'm on other side of this match EP. Opposite emotion swings to you with these two!

                I'm thinking the wind is part of the reason neither can hold a damn serve easily.
                .
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #9
                  Feels good to be on the right side of someone bending over and taking it in the ass.
                  Comment
                  • sando
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-30-12
                    • 3723

                    #10
                    EP = Easy Profits.
                    Comment
                    • Optional
                      Administrator
                      • 06-10-10
                      • 61615

                      #11
                      *ouch*

                      Nice pick.
                      .
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #12
                        WTA Hobart: Peng Shuai -160
                        She goes up against Su-Wei Hsieh who reportedly was very concerned following her loss last week that she had some sort of injury. She was complaining of soreness in her arms. I think the price has to reflect this as otherwise, we'd be looking at the reverse for price I think. Taking a shot that if Hsieh even competes that she isn't 100% and will be looking to protect her status for the Australian Open.
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #13
                          Looks like I'm on the other end of the rape roller coaster with Ebden. Up 3-0, now going to be down 3-5.
                          Comment
                          • EaglesPhan36
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-06-06
                            • 71662

                            #14
                            Ebden broke back, at least fighting hard.
                            Comment
                            • davopnz
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-12-12
                              • 1736

                              #15
                              like the over in the janowicz game?
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #16
                                What's the # ... 23? Tough call IMO. If JJ comes out flat from travel + this being his first match, could be an under. If he brings his best, then there should be some holds - but as Baker showed against Dimitrov, he is breakable also. So I don't know that an over is a perfect fit here.
                                Comment
                                • pinnacle420
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 10-01-12
                                  • 6254

                                  #17
                                  grannolers is done..... nice pick bro
                                  Comment
                                  • STAY STRONG
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-07-10
                                    • 2498

                                    #18
                                    Stosur ML pretty safe to throw in a parlay I assume?
                                    Comment
                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-06-06
                                      • 71662

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by pinnacle420
                                      grannolers is done..... nice pick bro
                                      Ah my 1st precelebratory fukk job. Uh, thanks? And doh!
                                      Comment
                                      • sando
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-30-12
                                        • 3723

                                        #20
                                        This Ebden/Granollers match is a gold mine for exchange traders.
                                        Comment
                                        • pistol17
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 11-17-10
                                          • 12

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by STAY STRONG
                                          Stosur ML pretty safe to throw in a parlay I assume?
                                          Said no one EVER
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #22
                                            I wouldn't play anything Stosur-related until after the Australian swing is over. She's brain dead the first month of the season. After that, if form improves she becomes backable normally.
                                            Comment
                                            • JNic
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-03-10
                                              • 4272

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                              I wouldn't play anything Stosur-related until after the Australian swing is over. She's brain dead the first month of the season. After that, if form improves she becomes backable normally.
                                              Remember she just came off ankle surgery (? I think that's what it was) and she only had 7 days to start preparing for her loss to Arvidsson last week. I see she lost again today
                                              Comment
                                              • JNic
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-03-10
                                                • 4272

                                                #24
                                                EP I got some good info for you, http://www.facebook.com/grega.zemlja?fref=ts

                                                read his last status, 39.1 ! indicating fever, haha one of his comments is this too Grega Zemljahvala tnx you, i think its getting better already, problem is a play 1st round tmrrw17 hours ago
                                                Comment
                                                • Optional
                                                  Administrator
                                                  • 06-10-10
                                                  • 61615

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by JNic
                                                  EP I got some good info for you, http://www.facebook.com/grega.zemlja?fref=ts

                                                  read his last status, 39.1 ! indicating fever, haha one of his comments is this too Grega Zemljahvala tnx you, i think its getting better already, problem is a play 1st round tmrrw17 hours ago
                                                  39.1 is pretty high temp too, he must have been quite unwell.
                                                  .
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                    • 71662

                                                    #26
                                                    Good find bro! Will add that into my thinking here as I start looking over these matches.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Optional
                                                      Administrator
                                                      • 06-10-10
                                                      • 61615

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                      Good find bro! Will add that into my thinking here as I start looking over these matches.
                                                      Price is dropping fast EP. If you have a book that is slow I'd grab it quick.
                                                      .
                                                      Comment
                                                      • beefcake
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-26-09
                                                        • 14029

                                                        #28
                                                        Well got on this late.Only parlay fodder now..Thanks bro!
                                                        Comment
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