Starting with $100

[Sport_Fish]

Sick loss there man...i've unfortunately dumped alot of money with this clown losing my parlays.

Ive realized Raonic's matches are a pure guessing game...even if his serve is on, it always comes down to 1 key game in each set and whether he gets a break or gets broken - shouldn't lay any juice on clowns like that.

[MUHerd37]

Sock wins 7-5 in the 3rd. Good job Raonic. That big serve was nowhere to be found tonight. 12 aces to Sock's 11. This project started out good but now it's gone to shit. The last leg kills me once again. Hit all my bets in basketball and it still feels like a bad day thanks to Raonic.

Record: 8-12 (1 pending)
Bank: $73.48

[MUHerd37]

Sick loss there man...i've unfortunately dumped alot of money with this clown losing my parlays.

Ive realized Raonic's matches are a pure guessing game...even if his serve is on, it always comes down to 1 key game in each set and whether he gets a break or gets broken - shouldn't lay any juice on clowns like that.

Yeah I think it's best to stay away from him. It doesn't matter if I bet on him or against him I usually get burned. Guy wins 6 straight matches including just winning a tournament. Then I bet on him and he loses in the 1st round to a guy who hadn't won a match all year. Unreal. Just unreal.

[MUHerd37]

Play for 2/21/2013:

4 team parlay:
Risk $5 for $4.94
1. Marin Cilic -485* vs Igor Sijsling
2. David Ferrer -490* vs David Nalbandian
3. Stanislas Wawrinka -420* vs Daniel Gimeno-Traver
4. Nicolas Almagro -950* vs Andrey Kuznetsov

[shari91]

Play for 2/21/2013:

4 team parlay:
Risk $5 for $4.94
1. Marin Cilic -485* vs Igor Sijsling
2. David Ferrer -490* vs David Nalbandian
3. Stanislas Wawrinka -420* vs Daniel Gimeno-Traver
4. Nicolas Almagro -950* vs Andrey Kuznetsov

I have Almagro/Ferrer/Simon/Nishikori. We're both going to win these ones.

[Hardcoar]

The bookmaker god demands moar shitty odds-favorites parlays.

Giraffe should bring it all back to you though, agreed.

Well there you go. What do you know!

Play for 2/21/2013:

4 team parlay:
Risk $5 for $4.94
1. Marin Cilic -485* vs Igor Sijsling
2. David Ferrer -490* vs David Nalbandian
3. Stanislas Wawrinka -420* vs Daniel Gimeno-Traver
4. Nicolas Almagro -950* vs Andrey Kuznetsov

Surely these massive favorites are guaranteed to win.

Good luck!

[Dmoneytx]

Yeah I think it's best to stay away from him. It doesn't matter if I bet on him or against him I usually get burned. Guy wins 6 straight matches including just winning a tournament. Then I bet on him and he loses in the 1st round to a guy who hadn't won a match all year. Unreal. Just unreal.

I could not have said it any better myself. I am so mad for putting that clown in my two big parlays yesterday. Can't believe he couldn't beat a Sock who has not done anything this year. And I mean anything. Didn't surprise me when I just read he had not won a match all year, but he beats the huge up and coming Raonic??? That was just a load of crap IMO. But the post is so right. His matches always come down to that one game & I have got to stay away from this guy in the future.

[MUHerd37]

Hopefully my luck turns around today. This project started out good but now I can't seem to hit anything. Still mad that I didn't hedge on Raonic. After I took him the price kept going up and up on him which was even better for a hedge. It can be hard to hedge tho when the payout is already small. Plus Serena pulled out so I didn't know what the payout would be. Gotta start hedging tho. It would have saved me several times this year.

[Hardcoar]

In that case, prepare to hedge!

[Dmoneytx]

I tend to ride the plays out Herd. Especially when the last leg left is freaking -1000 or higher! I agree with you though. I am going to start hedging also, last night I just passed out bec I had a fever or I would of for the first time in forever. Shiit luck to have Raonic choke last night. Sucked for both of us! Hedging, here we come!!!

[MUHerd37]

I tend to ride the plays out Herd. Especially when the last leg left is freaking -1000 or higher! I agree with you though. I am going to start hedging also, last night I just passed out bec I had a fever or I would of for the first time in forever. Shiit luck to have Raonic choke last night. Sucked for both of us! Hedging, here we come!!!

I was totally prepared to hedge and thought about it quite a bit. But with not much profit to begin with, hedging would have taken out even more. Hell, had I hedged on Sock, I would of had to of rooted for him too . I hedge a lot in other sports such as basketball and football. Need to hedge more in tennis. When I hedge, the original bet seems to always win and when I don't hedge it loses! Gambling can be cruel!

[MUHerd37]

Cilic might bust the parlay. He won the 1st set in a tiebreak but is about the lose the 2nd set. He hasn't had a single break point yet. It's amazing because it seems like he wins at least 2 points in every one of Sijsling's service games. Cilic needs to pick it up.

[MUHerd37]

Looks like Cilic may not even matter. Ferrer getting his ass handed to him. I love Ferrer and hat Fat Dave.

[Hardcoar]

We shall see. Both favorites still likely winners at this point.

Not @ 1.01 blind betting favorites @ shitty odds-parlay likely, but likely as in chances each amount to more than 50 %.

[MUHerd37]

Cilic won in the 3rd set tiebreak! The ugliest and luckiest win ever!!!??? Sisjling broke down. Fukkin wow! Come on Ferrer!

[Hardcoar]

Indeed. Cilic was no longer a likely winner at several points. :P

Were you watching as well?

[Sumalia]

Sisling just stabbed me in the heart. Unfuckingbelievable

[MUHerd37]

Ferrer breaks to take the 2nd set! Come on Ferrer!

[Sumalia]

Cillic is the Satan himself

[Hardcoar]

Ferrer breaks to take the 2nd set! Come on Ferrer!

FK the whales – save the favorites @ shitty odds-parlays!

Lookin' good by the way. My congratulations.

[MUHerd37]

Indeed. Cilic was no longer a likely winner at several points. :P

Were you watching as well?

Yeah I was watching. Got lucky as hell.

Sisling just stabbed me in the heart. Unfuckingbelievable

That's a horrible loss man. Sijsling blew that big time. Cilic had only 1 break point in the whole match which was at 6-5. That tiebreak was crazy. I don't think either guy won 2 straight serves. I don't know Sijsling didn't win. That double fault certainly didn't help.

[Hardcoar]

True, but just imagine all the favorites @ shitty odds-parlays that were saved! <3

[MUHerd37]

There was like 50 people in the stands at Memphis and Buenos Aires is packed damn near full.

[Hardcoar]

That's because Donald Duck was being fisted @ the Grand Stand.

Good night, and good luck with Ferrer.

[MUHerd37]

Break for Ferrer!

[MUHerd37]

Double break Ferrer! Up 4-0 and serving!

[MUHerd37]

Ferrer takes the 3rd set 6-0!

[MUHerd37]

That leaves only Wawa now. I said I was going to start hedging but I just don't want to right now. Had I bet more I would hedge, but it really isn't worth it right now. I have Wawa at 4 different books right now so he will probably lose.

[MUHerd37]

Wawa got it done 6-1 6-4. Was up 5-2 in the 2nd and choked away multiple match points and got broken, but got it done in the end. Finally ended this losing streak.

Record: 9-12 (1 pending)
Bank: $78.42

[shari91]

Told you we'd both win!

And stay away from hedging big fave parlays unless you've overbet. Which you obviously should never do anyway.

[MUHerd37]

Told you we'd both win!

And stay away from hedging big fave parlays unless you've overbet. Which you obviously should never do anyway.

When I do hedge the original bet almost always wins. When I don't hedge the bet seems to always lose. Hedging would have saved me on several bets already. I need to go on a run. This project started out well but hit the major skids.

[shari91]

When I do hedge the original bet almost always wins. When I don't hedge the bet seems to always lose. Hedging would have saved me on several bets already. I need to go on a run. This project started out well but hit the major skids.

Hedging is great if you've bet too much or the payout is big because of the odds involved. Always nice to green out and just be done with it. The flipside though is exactly what you said - your player wins and now you end up with less cash. But if you're going to take the chance of doing big fave parlays - when we both know big favourites lose quite often - then you're better off just doing the math properly beforehand and including the players with odds that are higher than the implied probability you give them of winning because you'll cut into your profit. As long as you do that you'll remember that you picked those players for a mathematical reason and just be done with it. If you lose, so be it but at least you're not chopping cash off when you win.

[MUHerd37]

I would only hedge on the last leg and if it pays out enough. Like with Sock/Raonic. Raonic went off at like -1250 so I figure Sock was around +800 or so? It only makes sense to hedge something like that because it ensures profit no matter who wins. Sock winning would have actually made more money than the parlay.

[MUHerd37]

Play for 2/22/2013:

3 team parlay:
Risk: $5 for $4.88

1.Denis Istomin -320* vs Michael Russell
2. B.Bryan/M.Bryan -520* vs S.Gonzalez/S.Lipsky
3. Petra Kvitova -380* vs Sara Errani

Wish I had checked earlier because I missed out on Ferrer. Oh well.

[MUHerd37]

Bryan brothers and Istomin won. Just need Kvitova to finish it off.