EP's $250/250: Week of 10-15-12

jrsync · 10-18-12, 02:11 AM

are you sure ?

rumple · 10-18-12, 06:27 AM

Good start to my morning having Shvedova first set.

The old wta special, up 5-1 lose 7-5. Gonna ride ep today to get it back!

EaglesPhan36 · 10-18-12, 06:34 AM

Adding

[Moscow] Cipolla +130 [$10]

The $10 play here is equivalent to maybe a half stakes bet normally. Cipolla not overly skilled on the faster stuff, but Bellucci is a turd who hasn't done much on anything but clay in the past six months.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-18-12, 06:52 AM

Phenomenal job by Sjisling to give away the 1st set.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-18-12, 07:09 AM

Hopefully the turd gets out of the way 1st. Sjisling is pretty much a lost cause since he went up 4-1 in the 1st. Putz.

beefcake · 10-18-12, 07:12 AM

Hey at least you did not bet Halep and woke up to see almost a double bagel..WTA dick right in my ass at 8am..

EaglesPhan36 · 10-18-12, 07:16 AM

Outside of points bets, I haven't touched much WTA for the better part of three-four months. Has kept me half sane. Shitty 1st bet results make the whole day feel like it's going to be a stinker.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-18-12, 07:37 AM

I see an ugly day coming now. F-ugly.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-18-12, 08:20 AM

Get on the fade train before it's too late.

Cappinpicks · 10-18-12, 08:36 AM

Surprised you went Thiem instead of matosevic with most tipsters on the dog, even though mato sucks and the line went to -245 I'm not gonna buy out of the bet.. Good luck maybe thiem rapes him like lacko yester

Cappinpicks · 10-18-12, 08:40 AM

you think janko tanks like hes known for? fshy -320 vs gulbis

EaglesPhan36 · 10-18-12, 08:53 AM

Tipsarevic isn't really a tanker. Not sure why you think so. His only real problem the last couple of weeks has been health, battling tonsilitis. Definitely wore him down some from what I saw. He may lose today, but he's not tanking. He has no reason to be here other than pushing for points to secure a spot in the Tour Finals. As I said earlier, you should get whatever he has left in his body at this point in the season. Doesn't mean it won't be an effort that loses, but from an percentage effort standpoint there is no doubt who I would take between Mr.T and Gulbis.

Cappinpicks · 10-18-12, 08:55 AM

beating Mr.T could be a huge win for gulbis career, never seen the billionaire play so I'll stay away even though tipsy should win without an odd fix

BRUTUSB33FCAKE · 10-18-12, 09:03 AM

Hmmm I was going to play the +5 on Gulbis but 5D just took the spread down for some reason.

beefcake · 10-18-12, 09:08 AM

As a person who has had tonsillitis 3 times in the past year, Tippy is a trooper..Although he has a lot more motivation than I do.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-18-12, 09:51 AM

Felt this shit day coming from a mile away after that first loss. One of those days where you leave the right ones out and put the wrong ones in.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-18-12, 10:56 AM

And the 0-fer is complete. Rarely have just a so-so losing day. Always do it 0-fer style. Gave back over half the profit for the week with today's awesomeness. Such is life betting tennis.

Current Profit: $65.00

EaglesPhan36 · 10-18-12, 10:44 PM

Friday, Oct.19th
Parlay: Almagro + Seppi [-133]
[Moscow] Janowicz -120

Bdolan33 · 10-19-12, 12:46 AM

ur the tennis expert but seemed like u were reaching with so many underdog plays.i think today ur gona get back on track

promm · 10-19-12, 04:12 AM

Careful with the Almagro game, EP. Fukkin' Hewitt scares me now. Bet against him last two Nieminen and Anderson games and he crush my bankroll. -230 doesn't good price for Almagro.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-19-12, 05:23 AM

Originally posted by Bdolan33

ur the tennis expert but seemed like u were reaching with so many underdog plays.i think today ur gona get back on track

Dogs win almost every day, especially during these 250s, some times you are on the right ones. Some times, not. Stakhovksy, Hewitt, Roger-Vasselin & Lorenzi all hit yesterday as dogs with three of them pretty chunky profits.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-19-12, 05:43 AM

Adding

[Vienna] Muller-Lorenzi Over 22 [-115]
Getting a half game lower at the same price @ Bovada compared to other markets. Muller hasn't quite been perfect on-serve and while Lorenzi isn't a hard court guy, he's been able to hold his own on-serve and I think can do so against Slugzilla.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-19-12, 07:18 AM

Lorenzi same thing in both sets. Shitty enough in one service game to blow the set. Had some better looks in the 2nd on Muller's serve, but never enough. Blah.

tevari · 10-19-12, 07:26 AM

Also on Janowicz. BOL.

riffraff24 · 10-19-12, 09:53 AM

Whats up bro! Hope you been well I havent really been on much lately.

I know you've said it multiple times in the past that line moves in tennis dont mean shit...But do you know of any reason why the Janowicz is no longer favored?

EaglesPhan36 · 10-19-12, 10:04 AM

PJust people moving on what they think is a live dog is my guess. I hate the term, but that is my guess. Think many from what it looks like are siding with the supposed experience edge.

Price probably should have been about a pick 'em to open any how, so this is just market adjustment IMO.