Call me crazy - I'm taking Mayr-Achleitner +500 this morning

[tevari]

Honestly, no one's been worse than her in the last few months - she's lost to the players she should lose to, and players that she has no business losing to. But today, she's in Austria, playing Sabine Lisicki, who as we all know is talented out the wazoo but is seen crying off the court on many occasions when her head isn't right. Based on her recent results and slippage down the ranks, I'd price this match around -250/+180 Lisicki/Mayr. Mayr is more of a clay court player, but I think she (along with many other WTA players) relishes playing in front of a home country crowd. I think Mayr scores a massive upset here.

+500, 1 unit

[Dmoneytx]

Ok, I call you crazy then Tevari Not bec of taking Mayr, but bec betting on WTA is crazy, IMO. I feel like any bet on the women is basically throwing money away. Good luck though.

[tevari]

Haven't heard that one before only playing with ya. see ya round.

[Dmoneytx]

I do wish you luck though. I hope everyone does well that plays the tennis consistenly like we do.

[tevari]

Thanks, likewise. Lisicki getting juiced up....Mayr-Achleitner is up to +550 now...hate getting a bad price but I guess it's to be expected with a "big name" playing a nobody.

[KidSeoul]

I was seriously considering taking +6 with Mayr but you know how that goes in tennis...first two sets are close and then a blowout in the third...so i thought the practical thing to do was take the Over 18.5. But after your write up, I just may throw some change on Mayr.

And Dmoney, there is no such thing as not playing something when you're a degen like us! lol.

BOL with your bet Tevari!

[tevari]

She stated in an interview that she was thrilled to receive a wild card entry into the tournament and that she plans to 'stop the negative slide' or something to that effect. Win or lose, she's going to give a maximum effort. I'd feel relatively comfortable taking +6 games. GL.

[KidSeoul]

ML jumped up to +647 on my book. So i said fug it! Putting a little shumthing shumthing on it! Time to ride or die Tevari!



Wager Type : Straight Bet

Sport : WTA Tennis
Selection : Patricia Mayr-Achleitner 10/10/2012 11:00 AM - (EST)
Money Line +647 for Match
Amount : Risking 30 To Win 194 USD

[tevari]

oh my lord i got a terrible line. oh well. good luck.

[KidSeoul]

Mayr breaks Lisicki! lol 2-1 Mayr!

[tevari]

This is looking good. Lisicki looking like pure shit. 3-1 Mayr.

[tevari]

Though - I've seen PLENTY of Mayr. She can blow it up at any time. Wouldn't feel comfortable unless she's up a set and 5-0 40-0 in the second set.

[tevari]

that's it lisicki that's it!

[KidSeoul]

Lisicki looks like she might start crying any moment!

[KidSeoul]

But damn, Lisicki is a cutey!

[tevari]

Yea, if you like fanged teeth women. Ever seen her incisors?

5-1 Mayr.

[MUHerd37]

Is there a better fade than Lisicki???

[KidSeoul]

Nope, haven't seen the teeth yet but will take your word for it!

First set Mayr 6-1 in 25 minutes! Sweet!

[KidSeoul]

Not to be too greedy but I need a more competitive second set in order for my Over 18.5 to cash.

[tevari]

Is there a better fade than Lisicki???

Not really. Loving every minute of this.

[kobee24]

Not to be too greedy but I need a more competitive second set in order for my Over 18.5 to cash.

I didn't fade Lisicki, took the over, hope it goes somewhere .

[KidSeoul]

I didn't fade Lisicki, took the over, hope it goes somewhere .

As long as it stays on serve, we are golden Kobe!

[tevari]

This is over. Thanks for the +500 cash, Lisicki!

[MUHerd37]

Lisicki lost the first set in just 25 minutes. Lost 6 straight games? Lisicki just doesn't try. Down a break early in the 2nd.

[bachngocduong]

Mayr +6 $ 200 winnnnn
Mayr +430 only 432 bad 25 to win 108

[KidSeoul]

So need Lisicki to hold her serve, break Mayr, and then hold her serve again. What I should really do...

[tevari]

Winner.

[KidSeoul]

Winner winner chicken dinner!!


Yes, still netted $100. Can't complain.


Tevari - You think another upset is possible with Niculescu?

[tevari]

No opinion on that match. Ivanovic is too up and down for me.

[KidSeoul]

No opinion on that match. Ivanovic is too up and down for me.

True, but so was Lisicki. Think I'm going to do a little shumthing shumthing again!

[bruceBRUCEbruce]

great call, OP!

but bec betting on WTA is crazy, IMO. I feel like any bet on the women is basically throwing money away.

you are as sharp as a wet bag of hair.

[KidSeoul]

Grabbed Niculescu +6 for $100 and +485 for $30. Let's see if lightning strikes twice today!

[tevari]

I'm done w/ fighting Dmoney on his stance on the WTA. He thinks it's a crapshoot, I make money on it. Nothing personal, just preference.

[BigPage25]

man i wish i would of seen this thread before the match.... Good call

[tevari]

Another big dog tonight: Doi +240