Fading players in their first match after winning their FIRST major..

[beefcake]

Partied to much, got laid to much, took a break, whatever the reason they seem to play like crap..Win by not covering..

2008 Djoker..Lost to davydenko in World team champ
2005..Nadal..Lost to Alexander Waske(WHO??!!)
2009..Delpo..Lost to Roger Vass..
2005...Gaudio..Beat Davydenko
2003..Roddick..Lost to Hrbaty in Davis Cup..
2003..Federer..Beat Lopez..
2004..Ferrero..Won

Also looked at other s such at others circa 1999-2003 and many won but many won by 3-5 games,surely the opponent covered the spread..

I bring this up because Murray is playing Sunday night vs Monfils..Monfils is +320...Should be getting 3.5-4.5 games as well..

[EaglesPhan36]

I have now nominated this for the nickname of the millenium ...

Monfils = Clownwheels.

[beefcake]

[EaglesPhan36]

It rhymes and fits his game to a T.

[TennisProFrance]

You could argue Murray already fell into this category after winning the Olympics (his performance in Canada).

Murray normally is at his strongest during the Asian leg, I wouldn't be taking a short position V's him and certainly never V's monfils (given his form/return from injury). I already looked at laying him at about even money in Japan, which I think is better than a single V's monfils.

That said Murray could start to have that extra swagar in this step now, he's been da man of the last few months.

[JNic]

It rhymes and fits his game to a T.

lol true except it doesnt rhyme

[EaglesPhan36]

It does if you say it to rhyme it.

[beefcake]

Murray did not cover vs Dr.Ivo..Another rusty major winner.Cant really blame him, Ivo is a nightmare to prepare for,especially with short notice with a player dropping out like Monfils..

[beefcake]

Time to add Bartoli to the list...

I don't care if she is playing a Wildcard Club pro from Key Biscayne..All over it!!

Lately the last few times they have played(1-4 ATS) like ass in their next match..Marion is going to be emotionally spent to be sure.Worth a shot. 1 unit on spread, .5 unit on ML!

Aza ..Won (covered)
Stosur ..Loss SU
Kvitova..Won(did not cover)
Na..Won(did not cover)
Schiavone..Su Loss

[beefcake]

Adding Wawrinka to the list..Playing Dr.Ivo..The doctor is +350..

[kenz]

Wawrinka vs Ivo has a different handicap line than similar games where the fav is around @1.20. It is 4.5 in Nishikori - Giraldo but here the line is 3, as Ivo is tough to break usually

I will probably buy a there will be tie break in this match, hope it is around @1.65 because of Wawrinka's ranking but I doubt so

[zec]

Davis cup doesn't count?