middling

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  • mr.inpak
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-13-09
    • 449

    #1
    middling
    is this a profitable middle taking 3.5 on the spread and laying -150 on the money line any thoughts
  • TryingMyBest
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-07-10
    • 611

    #2
    Originally posted by mr.inpak
    is this a profitable middle taking 3.5 on the spread and laying -150 on the money line any thoughts
    If it's even, you're 150 to win 100 on the ML, 130.95 to win 119.05 at +3.5. Risk 30.95 to win 219.05. This needs to hit 12.4%. 2 and 3 are each about a 4% push, 1 is a little less. Don't think this is +EV
    Comment
    • Monte
      SBR MVP
      • 08-21-10
      • 2056

      #3
      .-150 is a decent ML for a 3.5 spead (assuming the line doesn't lean more towards 3...), but with your middle you would just pay the juice for +3.5. Either way, middles are like arbs, if you play only the value line of the 2 (if it exists and you can identify it), you would do better.
      Comment
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