hei, i really dont see why i should give up or whats wrong with model, any thoughts/suggestions are appreciated.
my volume will improve alot during the next month, when i will be posting all the leagues that are atm starting new season, then i will get a decent sample size.
my model has been running since the beginning of the year and it is constantly achieving 4+ % closing line ROI, that means im taking Pinny´s opener and it im beating the no-vig closer for 4,15% ROI year to date
here is a break-down which proves to me, that i beat pretty much every league, be it top league or small
i myself am not seeing any other problem besides variance, again suggestions are welcome, im trying to improve my model
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2012 YTD (*vol = games wagered/all games)
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my volume will improve alot during the next month, when i will be posting all the leagues that are atm starting new season, then i will get a decent sample size.
my model has been running since the beginning of the year and it is constantly achieving 4+ % closing line ROI, that means im taking Pinny´s opener and it im beating the no-vig closer for 4,15% ROI year to date
here is a break-down which proves to me, that i beat pretty much every league, be it top league or small
i myself am not seeing any other problem besides variance, again suggestions are welcome, im trying to improve my model
---
2012 YTD (*vol = games wagered/all games)
---
| 589 | 4,15% | 7,5% | ||
| n | cl roi | vol | ||
| 1 | Allsvenskan | 7 | 2,27% | 7% |
| 2 | Argentina B | 11 | 5,09% | 7% |
| 3 | Argentine | 11 | -1,72% | 11% |
| 4 | Australia | 2 | 4,35% | 3% |
| 5 | Austri RZ EL | 4 | 7,90% | 6% |
| 6 | Austrian | 3 | 4,97% | 4% |
| 7 | Belgian | 9 | 5,35% | 10% |
| 8 | Belgian 2 | 2 | 7,62% | 1% |
| 9 | Brazil Ser A | 5 | -1,90% | 5% |
| 10 | Brazil Ser B | 7 | 3,62% | 7% |
| 11 | Bundesliga | 9 | 2,75% | 6% |
| 12 | Bundesliga 2 | 11 | 2,63% | 8% |
| 13 | Bundesliga 3 | 2 | 1,63% | 1% |
| 14 | Canadian SL | 5 | 12,72% | 11% |
| 15 | Chilean | 4 | 8,21% | 7% |
| 16 | Colombia A | 0 | ||
| 17 | Croati 1.HNL | 4 | 7,68% | 5% |
| 18 | Czech | 13 | 4,01% | 15% |
| 19 | Cyprus 1st D | 0 | 0% | |
| 20 | Danish 1 | 9 | 3,77% | 11% |
| 21 | Danish L | 1 | 3,65% | 2% |
| 22 | Dutch 1 | 30 | 3,05% | 21% |
| 23 | Dutch 2 | 15 | 4,62% | 11% |
| 24 | Ecuador A | 0 | 0% | |
| 25 | Eng L1 | 13 | 4,58% | 5% |
| 26 | Eng L2 | 5 | 3,33% | 2% |
| 27 | Eng. Chship | 7 | 6,58% | 3% |
| 28 | Eng. Conf. | 17 | 3,12% | 8% |
| 29 | Eng. Premier | 17 | 0,19% | 8% |
| 30 | Finnish V | 4 | 0,66% | 4% |
| 31 | France 3 | 7 | 6,64% | 4% |
| 32 | French 1 | 14 | 2,01% | 7% |
| 33 | French 2 | 4 | 5,02% | 2% |
| 34 | Greek | 14 | 5,13% | 12% |
| 35 | Hungary BL | 6 | -0,21% | 7% |
| 36 | Icelandic | 11 | 4,41% | 20% |
| 37 | Irish | 12 | 4,49% | 14% |
| 38 | Irish Div1 | 16 | 4,03% | 27% |
| 39 | Israel Prem | 5 | 0,25% | 5% |
| 40 | J2 League | 9 | 6,11% | 4% |
| 41 | J-League | 11 | 1,73% | 9% |
| 42 | La Liga | 30 | 4,77% | 15% |
| 43 | LFPB | 0 | ||
| 44 | Mexican | 9 | -0,66% | 11% |
| 45 | N. Ireland P | 4 | -4,79% | 6% |
| 46 | N.Zealand Ch | 5 | 9,84% | 45% |
| 47 | Norwegian 1 | 7 | 7,82% | 8% |
| 48 | Norwegian T | 6 | 7,89% | 6% |
| 49 | Paraguay | 0 | 0% | |
| 50 | Paulista | 11 | 8,46% | 12% |
| 51 | Peru 1 | 3 | -1,13% | 3% |
| 52 | Poland O E | 6 | 2,37% | 7% |
| 53 | Portuguese | 12 | -1,36% | 9% |
| 54 | Portuguese 2 | 2 | 0,90% | 2% |
| 55 | Romania 1 | 13 | 3,72% | 10% |
| 56 | Scot 1 | 3 | -1,22% | 3% |
| 57 | Scot 2 | 14 | 4,33% | 15% |
| 58 | Scot 3 | 16 | 4,17% | 16% |
| 59 | Scot Premier | 3 | 4,71% | 4% |
| 60 | Segunda Liga | 18 | 9,94% | 7% |
| 61 | Serbia SL | 10 | 2,53% | 12% |
| 62 | Serie A | 16 | 4,48% | 8% |
| 63 | Serie B | 10 | 3,71% | 5% |
| 64 | Slovakia CL | 4 | 5,85% | 5% |
| 65 | SloveniaPrva | 3 | -1,29% | 5% |
| 66 | Superettan | 6 | 7,25% | 6% |
| 67 | Swiss | 5 | 3,91% | 9% |
| 68 | Swiss 2 | 9 | 10,40% | 9% |
| 69 | Turkey SL | 14 | 1,80% | 10% |
| 70 | Ukraine P L | 11 | 0,97% | 19% |
| 71 | Uruguay 1 | 0 | 0% | |
| 72 | USA (NASL) | 1 | 8,76% | 6% |
