Tracking Thread

[elTiezo]

Great pick on Zaragoza sir

[deksar]

thanks

[JOHON8]

Fiorentina -1, -1.5 2.10 vs Cesena

Zaragoza vs Villarreal over 2.5 2.18

Hoffenheim vs Koln +1 1.84

Nacional Potosi ML 1.70 vs Bolivar

Leans:
1. I was leaning Udinese -0.5/-1, but Atalanta is in good form and the price feels like a trap.
2. Can't decide between Roma/Lazio over 2.5 and Lazio +0.5, will play it live.

Peru Primera:
Deportivo Cobresol -1.5 vs Jose Galvez

Screw South American youth squads, this is the last time I'm betting against them. The Udinese game was a trap, Lazio's good form could also have paid off.

3-2 for Sunday.

11-6.5-1.5

Good luck today!

Havent had time to cap much yet but I played Parma-Napoli over 2.5 @ 2.2 in the early Serie A game. Gonna check back in here later

I know what you mean with time, I'm only making some bets thanks to my smart phone. Big Dutch Eerste card tomorrow, will probably stick with a couple of the hot teams.

Like old times, good to talk to you again.

What book do you use, if you don't mind? 5Dimes doesn't have this match. No big thing, will follow to see how it plays out. Good luck.

I either use Betfair or Pinnacle. Sportingbet is good to find the rare games, but their odds are crap. I hope you didn't follow it though, I'm gonna stay away from these crappy SA teams for a while, even if they are facing youth squads.

Great pick on Zaragoza sir

thanks

Goal Koln! Finish tight boys!

Good day, 3-1! Cheers!

thanks guys

Koln were very underrated in this game, this is why I don't just bet because of previous records. So many online cappers took Hoffenheim just because Koln was in "bad form", they don't take into account what the team is thinking in the locker room after being humiliated so many times, especially a team with talent.

[TwoWays]

How the fck do you have time to follow all these leagues? Good day, you could do better. Do Better.

[JOHON8]

How the fck do you have time to follow all these leagues? Good day, you could do better. Do Better.

Internet is full of tips/advice/info, you just need to build up a directory and take in the information that makes sense according to your experiences. Once you learn how to organize your sources it doesn't take long.

[Mr.Kitty]

I know what you mean with time, I'm only making some bets thanks to my smart phone. Big Dutch Eerste card tomorrow, will probably stick with a couple of the hot teams.

Like old times, good to talk to you again.

I like to bet this league as well, mostly on goals. At first glance these games looks like possible over 2.5 parlay material. Let me know what you think.

Apeldoorn - FC Oss @ 1.40
AGOVV: 6 out of 11 games conceding 2 or more home goals, Only 1 home clean sheet this season
Oss: 8 out of 12 games conceding 2 or more away goals, No away clean sheets this season

Emmen - Veendam @ 1.57
Emmen: 7 out of 11 games conceding 2 or more home goals, Only 1 home clean sheet this season
Veendam: 11 out of 12 games conceding 2 or more away goals, No away clean sheets this season

Helmond - Almere @ 1.44
Helmond: 6 out of 11 games conceding 2 or more home goals, Only 2 home clean sheets this season
Almere: 9 out of 12 games conceding 2 or more away goals, Only 1 away clean sheet this season

Telstar - Willem II @ 1.47
Telstar: 16 out of 24 games conceding 2 or more goals, Only 2 home clean sheets this season
Willem II: Only 2 away clean sheets this season

Volendam - Zwolle @ 1.57
Volendam: 7 out of 11 games scoring 2 or more home goals, 7 out of 11 games conceding 2 or more home goals, Only 1 home clean sheet this season
Zwolle: 8 out of 12 games scoring 2 or more away goals

[swordsandtequila]

Let's bust some Dutch ass, Johon!

[JOHON8]

I like to bet this league as well, mostly on goals. At first glance these games looks like possible over 2.5 parlay material. Let me know what you think.

Apeldoorn - FC Oss @ 1.40
AGOVV: 6 out of 11 games conceding 2 or more home goals, Only 1 home clean sheet this season
Oss: 8 out of 12 games conceding 2 or more away goals, No away clean sheets this season

Emmen - Veendam @ 1.57
Emmen: 7 out of 11 games conceding 2 or more home goals, Only 1 home clean sheet this season
Veendam: 11 out of 12 games conceding 2 or more away goals, No away clean sheets this season

Helmond - Almere @ 1.44
Helmond: 6 out of 11 games conceding 2 or more home goals, Only 2 home clean sheets this season
Almere: 9 out of 12 games conceding 2 or more away goals, Only 1 away clean sheet this season

Telstar - Willem II @ 1.47
Telstar: 16 out of 24 games conceding 2 or more goals, Only 2 home clean sheets this season
Willem II: Only 2 away clean sheets this season

Volendam - Zwolle @ 1.57
Volendam: 7 out of 11 games scoring 2 or more home goals, 7 out of 11 games conceding 2 or more home goals, Only 1 home clean sheet this season
Zwolle: 8 out of 12 games scoring 2 or more away goals

The Oss and Willem II games are my top 2 for the overs. I might start doing your style of parlays, gl.

Holland Eerste:
Telstar vs Willem II over 3.5 2.42

[sportsguy04]

Good luck today buddy.

[jididii]

Thats my fav match for the day also! I have o 3.5 also but my biggest bet of the day is over 1- 1.5 first half at odds 2. Great chance of hitting i believe!! Gl

Jididii

[JOHON8]

Good luck today buddy.

thanks

Thats my fav match for the day also! I have o 3.5 also but my biggest bet of the day is over 1- 1.5 first half at odds 2. Great chance of hitting i believe!! Gl

Jididii

Good idea, might take a stab at that 1st half.

[latinrus]

Wilhem II 0-0 so far!

The Oss game already on 3 goals!

[latinrus]

just one goal, glad I tailed u on the Oss game!

In any case I should stop betting on mondays! Some of my winnings of weekend have gone!

[JOHON8]

The Oss and Willem II games are my top 2 for the overs. I might start doing your style of parlays, gl.

Holland Eerste:
Telstar vs Willem II over 3.5 2.42

0-1

Telstar obviously fixed their defense.

11-7.5-1.5

Arsenal ML 2.14 vs Milan

Worst performance in the CL by Arsenal in the 1st leg, now Milan will come in confident and stubborn. But I'm thinking of last season when Barca visited, hopefully I cash this one with the public.

[gotov]

0-1

Telstar obviously fixed their defense.

11-7.5-1.5

Arsenal ML 2.14 vs Milan

Worst performance in the CL by Arsenal in the 1st leg, now Milan will come in confident and stubborn. But I'm thinking of last season when Barca visited, hopefully I cash this one with the public.

Do you think arsenal win big ? RVP to score

[JOHON8]

I don't like to say Arsenal will score a lot or that the game will go over because Milan is in good form and will defend the whole game. But pressing Milan might force a red card, then anything can happen.

[gotov]

Interesting point Johon, might even see a penalty

[Metanoia]

I like the Arsenal ML pick, i believe they'll win, they're motivated to clean their image after losing 4-0, but i also believe it will go over, Arsenal will score and so will Milan in counter atacks.

I'm also on the over in Benfica - Zenit, and in Benfica ML. Benfica really needs to win after blowing a 5 points lead in the portuguese league, they really need to get back to the winning track, they also have the capacity and now without cold and with good grass things will be different

[JOHON8]

11-7.5-1.5

Arsenal ML 2.14 vs Milan

Worst performance in the CL by Arsenal in the 1st leg, now Milan will come in confident and stubborn. But I'm thinking of last season when Barca visited, hopefully I cash this one with the public.

1-0

I didn't have time to watch, but it looks like Arsenal came really close to equalizing the 4 goal deficit with 3-0.

12-7.5-1.5


Tempted to take under 3.5 in the Barca game tomorrow. Barca can go up 1 or 2 goals and then park the bus with possession. Then again the risk is Leverkusen will take more risks and get caught...

[Metanoia]

It's a bit unpredictable, because Leverkussen has got nothing to lose, so i believe they'll try to score and give space to Barcelona, if that happens it could be a high scoring game.

[BigTimeWinner]

indeed, very unpredictable, I believe Messi is back, leverkusen will try to attack as much as possible, and barca could destroy them in counters. It's just a question of whether Barca wants to scoree goals here, this game could easily go over 3.5
I would not touch it, maybe wait for some in-play action

[JOHON8]

Valencia -1 2.05 vs PSV
-Valencia can't do much in the league with Barca/Madrid at the top, they are in great form compared to PSV who got knocked up by Twente recently. I think they'll take this cup seriously and take PSV apart.

[swordsandtequila]

Off the board @ 5Dimes.

Back on; you got good price. Best I can get is -.5, -1 @ -109

[tullamore21]

Valencia -1 2.05 vs PSV
-Valencia can't do much in the league with Barca/Madrid at the top, they are in great form compared to PSV who got knocked up by Twente recently. I think they'll take this cup seriously and take PSV apart.

Why are you so confident? You are fading PSV mostly?

[JOHON8]

Why are you so confident? You are fading PSV mostly?

Yeah mostly, looks like it worked out they conceded 4, close to the 6 vs Twente. Twente and Alkmaar were my other leans, I should taken them.

Valencia -1 2.05 vs PSV
-Valencia can't do much in the league with Barca/Madrid at the top, they are in great form compared to PSV who got knocked up by Twente recently. I think they'll take this cup seriously and take PSV apart.

1-0

13-7.5-1.5

[JOHON8]

Arsenal vs Newcastle +1.5 1.87
-Newcastle undefeated in the last 3 matchups, winning 1 in London. I see a draw or narrow Arsenal win.

[theplagy]

agree with New +1.5
also like the over

[JOHON8]

agree with New +1.5
also like the over

agreed, I wanted to take the over too but the price is not worth it for me at 1.60 yet.

[mrtomk]

Arsenal vs Newcastle +1.5 1.87
-Newcastle undefeated in the last 3 matchups, winning 1 in London. I see a draw or narrow Arsenal win.

Hello, I was just having a look at your thread, and just wanted to let you know, Im not sure that 'undefeated in the last 3' bit is correct. I have their last three games as Sunderland, Wolves and Tottenham (is this the London game you're referring to)? Newcastle got beaten 5-0 in that game. The London game before that was against Fulham and they lost 5-2. Before that, they squeaked a 1-0 at a struggling QPR.

Good luck with your picks.

[JOHON8]

Hello, I was just having a look at your thread, and just wanted to let you know, Im not sure that 'undefeated in the last 3' bit is correct. I have their last three games as Sunderland, Wolves and Tottenham (is this the London game you're referring to)? Newcastle got beaten 5-0 in that game. The London game before that was against Fulham and they lost 5-2. Before that, they squeaked a 1-0 at a struggling QPR.

Good luck with your picks.

Hey tom. when I say matchup, I mean head to head, not last 3 games Newcastle played.

2 draws and a win for Newcastle between Arsenal in the last 3. (0-0, 4-4, 0-1)

[mrtomk]

Ahh! I see. My bad. BOL

[JOHON8]

Arsenal vs Newcastle +1.5 1.87
-Newcastle undefeated in the last 3 matchups, winning 1 in London. I see a draw or narrow Arsenal win.

1-0 we win with the books.

Lesson: don't just follow individual team forms, look closely at match ups, Newcastle had the draw locked till the 94th in London.

14-7.5-1.5

[petermans23]

Hi JOHON8!

Any opinion on tonights champion league game Inter-Marseille?

Thanks

[JOHON8]

Hi JOHON8!

Any opinion on tonights champion league game Inter-Marseille?

Thanks

I was away today, like Bayern, Real Madrid is in great form right now. But they're odds are extremely inflated because they don't need to win to qualify. Therefore CSKA has to score and Mourinho will make sure his defense comes first. I'm thinking about +2.5, but I will wait till the last minute for team info first.