Tracking Thread

[JOHON8]

Putting all my picks in 1 thread.

0-0-0

Macclesfield vs Plymouth PK 1.88
-Opponent facing injuries, Plymouth good away from home.

U. De Chile vs Cobreloa PK 2.00
-Opponent sent half the starters to Chile NT for tomorrow's friendly.

[JOHON8]

Swindon -1, -1.5 1.90 vs Burton
-Stats highly in favor of Swindon, maybe too highly but we'll see.

Elgin ML 1.60 vs Clyde
-Expecting Elgin to score a couple here.

Montrose vs Queens Park ML 1.74
-Just based on stats and drop in odds.

[p3re]

GL Johon i used to follow you in your old thread and was waiting again for a unique thread

[JOHON8]

GL Johon i used to follow you in your old thread and was waiting again for a unique thread

Hey thanks man, yeah I found some time recently so I thought I'd open another thread. I followed a couple of your picks too a while ago. There's a lot of money on Queens Park for a 3rd division game on Betfair, I think Montrose may be helping them out for points.

[beeps220]

BOL

Missed the afternoon games, going to be with you on Chilean match

[JOHON8]

BOL

Missed the afternoon games, going to be with you on Chilean match

Hey long time, good luck to us.

[JOHON8]

Swindon covers, Queens Park get the expected referee help for us, Plymouth was cashing until the 96th minute... lol, Elgin buried a lot of people, it was either they win 5-0 or pull the old 'not going to try hard as the big favorite'. Cobreloa starts in 15 minutes...

[JOHON8]

Putting all my picks in 1 thread. 0-0-0 Macclesfield vs Plymouth PK 1.88 -Opponent facing injuries, Plymouth good away from home. U. De Chile vs Cobreloa PK 2.00 -Opponent sent half the starters to Chile NT for tomorrow's friendly.

Swindon -1, -1.5 1.90 vs Burton -Stats highly in favor of Swindon, maybe too highly but we'll see. Elgin ML 1.60 vs Clyde -Expecting Elgin to score a couple here. Montrose vs Queens Park ML 1.74 -Just based on stats and drop in odds.

2-2-1

Universidad's youngsters dominated Cobreloa, watching that game I wished the regulars were playing instead.

[JOHON8]

Ayr United vs Ross County ML 1.73
-Ross leader of the table without a win for the last 5 games, hosts missing a lot of regulars but coming off a win despite 2nd from the bottom.

[JOHON8]

Romania vs Uruguay -0, -0.5 1.87

Freezing conditions in Romania, but Forlan and crew are present. Romania missing some regulars but will play defense the whole night. I'll take my chances with half PK/ML. Under might be a good play too, but with Forlan, Suarez and Cavani I'm not taking it even though both teams are defensive.

[JOHON8]

Just put a ridiculously large bet on Uruguay, going to go have a drink and not think about it until it's over. Good luck everyone.

[JOHON8]

[quote=JOHON8;13949619]Ayr United vs Ross County ML 1.73

Romania vs Uruguay -0, -0.5 1.87

Ross gets the win, Uruguay gives up the lead for a half loss/push.

3-2.5-1.5

[JOHON8]

Naval ML 1.73 vs Atletico Lisboa
-Atletico sold off many of their regulars to better teams, as well as the coach who will be replaced by the assistant manager for this game. We just need Naval to do their job and score in this one.

[showtiime]

Naval score '15

[JOHON8]

Naval ML 1.73 vs Atletico Lisboa

Market played me like a fool, those odd drops were a joke it seems.
3-3.5-1.5

March 4th in Bolivia:
Nacional Potosi ML 1.70 vs Bolivar
-Bolivar without 8 regulars, simply because they have another game in mind. odds already dropped from 2ish to 1.60ish in some places on Potosi ML, Potosi is 2nd in the league so there is some trust in them scoring and not totally screwing us over.

[JOHON8]

3 plays:

1. Cambur -1 1.90 vs Volendam
-Cambuur with a horrible streak of results, this is their comeback game against a side that plays with little motivation.
-This is my personal play of the day. I don't post unit sizes, because I think it's useless/unfair especially since I trade/hedge on Betfair regularly. I've done it before and it makes my record look good, but the point is to see how many games you can actually predict correctly IMO, how much you risk is your own responsibility.

2. Mervue vs Longford ML 2.20
-Longford motivated by promotion, home side missing a couple players.

3. Athlon vs SD Galway PK
-waiting for a good price on the PK. A match between 2 weak teams, but home side is missing a couple players.

[JOHON8]

Willem II -1.5 1.87 vs Emmen

[JOHON8]

Both Dutch bets score in less than 10 minutes

[JOHON8]

3 plays:
1. Cambur -1 1.90 vs Volendam
2. Mervue vs Longford ML 2.20
3. Athlon vs SD Galway PK

Willem II -1.5 1.87 vs Emmen

3-1 for the day, Eerste looking pretty predictable recently look out for this league.

6-4.5-1.5

[svenodds]

3-1 for the day, Eerste looking pretty predictable recently look out for this league.

6-4.5-1.5

nice day

[JOHON8]

nice day

Thanks bro.

Lokeren -1 1.80 vs Westerlo
-Westerlo with injury problems + the worst away team in the league. Only worry is trusting Lokeren to score and win by at least 2.

[showtiime]

^ Love that play, actually looked over the juliper league & that game was the only one that stuck out, was going to add the ML to a parlay but bitched out, GL anyway.

[JOHON8]

Thanks man, I'm still looking over some other games for 2-3pm. gl with your plays as well.

[JOHON8]

Barcelona vs Sporting Gijon +3 1.88
-No Messi, Busquets, Abidal etc... Guardiola looking at the Wednesday game with Leverkusen. I think Barca edge out a win here even with B team players, but not more than 3 goals.

[JOHON8]

Lokeren -1 1.80 vs Westerlo

Barcelona vs Sporting Gijon +3 1.88

2-0
Note: Get on these 3 trains, took Braga, Milan and Malaga live, these 3 teams are in really good form.

8-4.5-1.5

[swordsandtequila]

Nice day Johon, going to track your thread. As a new follower to soccer betting, always interested in what those more knowledgable have to say. If it's not a bother, would you mind stating the league for some of your lesser known picks? Just those that a novice American would consider obscure! Lower level Dutch, Russian, etc. Thanks again, good luck with your picks.

[JOHON8]

Nice day Johon, going to track your thread. As a new follower to soccer betting, always interested in what those more knowledgable have to say. If it's not a bother, would you mind stating the league for some of your lesser known picks? Just those that a novice American would consider obscure! Lower level Dutch, Russian, etc. Thanks again, good luck with your picks.

Hey thanks for the support man, ya I'll start adding leagues.

2 plays tomorrow + 1 from Bolivia I posted a few days ago (Bolivia - Clausura).

Serie A:
Fiorentina -1, -1.5 2.10 vs Cesena
-Home team in a bad run of form, but this is their comeback game in front of the crowd against a weak team.

La Liga:
Zaragoza vs Villarreal over 2.5 2.18
-Zaragoza will try really hard to score and win, I think Villa can match every goal or more.

Bundesliga:
Hoffenheim vs Koln +1 1.84
-Simply no respect for Koln in this spot - value.

Leans:
1. I was leaning Udinese -0.5/-1, but Atalanta is in good form and the price feels like a trap.
2. Can't decide between Roma/Lazio over 2.5 and Lazio +0.5, will play it live.

[Mr.Kitty]

Good luck today!

Havent had time to cap much yet but I played Parma-Napoli over 2.5 @ 2.2 in the early Serie A game. Gonna check back in here later

[swordsandtequila]

Hey thanks for the support man, ya I'll start adding leagues.

2 plays tomorrow + 1 from Bolivia I posted a few days ago (Bolivia - Clausura).

Serie A:
Fiorentina -1, -1.5 2.10 vs Cesena
-Home team in a bad run of form, but this is their comeback game in front of the crowd against a weak team.

La Liga:
Zaragoza vs Villarreal over 2.5 2.18
-Zaragoza will try really hard to score and win, I think Villa can match every goal or more.

Bundesliga:
Hoffenheim vs Koln +1 1.84
-Simply no respect for Koln in this spot - value.

Leans:
1. I was leaning Udinese -0.5/-1, but Atalanta is in good form and the price feels like a trap.
2. Can't decide between Roma/Lazio over 2.5 and Lazio +0.5, will play it live.

Great, thank you very much!

[swordsandtequila]

Didn't get up early enough to make the Villareal play, nice hit. Played the other two. Was already looking at the Udinese game (-.5/-1 -109); small wager on Udinese plus the over in Roma/Lazio. See how it goes. Good luck and thanks again.

[Les_Nuts]

I love Man Utd today, I'm a United fan I do not see us losing and we have a great chance at winning.
I have taken Man Utd at 2.60
and Man Utd to win or draw at 1.44

[JOHON8]

Didn't get up early enough to make the Villareal play, nice hit. Played the other two. Was already looking at the Udinese game (-.5/-1 -109); small wager on Udinese plus the over in Roma/Lazio. See how it goes. Good luck and thanks again.

np, I should've taken the Roma over, it will hit for you with 2 goals and a red card already.

I love Man Utd today, I'm a United fan I do not see us losing and we have a great chance at winning.
I have taken Man Utd at 2.60
and Man Utd to win or draw at 1.44

too much risk to manage in that game for me, good luck.

[JOHON8]

Peru Primera:

Deportivo Cobresol -1.5 vs Jose Galvez

-Jose Galvez fielding a youth team:
-http://elcomercio.pe/deportes/138224...ta-al-cobresol
-"The team chimbotano will use its youth because the guarantee of payments submitted by the club to the Professional Football Athletic Association was rejected because it does not guarantee the debt to the unionization of footballers and the current form."
-Cobresol is not a great team, and we've seen what youth teams can actually do with their energy. But I personaly have to gamble here given the info.

[swordsandtequila]

What book do you use, if you don't mind? 5Dimes doesn't have this match. No big thing, will follow to see how it plays out. Good luck.

[swordsandtequila]

Goal Koln! Finish tight boys!


Good day, 3-1! Cheers!