might play over 2 live after half-time if still 1-0.
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Zenit PK @ -152 1st half live-in-play...
They look more likely to get a second than concede equaliser in 1st halfComment -
And booom 2-0 Zenit. That covers my Krasnodar play at least if they can hold on for rest of half!Comment -
Awesome man, keep em coming!Comment -
Tempted to play the PK again! Zenit are in total control, really surprising how poor Krasnodar are. Why couldnt Zenit play like this against Basel last season
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Molde are playing 4 strikers by looks of it! Should be goals in this game, may bet on the over live! Mostrom, Chima, Coly, and Berget all startingComment -
Sligo/Molde Over 1 goal 1st half @ +115...Comment -
looks like its a day for the under in CL!
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ha Krasnodar scored straight away...small chance they get a draw out of this and both my plays would hit!Comment -
7 shots off target and 3 on target for Molde
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and anoter shot on target
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GoalComment -
Gooooooooooooooooooooooooooal Molde! Get in! I'll take the push, at least keeps my parlay with Molde PK in good shape!Comment -
Regarding TNS/Legia game, apparently the Racecourse Ground is full of Legia fans (due to high population of Polish in Wales!) so this is almost going to be like a home game for Legia! Legia also got 4 attackers starting in Kosecki, Saganowski, Dvalisvili, and PintoComment -
Relieved to get a push from that! Still close though compared to the other games where there was no goals lolComment -
fuuckit playing Legia -1 A.H. @ Evens...Comment -
elfsborg over 3.5 getting backed , dropped from 1.90 to 1.50Comment -
ha and scored a couple in quick successionComment -
ha TNS score with their first attack! comedyComment -
Legia playin like a bunch of chumps! Need at least an equaliser before half time otherwise screwed!Comment -
My over 1.5 first half is looking likely now
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Legia not even creating anything
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Startup Predicts Soccer Results
TECH EUROPE HOME PAGE »
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By Ben Rooney
WARSAW — If someone could predict with 90% accuracy the outcome of a soccer game, you might be tempted to put a bet on that match.
Betegy, a startup here in the Polish capital, is claiming just that on some games in major European and global leagues.
CEO and founder Alex Kornilov, a Ukrainian who came to Poland to study, said the company has just signed a deal with a U.S. broadcaster to provide forecasts for its soccer service. The details will be made public shortly. The company is working on a prediction engine that will be able to forecast the score.
At the heart of the company is an algorithm that takes in a huge range of factors. These include not just past performance, but things such as whether it is the manager’s birthday, a significant home match, even the weather. “Imagine that, say, Manchester United is playing Liverpool,” said Mr. Kornilov. “We know that Manchester United has more players who can strike from long distance. Usually in poor weather the manager will tell players to shoot from further out. Knowing these small things allows us to tweak the analysis in favor of Manchester United.”
Last year, the company was analyzing games in just five leagues–France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the U.K.–but has now grown that to 25, including Japan and Latin America.
The company came about almost by accident. Although based in Warsaw, Mr. Kornilov had a software firm in Ukraine. One of his developers had, as a hobby, worked on as soccer-prediction engine. He approached Mr. Kornilov.
“I didn’t believe it, so first I turned him down. But he came back. So I said ‘OK, you are so insistent. I will open an account with a book maker to bet on the Bundesliga [the main German league].’”
He put in €50 ($64.60) and bet according to the predictions the engine produced. “When that went to €300 really quickly I realized ‘this is it’. We spent months testing it to prove it. It really worked.”
Not every game can be predicted, and different leagues command different levels of confidence. The U.K. Premier league has high levels, since there are a few strong clubs and that gives the league stability, Mr. Kornilov said. “On games that we can call, for some matches we can predict with around 92% to 93% accuracy. For others it is around 55% to 60%.” Given there are three possible outcomes of a match, picking at random would give a 33% chance of success.
The same stability was true of the German, Spanish and Italian leagues, all of which had predictable “super clubs.” But he said there were some leagues where the success rate falls off. “The French league–totally unpredictable.”
The company is working on tournaments as well as leagues. In the recent Confederation Cup, Betegy correctly predicted Brazil’s victory, although Spain was widely tipped. The company didn’t quite get the score right (it predicted 2-1; the result was 3-0).
The company is considering branching out into other team sports such as basketball and American football. But it’s not for every sport, even ones that attract large amounts of betting. “There is no one in Ukraine who understands cricket. I don’t even understand the rules,” he said.
The five factors for success
- Current form. How good a team is right now. How has it performed over the last five matches. Poorer teams on good form can outperform stronger teams on a losing streak.
- Motivational factors. Is it the manager’s birthday, do they need to win because they are at home for the 100th match? Anything that is likely to add extra motivation.
- Individual player analysis. Who is on the pitch? Are key players who hold the team together missing?
- Weather. This can be very important to some teams.
- Luck. You can’t factor everything.
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just aimless crosses in to box and shiiitty long shots by Legia
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They've got no creativity and look sluggish. not looking goodComment -
hopeless long shot by Pinto...about 20 yards over
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Terrible from Legia
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Oh and interesting post by the way thanks.Comment -
fuuck nearly a gift wrapped opportunity there but still messed it upComment -
lol nearly 2-0Comment -
holy fuuck! guy just did a Zlatan, got through about 5 players then hits the post and rebounds to keeper! Could of scored 2 in 30 seconds there!Comment
