BigBurk's 2011/2012 Dutch Soccer Thread

[BigBurk]

Well it is kind of ironic that I of all people tip about a total, after just posting my bad total results... But I expect Switz to score one whilst I expect Holland to score a minimum of three. So even if Switz does not score, it would still be ok.....

But hey, I might be fade material again lol.

[BigBurk]

Line went from -117 to -137 as of now. Nice movement.

[PhillyUnionCC]

Only thing that worries me is friendlies tend to go under. Just look at both teams previous friendlies

[BigBurk]

True! Still confidend though in the play.

[BigBurk]

Lol.. Both holland and switzerland have had multiple good oppurtunities but still goalless after 35.

[BigBurk]

Ffs... Van Persie can not even get it in 1 on 1 vs the goalie.

If only he played as well in the Dutch squad as he does at the gunners.

[BigBurk]

Tomorrow's "friendly" game between life long rivals:

Germany (Friendly) -111* vs Netherlands (Friendly) *LOCKED* (2.5 units)

[BigBurk]

Sneijder is also probable to be out for tomorrows Holland game. That makes 3; VdV, RvP, Sneijder.

With Germany eager to win this one I might up the play some units.

[Sanka]

Sneijder is also probable to be out for tomorrows Holland game. That makes 3; VdV, RvP, Sneijder.

With Germany eager to win this one I might up the play some units.

Make that 5, since Robben and Afellay are still out as well. Been thinking about this play myself.

[BigBurk]

True, but I didn't want to count them in since they never even made the squad selection, due to injuries that is as you already said.

Waiting a bit longer to see what the line does, opened at -111, went to -120 yesterday evening and now stands at -112 again. Think the -112 is about the best you can get.

[BigBurk]

Upped the bet with 2.5 units to a total of 5.

[BigBurk]

Sneijder ís playing.

[BigBurk]

Cash those 5 units!

[BigBurk]

After the 5 unit winner on a horrible Holland match, we finally can go on betting the Dutch league again this weekend. Will definitely have some plays, doing some research tonight!

[BigBurk]

Just heard Luois van Gaal will be the new Ajax president starting July 1st 2012.

I'm curious if Cruijff (member of the board of commissioners) will be ok with this move of his fellow board members without his acception. We might just have a new war on our hands at Ajax, like always.

[BigBurk]

I'm trying something new starting from this weekend. I find myself fluctuating with unit bet sizes a lot, which may have even lead to more losses than necessary. From now on I will only play 3 types of plays; small (2 units), normal (5 units), big (10 units).

[BigBurk]

Putting these plays in early since I expect the lines to move;

11/19/11 Twente (HOL-E) -105* vs SC Heracles (HOL-E) *LOCKED* (5 units)

11/19/11 NEC Nijmegen (HOL-E) -135* vs Roda JC (HOL-E) *LOCKED* (2 units)

11/20/11 Vitesse (HOL-E) +122* vs Feyenoord (HOL-E) *LOCKED* (2 units)

[BigBurk]

Also playing a 5 team ML parlay:

PSV Eindhoven (HOL-E) -329* vs De Graafschap (HOL-E)
Heerenveen (HOL-E) -223* vs RKC Waalwick (HOL-E)
Ajax (HOL-E) -590* vs NAC Breda (HOL-E)
Groningen (HOL-E) -593* vs VVV Venlo (HOL-E)
AZ Alkmaar (HOL-E) -305* vs Exelsior (HOL-E)

*LOCKED* (2 units pay 4.86 units)

[BigBurk]

Add:

11/19/11 Heerenveen (HOL-E) -1,-1½ -117* vs RKC Waalwick (HOL-E) *LOCKED* (2 units)

11/20/11 AZ Alkmaar (HOL-E) -1½ -129* vs Exelsior (HOL-E) *LOCKED* (2 units)

[BigBurk]

Add:

NAC Breda to score a goal: NO* +105 vs Ajax *LOCKED* (2 units)

[EasyPicks]

Will tail some of the plays, thx Burk

[EasyPicks]

your opinion on this one:

FIORENTINA x AC MILAN OVER 2.5 @2.05

with an average of 13 goals scored and conceived, Fiorentina is averaging 2.6 goals per game when playing at home;
with an average of 18 goals scored and conceived, AC Milan is averaging 4.5 goals per game when playing away;


WHY IS THE ODD (at plus money) SO HIGH FOR THE OVER????

I know it's a Italian game...but still........

any thoughts on this?

[BigBurk]

Difficult to say mate.. I played some italian totals early in the season and got burned multiple times because they went under. Remember the week where all games drew 0-0 and the other two ended in 1-0?

I would say play it, but don't go crazy on it. I see this one ending in like 1-2 or 1-3...

[BigBurk]

It's a cold cold soccer betting world out there. Numbnuts of Twente.

[BigBurk]

Vitesse line up to +142. Bad line movement. I suggest to fade me for a while since I can not seem to pick any winners at the moment.

Fact is that 4 out of 5 dogs covered the spread yesterday... Maybe should play them more.

[BigBurk]

Feyenoord leading 0-3 after 40 mins. Another dog easily covering, and another bet down the drain.

[EasyPicks]

indeed bad line movement.....45'' played and Feyer. winning by 3! damn.....this week Dutch games burned me. Had a few parlays with Twente (everyone know how that went,,,,) and with Ajax!!

But I'm thinking in pounding AZ......

[BigBurk]

This week has been terrible. Might be my worst week in a while. Twente and Ajax should both have won their games easily but Ajax in particular has lost any kind of form. I'm going huge on Lyon this week against Ajax.

I am blaming Vermeer (Ajax goalie) once again, just like last week, for helping the opponent in the match again. I hope De Boer tries gives Cillisen a chance to prove himself.

[BigBurk]

I'm playing this live:

Vitesse team total over 0.5 @ 1.70 (3.5 units)

[BigBurk]

What a weekend.

Add Utrecht to the list of dogs covering this weekend. That makes 6 out of 7.

[BigBurk]

Upgraded with 10 units:

AZ Alkmaar (HOL-E) -1½ -120* vs Exelsior (HOL-E) *LOCKED* (12 units)

[PickApprentice]

Good luck, have not heard from you for a while now!

[BigBurk]

Luckily the AZ match is suspended, heavy fog.

AZ did not look good at all.

[ThaWoj]

so what does that mean, is the bet refunded? i have az in a parlay

nvmd, just saw on 5d its graded as cancelled

[phenomenon]

do u know when will az match replay or continue brother ?