my 'don't call it soccer' picks

[decado]

ESP Primera Div: Levante v Valencia - lay 0-0 - 2x

[decado]

POR Superliga: Leiria - Benfica - lay 0:0 - 2x

[decado]

NFL: Green Bay @ Philadelphia - back game total over 36.5 - 25x

I will watch this game and depending on the game I will trade.

[Hebodk]

ESP Primera Div: Levante v Valencia - lay 0-0 - 2x

Had the same lay bet like you - last minute goal from mata

[decado]

Had the same lay bet like you - last minute goal from mata

congrats.
called him 'mata'f-er after he missed a penalty earlier.

[bettorjon]

what is a lay bet? as i can see, you bet 0-0 for levante-valencia.

why are you celebrating on that goal which gave valencia the win?

[decado]

what is a lay bet? as i can see, you bet 0-0 for levante-valencia. why are you celebrating on that goal which gave valencia the win?

a lay bet is betting the opposite of an outcome. basically i expect that there will be no 0-0 happening (need at least one goal).
a back bet is the usual bet we all normally do. backing a team to win for example.

[bettorjon]

so there is a "aly bet" option in some sportsbook then?

coz i dont have one in my sb thats why i got confused

[Phillth]

Soccer!!!

[latinrus]

Cash ur bet on GB!
Good day for u!

[decado]

so there is a "aly bet" option in some sportsbook then? coz i dont have one in my sb thats why i got confused

you will find this only on betting exchange sites like betfair or betdaq.

Cash ur bet on GB! Good day for u!

[decado]

got lucky in NFL with total 37 at the end.
and taking levante-valencia was a very very bad choice (goal in 83min).

previous: 7-1 with +16.2

ENG FA Cup: Leicester v Manchester City - lay 0:0 - 2x WIN +2
POR Superliga: Guimares v Naval - lay 0:0 - 2x WIN +2
ESP Primera Div: Levante v Valencia - lay 0-0 - 2x WIN +2
POR Superliga: Leiria - Benfica - lay 0:0 - 2x WIN +2
NFL: Green Bay @ Philadelphia - back game total over 36.5 - 25x WIN +6,75

now: 12-1 with +30.95

[tommygun]

congrats mate, when you say x2 etc, is that x2 units? how much is each unit worth?

word of warning, be careful betting in the Italian Serie A and B, there are a few 0-0 games, I had a bet for Napoli vs someone and Cavani scored in the 92nd min of stoppage time so i got real lucky, had huge money on it too...

[decado]

CYP Division One: AC Omonia v Alki - in-game lay X (1H) - 5x

[decado]

congrats mate, when you say x2 etc, is that x2 units? how much is each unit worth? word of warning, be careful betting in the Italian Serie A and B, there are a few 0-0 games, I had a bet for Napoli vs someone and Cavani scored in the 92nd min of stoppage time so i got real lucky, had huge money on it too...

thanks for the warning about italian leagues. i know it as well and i would not put any money on them if i were not sure. i do check many times before i place my bets.

you got it right with my unit size. 2x is about 2% of my bankroll. it is low because lay bets have a high liability in general so i keep it small but steady. the lower the liability, the higher i will put my stake in.

[decado]

SCO FA Cup: Rangers v Kilmarnock - lay X - 10x

[moreira]

nice hit on the omonia game

[decado]

ENG FA Cup: Crawley Town v Derby - lay 0:0 - 2x

[decado]

nice hit on the omonia game

thanks

[decado]

previous: 12-1 with +30.95

CYP Division One: AC Omonia v Alki - in-game lay X (1H) - 5x WIN +5
SCO FA Cup: Rangers v Kilmarnock - lay X - 10x WIN +10
ENG FA Cup: Crawley Town v Derby - lay 0:0 - 2x WIN +2

now: 15-1 with +47.95

solid day, i guess.

[latinrus]

now: 15-1 with +47.95

solid day, i guess.

u already have a lot of profit!

[latinrus]

Interesting Decado, how do u minimize losses in case of a lay 0-0 when a game is 0-0 and almost the end of game?

[decado]

Interesting Decado, how do u minimize losses in case of a lay 0-0 when a game is 0-0 and almost the end of game?

if the game goes really bad, after 2H i will back 0-0 in many small stakes (like every 5 min) until i will be at 0 profit when a goal happens or lose about half of the initial lay profit when it ends 0-0. so far i did not do this method yet.
if you like, i can explain it more detailed tomorrow.

but i don't pick 0-0 games. i pick games with at least one goal and it's all good.

[decado]

rolling with and using nfl profit from last night:

NCAAF: Oregon v Auburn - back Auburn +2.5 - 4x

[Tommy_de1st]

GL my friend
be careful with this "lay" system cuz it's dangerous. It's like backing the 1.10 odds

[tommygun]

your doing very well

[decado]

GL my friend be careful with this "lay" system cuz it's dangerous. It's like backing the 1.10 odds

i know, tommy. if i fail one day i will blame you for introducing me to betfair.
but that ain't gonna happen. i will always be careful.

your doing very well

thanks

[coilinsud9]

Which bookmakers are you using?, THANK

[decado]

previous: 15-1 with +47.95

NCAAF: Oregon v Auburn - back Auburn +2.5 - 4x WIN +2,5

now: 16-1 with +50.45



I 'greened' myself in Auburn v Oregon game before half time, so no matter who would have won last night,
I was in + side on both teams. I will explain how I did this:

I placed four more live bets during the game because I felt that my initial bet 'Auburn +2.5' may be a loss. Therefore I had to react, so I would not lose 4x in case of Oregon winning more than 2.5pts.

 0-0  pre-game,    back auburn+2.5 @1.83 (-120) for 4x = O-4,00 A+3,32
 0-0  auburn ball, back oregon     @2.12 (+112) for 3x = O+6,36 A-3,00
 3-0  oregon lead, back auburn     @2.72 (+172) for 4x = O-4,00 A+6,88
 3-7  auburn lead, lay auburn      @1,70 (-143) for 5x = O+5,00 A-3,50
16-11 auburn HT lead, lay auburn   @1,60 (-167) for 2x = O+2,00 A-1,20

That makes:
Auburn win: +3,32 -3,00 +6,88 -3,50 -1,20 = 2,50x
Oregon win: -4,00 +6,36 -4,00 +5,00 +2,00 = 5,36x

In this case I won 2,50x last night.

[decado]

ENG Blue Sq Premier: Darlington v Histon - lay X - 7x

[decado]

ENG League Two: Stockport v Rotherham - lay X - 7x

[decado]

ENG League Two: Huddersfield v Plymouth - lay X - 7x

[decado]

ENG League One: Peterborough v Brentford - lay 0:0 - 2x

[decado]

previous: 16-1 with +50.45
ENG Blue Sq Premier: Darlington v Histon - lay X - 7x WIN +5 (-2 due to greening)
ENG League Two: Stockport v Rotherham - lay X - 7x PUSH-0 (-7 due to greening)
ENG League Two: Huddersfield v Plymouth - lay X - 7x WIN +5.7 (-1.3 due to greening)
ENG League One: Peterborough v Brentford - lay 0:0 - 2x WIN +2

now: 19-1-1 with +63.15

All three 'lay X' matches almost f-ked me up today. After I placed my bets, I found out they are nowhere aired live on tv/online, neither could I find any live stats for these matches. (It is vital to follow the games to make short-time predictions)

Then the dogs started scoring first which are bad for the 'lay X' strategy. I had to green up all three games in 2H and lost no profit at the end.

Maybe no more 'lay X' in lower English leagues for me. It is too risky.

[Tommy_de1st]

Was Darlington/Histon live at BF?