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  • Metanoia
    SBR MVP
    • 12-20-10
    • 2102

    #5286
    Different things can work for different people, but the more you expose yourself the more you risk to lose, but with so many bets i hope that at least you know well the teams and sports your betting.

    Making as much money as you can doesn't mean that you have to bet as much as possible, some people bet very little games, but when they do, they bet huge amounts, and have high returns that most bettors only dream of probably.

    There are many aproachs, what counts in the end is always profit
    Comment
    • Rolo1984
      SBR High Roller
      • 02-16-11
      • 204

      #5287
      Originally posted by Metanoia
      Different things can work for different people, but the more you expose yourself the more you risk to lose, but with so many bets i hope that at least you know well the teams and sports your betting.

      Making as much money as you can doesn't mean that you have to bet as much as possible, some people bet very little games, but when they do, they bet huge amounts, and have high returns that most bettors only dream of probably.

      There are many aproachs, what counts in the end is always profit
      I dont think you really get it. Betting only a small amount of games but betting big is really not smart. I expect people to bet a significant portion of their BR if they adopt this style. The variance in sportsbetting is insane. You can easily go on a bad run and go broke. Real good sportsbettors never adopt this strategy. A longterm ROi of >5% is insane. If you have only a couple of bets a week you could get 10%. The thing is with only 10 bets a week there is no way to know if (when positive) you are just running good and being lucky or you really have a significant edge

      Good sportsbettors try to bet on every game where it is +EV. You only stake a small portion of your BR every time you bet. The idea is to wager 1 unit as much as you can. You do this to minimise variance and build up something stable. Every professional sportsbettor has this strategy. The only difference is what some see as value others dont

      Obviously the goal is profit. But maximising profit is not betting a couple of event big. That is just gambling
      Comment
      • Metanoia
        SBR MVP
        • 12-20-10
        • 2102

        #5288
        Originally posted by Rolo1984
        I dont think you really get it. Betting only a small amount of games but betting big is really not smart. I expect people to bet a significant portion of their BR if they adopt this style. The variance in sportsbetting is insane. You can easily go on a bad run and go broke. Real good sportsbettors never adopt this strategy. A longterm ROi of >5% is insane. If you have only a couple of bets a week you could get 10%. The thing is with only 10 bets a week there is no way to know if (when positive) you are just running good and being lucky or you really have a significant edge

        Good sportsbettors try to bet on every game where it is +EV. You only stake a small portion of your BR every time you bet. The idea is to wager 1 unit as much as you can. You do this to minimise variance and build up something stable. Every professional sportsbettor has this strategy. The only difference is what some see as value others dont

        Obviously the goal is profit. But maximising profit is not betting a couple of event big. That is just gambling

        I don't bet big amounts on a small amount of games, i said some people do that, and i know a couple of guys personally who have big success, if they're simply lucky and one day they'll screw up? maybe.

        I bet small percentages of my bankroll, but i don't bet so many games as you, far from it, i only bet what i know well, when i think there's value. I have to know the leagues and teams well, statistics, recent form, injuries, motivation, all the information that i can.
        Comment
        • pacocn
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-05-10
          • 12934

          #5289
          met if i were a linesmaker i would go o/u 3 days
          for paco's thread to open
          Comment
          • Metanoia
            SBR MVP
            • 12-20-10
            • 2102

            #5290
            you know him better than me, i'll take your line LOL another good one is: Paco will re open his thread or open a new thread

            Whatever he decides i hope he comes back, not only he gives a lot to a lot of people here, but also he shoudn't let a stupid useless hater get on his nerves. Those guys deserve no respect, they only know how to destroy
            Comment
            • Metanoia
              SBR MVP
              • 12-20-10
              • 2102

              #5291
              Today in soccer: Czech Republic - Liechenstein Over 3.5 goals Holland - Hungary Over 3 goals Belgium - Azerbaijan Over 3 goals

              Good Luck
              Comment
              • decado
                SBR MVP
                • 08-23-10
                • 2392

                #5292
                looks like coentrao will go to bayern.
                still need to convince neuer to come and another good defender (cahill?) and we are set for next season.
                Comment
                • latinrus
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-01-10
                  • 11188

                  #5293
                  Originally posted by Metanoia
                  Today in soccer: Czech Republic - Liechenstein Over 3.5 goals Holland - Hungary Over 3 goals Belgium - Azerbaijan Over 3 goals

                  Good Luck
                  BOL MET!

                  Damn I just saw Czech ended 2-0!
                  Comment
                  • latinrus
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-01-10
                    • 11188

                    #5294
                    Originally posted by decado
                    looks like coentrao will go to bayern.
                    still need to convince neuer to come and another good defender (cahill?) and we are set for next season.



                    I think it will be good if Bayern gets Coentrao!
                    Comment
                    • Metanoia
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-20-10
                      • 2102

                      #5295
                      Yep the Czechs couldn't score more than 2 goals against one of the weakest national teams in the planet.

                      We'll sell Coentrão to whoever pays us 30 million euros
                      Comment
                      • latinrus
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-01-10
                        • 11188

                        #5296
                        Nice Met the last 2 ones cashed!
                        Comment
                        • Metanoia
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-20-10
                          • 2102

                          #5297
                          Yep crazy rain of goals
                          Comment
                          • pacocn
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-05-10
                            • 12934

                            #5298
                            met, nice work keep it going yeah im guessing paco
                            will be back tomorrow or thurs. the guys was on fire.
                            Comment
                            • nobull
                              Restricted User
                              • 11-24-09
                              • 830

                              #5299
                              nice call on the over .............. great day for footbol fellas
                              Comment
                              • sneakerhead
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 07-14-10
                                • 7727

                                #5300
                                great calls Met
                                Comment
                                • Metanoia
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-20-10
                                  • 2102

                                  #5301
                                  Thanks guys i'm glad we all cashed
                                  Comment
                                  • latinrus
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-01-10
                                    • 11188

                                    #5302
                                    Originally posted by Metanoia
                                    Thanks guys i'm glad we all cashed
                                    I couldn't bet!
                                    Comment
                                    • lucaario83
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 10-05-10
                                      • 180

                                      #5303
                                      congrats on a great day
                                      Comment
                                      • latinrus
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-01-10
                                        • 11188

                                        #5304
                                        FML!


                                        Cristiano still injured. Benzema Injured, Marcelo injured! I think they wont play on saturday cause they have to be ready for tuesday!


                                        Also I doubt Xabi Alonso will play! He played yesterday and doubt Mou will put him against Sporting cause he also want the boy ready for the game against Spurs!
                                        Comment
                                        • Sanka
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-29-10
                                          • 2641

                                          #5305
                                          Originally posted by latinrus
                                          FML!


                                          Cristiano still injured. Benzema Injured, Marcelo injured! I think they wont play on saturday cause they have to be ready for tuesday!


                                          Also I doubt Xabi Alonso will play! He played yesterday and doubt Mou will put him against Sporting cause he also want the boy ready for the game against Spurs!
                                          But Higuain is almost back

                                          He played for 1 hour in a training match against Castilla today and might even be included in the squad this weekend.
                                          Comment
                                          • scotty99dog99
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 09-17-10
                                            • 202

                                            #5306
                                            Good luck with your picks.
                                            Comment
                                            • latinrus
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-01-10
                                              • 11188

                                              #5307
                                              Originally posted by Sanka
                                              But Higuain is almost back

                                              He played for 1 hour in a training match against Castilla today and might even be included in the squad this weekend.
                                              I've never been a fan of Higuain! Especially after the sh*t he did last year against Lyon missing basically goals that u can't miss!

                                              Always disappeared on big games!
                                              Comment
                                              • Sanka
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-29-10
                                                • 2641

                                                #5308
                                                Originally posted by latinrus
                                                I've never been a fan of Higuain! Especially after the sh*t he did last year against Lyon missing basically goals that u can't miss!
                                                Every striker has games like that sometimes. Hell, Marcus Berg has a game like that every week, sometimes twice a week!

                                                Once fully fit he's still your best option for scoring goals next to Ronaldo.
                                                Comment
                                                • latinrus
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-01-10
                                                  • 11188

                                                  #5309
                                                  Originally posted by Sanka
                                                  Every striker has games like that sometimes. Hell, Marcus Berg has a game like that every week, sometimes twice a week!

                                                  Once fully fit he's still your best option for scoring goals next to Ronaldo.
                                                  Higuain is a striker for little games against Almeria, Hercules or whatever.


                                                  Against Lyon or in Europe he'll piss his pants! 5 golas in 25 games for a striker in the best club of the world?? What a fvcking joke!

                                                  I have always think he's not for Real! He doesn't have intuition to appear when the teams needs him! As long as he wont show that I can't say he can play in the team!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Sanka
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-29-10
                                                    • 2641

                                                    #5310
                                                    Originally posted by latinrus
                                                    Higuain is a striker for little games against Almeria, Hercules or whatever.


                                                    Against Lyon or in Europe he'll piss his pants! 5 golas in 25 games for a striker in the best club of the world?? What a fvcking joke!

                                                    I have always think he's not for Real! He doesn't have intuition to appear when the teams needs him! As long as he wont show that I can't say he can play in the team!
                                                    That's definitely not a good average, but I'm curious to see how many minutes he played in those games. In his first two seasons he was mainly used as a substitute (in Europe even in his third season if I remember correctly). Also remember he's still only 23.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Sanka
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-29-10
                                                      • 2641

                                                      #5311
                                                      Just checked and he is only averaging 57 minutes per game in all of his CL games combined. Still doesn't make it a great goal average, but not as bad as it looked at first sight.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JBQB107
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 01-24-10
                                                        • 152

                                                        #5312
                                                        viva espana!!!!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Metanoia
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-20-10
                                                          • 2102

                                                          #5313
                                                          Latin remember that Higuain has always scored around 25 goals per season in Real Madrid, that's very good, i like him.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • scotty99dog99
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 09-17-10
                                                            • 202

                                                            #5314
                                                            I agree, Viva Espana. GL
                                                            Comment
                                                            • fernasta
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 09-07-10
                                                              • 145

                                                              #5315
                                                              Waiting for your weekend picks!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • latinrus
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 08-01-10
                                                                • 11188

                                                                #5316
                                                                MLB started already!

                                                                Tomorrow Red Sox Red Sox!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • scotty99dog99
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 09-17-10
                                                                  • 202

                                                                  #5317
                                                                  with you on Red Sox. I like them
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • latinrus
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-01-10
                                                                    • 11188

                                                                    #5318
                                                                    Originally posted by scotty99dog99
                                                                    with you on Red Sox. I like them
                                                                    We have a good lineup this year!

                                                                    I'm just worried about the pitchers!

                                                                    Lester and Buchholz are good. I just don't know what to expect about Lacky, Beckett and Matzusaka!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • decado
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-23-10
                                                                      • 2392

                                                                      #5319
                                                                      good to see mlb being back.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • latinrus
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 08-01-10
                                                                        • 11188

                                                                        #5320
                                                                        Originally posted by decado
                                                                        good to see mlb being back.


                                                                        How have u being Decado? Haven't seen u around.

                                                                        I was busy finding a new place to live not I think I found and will move on sunday!

                                                                        Si I'll watch the Real Madrid game tomorrow!

                                                                        Damn the team is fvcked tomorrow! Lot of injuries!

                                                                        No Benze, Ronaldo, Marcelo. Xabi Alonso is suspended. And also people saying Pepe wont be tomorrow!

                                                                        Casillas, Adán y Dudek (porteros); Garay, Albiol, Ramos, Carvalho, Pepe y Arbeloa (defensas); Lass, Khedira, Granero, Álex, Juanfran, Canales, Özil, Di María y Juan Carlos (centrocampistas); Adebayor e Higuaín (delanteros)


                                                                        Don't know WTF is Mourinho thinking by taking Higuain to the game! I hope he wont play! IMO he has to rest still at least 2 weeks or he may be be risking to much and be injured. Sometimes I think WTF is wrong with the medical team of the Real Madrid.

                                                                        I wanted to see Morata no seems like Mou still not planning to give him a change.

                                                                        Mourinho and Real Madrid also saying that Benzema, Marcelo and CR7 maybe wont play against Spurs

                                                                        I hope that's a strategy and at least we'll have 2 of them cause in other case we'll have a tough time!
                                                                        Comment
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