Sanka's soccer

[Sanka]

One more goal in Bremen Hannover, to Hannover so that we can both cash

Tough luck m8, both teams could've easily scored more tonight

[Metanoia]

Ya but both teams play such a poor football, all they can do is kick the ball high and long, no imagination there LOL

High hopes on Inter to save the day

I'm watching Benfica play now, it's HT we're winning 1-0 but it could be so many more goals, high pressure and so many chances to score, two balls hit the iron already. We need a second goal to rest a bit.

[Sanka]

Ya but both teams play such a poor football, all they can do is kick the ball high and long, no imagination there LOL

High hopes on Inter to save the day

I'm watching Benfica play now, it's HT we're winning 1-0 but it could be so many more goals, high pressure and so many chances to score, two balls hit the iron already. We need a second goal to rest a bit.

And there it is

Glad I stayed away from Villareal btw, had a slight lean on them but they're losing atm.

[latinrus]

And there it is

Glad I stayed away from Villareal btw, had a slight lean on them but they're losing atm.

Still 20 minutes! This is the Deportivo that blew a 3-0 lead against Sevilla

Maybe Villareal can tie!

Today in fact Hercules was losing till 80th minute and then 2 goal and they won 2-1!
And Getafe blew a 2-0 lead to end 2-2 with Malaga!

[Metanoia]

3-0 Benfica a penalty missed and 2 clean goals stolen by the referee, but we won that's what counts

[Sanka]

1-0 Juventus

[Sanka]

3-0 Benfica a penalty missed and 2 clean goals stolen by the referee, but we won that's what counts

[Metanoia]

Inter lost, real bad sunday

[Sanka]

Inter lost, real bad sunday

[Sanka]

Zwolle - G.A. Eagles Zwolle -1 @2.12 (2.5x)
Palermo - Fiorentina Palermo ML @1.94 (1x)
Tenerife - Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano PK @2.09 (1x)

Cesena - Udinese Udinese ML @2.10 (1.5x)
Juventus - Inter Milan Inter Milan PK @1.93 (1x)

Werder Bremen - Hannover Hannover +0.5 @2.17 (1x)
Real Sociedad - Osasuna Real Sociedad ML @2.40 (1x)

De Graafschap - Groningen Groningen PK, -0.5 @2.13 (0.5x) (1/2 PUSH)

4 - 3.5 - 0.5, +3.77u

[Metanoia]

Well done Sanka any leans for Jupiler league tomorrow?

[Sanka]

Haven't looked yet. Got tomorrow off from work so plenty of time to do so

[JOHON8]

Books keep gifting us Udinese +ev, I wish I went bigger on it but honestly I don't have enough time to analyze games these days... nice job this weekend.

I'm starting to look at the CL card, are you going to cap it midweek? I'm thinking of parlaying all the tues/weds home teams for half a unit... Arsenal +0.5, Milan ML, Valencia ML and Roma ML.

[Metanoia]

I agree with Milan and Valencia, about Roma i'm not too sure, Shaktar plays very well in counter attack, and Roma is not a regular team IMO, Arsenal i really don't think they'll beat Barcelona even at home but in that game i'm more inclined to bet the goals market.

[Sanka]

Will take a close look at the CL games tomorrow.

At first glance I like all hometeams except Arsenal, I agree with Metanoia that the over will probably be the better play there.

[Sanka]

Emmen - Cambuur Over 3 @2.04 (2x)
Den Bosch - Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard +1, +1.5 @1.89 (0.5x)

[RbN]

Good luck

Will look into the Emmen - Cambuur game also, but not so into Jupiler League. But I thought Emmen dont tend to score much, but I can be wrong.

[Sanka]

Emmen's last 3 games went under actually, but 2 of them were away games. At home they are 8-2 (o/u 2.5) averaging 3.5 goals/game, while Cambuur are 8-3 in away games (3.4 goal/game average). Last two games between them in Emmen ended in 2-4 and 3-2.

Emmen failed to score just once at home this season (against top flight Zwolle), and have never kept a clean sheet in these home games. Cambuur failed to score just 3 times in away games, but all against much tougher opponents then Emmen (Zwolle, Eindhoven & Helmond).

This game is also kind of a Northern derby, so I'm expecting some fireworks tonight

[Metanoia]

Good Luck Sanka, i'm going on the over too

I have these 2 picks: Aue vs Munich 1860 Under 2.5 goals and Chelsea ML

Let's cash today

[Sanka]

Good Luck Sanka, i'm going on the over too

I have these 2 picks: Aue vs Munich 1860 Under 2.5 goals and Chelsea ML

Let's cash today

Like the under in Aue, not sure what to expect from Chelsea. They'll want to bounce back from the home loss against 'pool, but Fulham have been pretty strong at home lately.

BOL

[Metanoia]

Thanks Sanka

I thought about the 3 straight wins Fulham had at home, but Chelsea also comes from 2 away wins, and after losing to Liverpool they really have to win this game if they want to keep having chances to win the EPL, with all that i expect Chelsea to win, but a very tight game no doubt.

[JOHON8]

I'm not sure what 3 days rest for both teams will mean for the game, if it helps or not but I'm going to tail you on the Emmen over.

[Sanka]

I'm not sure what 3 days rest for both teams will mean for the game, if it helps or not but I'm going to tail you on the Emmen over.

Just checked, because I hadn't thought of looking at this myself, but Emmen are 4-1 on overs after 3 or 4 days of rest this season and Cambuur are 3-0.

Hope we all cash tonight

[JOHON8]

Just checked, because I hadn't thought of looking at this myself, but Emmen are 4-1 on overs after 3 or 4 days of rest this season and Cambuur are 3-0.

Hope we all cash tonight

If you want PM me next time, which games you are about to cap, I can help you research a couple facts like that so we have time to make the best decision.

Of course it's not good to over think games, or over think certain details of stats to affect your decision. All I'm saying is we know everything and see if it matters. Then slowly we pick up trends like that. Anyways I punched my ticket in, GL.

[RbN]

Emmen's last 3 games went under actually, but 2 of them were away games. At home they are 8-2 (o/u 2.5) averaging 3.5 goals/game, while Cambuur are 8-3 in away games (3.4 goal/game average). Last two games between them in Emmen ended in 2-4 and 3-2. Emmen failed to score just once at home this season (against top flight Zwolle), and have never kept a clean sheet in these home games. Cambuur failed to score just 3 times in away games, but all against much tougher opponents then Emmen (Zwolle, Eindhoven & Helmond). This game is also kind of a Northern derby, so I'm expecting some fireworks tonight

I can be mistaken but I thought last meeting was 2-1? and last season it was 4-2? Anyway that would still be enough for a push and a win, guess im gonna tail this on the over 2.5

[Sanka]

If you want PM me next time, which games you are about to cap, I can help you research a couple facts like that so we have time to make the best decision. Of course it's not good to over think games, or over think certain details of stats to affect your decision. All I'm saying is we know everything and see if it matters. Then slowly we pick up trends like that. Anyways I punched my ticket in, GL.

I know what you mean, I used to make a habit of overanalyzing facts and stats and in doing so made some bets against my gutfeeling that cost me quite a bit. Nowadays I make my decisions much quicker and rely on my instinct more, supported by the stats.

Will certainly call in for help whenever I'm stuck somewhere and could use some more info, thanks for the offer Goes without saying you can do the same ofcourse.

I can be mistaken but I thought last meeting was 2-1? and last season it was 4-2? Anyway that would still be enough for a push and a win, guess im gonna tail this on the over 2.5

The 2-1 was in Leeuwarden earlier this season, I was talking about the last 2 games in Emmen.

Last season definitely was 2-4 btw: http://www.vi.nl/Wedstrijden/Wedstri...peofpage=84140

[Metanoia]

I agree that instinct is very important, it goes against all rules set out by those bettors who spend the all day analysing and rely only on statistics, but the truth is everytime i had that feeling about a bet and played it, i cashed it, other times i went against my instinct based only on data and it costed me too. Of course i always analyse recent form, statistics, injuries, and other factors like motivation etc... but now everytime that strong feeling comes i follow it.

[Sanka]

I agree that instinct is very important, it goes against all rules set out by those bettors who spend the all day analysing and rely only on statistics, but the truth is everytime i had that feeling about a bet and played it, i cashed it, other times i went against my instinct based only on data and it costed me too. Of course i always analyse recent form, statistics, injuries, and other factors like motivation etc... but now everytime that strong feeling comes i follow it.

Don't get me wrong btw, stats & facts are still an important part of my capping. Just won't make a play against a strong gut feeling anymore simply based on the stats, whereas I could make a play according to my gutfeelings even if all the stats are pointing the other way (like with Russia-Belgium or Chelsea-Newcastle earlier this season for instance).

[LinWin]

I agree that instinct is very important, it goes against all rules set out by those bettors who spend the all day analysing and rely only on statistics, but the truth is everytime i had that feeling about a bet and played it, i cashed it, other times i went against my instinct based only on data and it costed me too. Of course i always analyse recent form, statistics, injuries, and other factors like motivation etc... but now everytime that strong feeling comes i follow it.

A game is not deterministic, there's a lot of randomness to it. So when you are saying that everytime you had a "feeling" you won, I call bullshit.

[Metanoia]

A game is not deterministic, there's a lot of randomness to it. So when you are saying that everytime you had a "feeling" you won, I call bullshit.

You call it what you like, i don't care

[Metanoia]

Don't get me wrong btw, stats & facts are still an important part of my capping. Just won't make a play against a strong gut feeling anymore simply based on the stats, whereas I could make a play according to my gutfeelings even if all the stats are pointing the other way (like with Russia-Belgium or Chelsea-Newcastle earlier this season for instance).

I understood what you said, like i said i always analise recent form, statistics, injuries, motivation etc... but sometimes i have that strong feeling and i've learned not to go against it

[RbN]

The 2-1 was in Leeuwarden earlier this season, I was talking about the last 2 games in Emmen. Last season definitely was 2-4 btw: http://www.vi.nl/Wedstrijden/Wedstri...peofpage=84140

True, was looking at the away game. I decided not to play it, dont trust those amateurs. Anyways goodluck

Zo even VI kijken, altijd mooi

[Sanka]

Zo even VI kijken, altijd mooi

I even enjoy van der Gijp's bashing of our player Manolev, this guy always cracks me up

[rfr3sh]

Sanka do you know how the Sittard game is looking I bet over 3, i saw 2 quick 1h goals and nothing since

[Sanka]

Sanka do you know how the Sittard game is looking I bet over 3, i saw 2 quick 1h goals and nothing since

Nope, there's no live coverage of this game unfortunately.