My football/soccer/footy- Leans & Discussions

minet123 · 08-12-10, 11:19 PM

Cash'em BIG SoV

SoV · 08-12-10, 11:32 PM

Originally posted by minet123

Cash'em BIG SoV

Cheers, mate!

D3 Mighty Ducks · 08-12-10, 11:33 PM

Lets hope for a better outcome then the WC. Realized you ditched it half way through, might wait on it before I tail some of your plays to see if your good or not. Cheers!

SoV · 08-12-10, 11:43 PM

I love doing Antepost bets. I usually let most ride but I love laying the ones bigger odds later on. Like I did with the Uruguay/Forlan winner/Golden ball double at the World Cup. Got it at 1500/1 and by the time I laid it during the semi's, the odds were around 12/1.

Here are my anteposts for the coming season-

Genoa to finish in the top ten at 1/2

Books are giving money away with this

Liverpool over 68 points @ 5/6
We got 63 last time and were dog shit, can you really see us not adding 6 more points?

Gylfi Sigurdsson Championship top scorer e/w at 33/1

In the second half of last season, Reading were the 3rd best team in the Championship, only behind the top two teams in the league in Newcastle and WBA. After Brian McDermott was officially announced as Reading manager in January he went on to guide them to 12 wins in their remaining 20 games, only losing 4 of them.

Sigurdsson scored 16 goals in 32 starts last season and during McDermott's official tenure last term, he scored an impressive 10 goals in 15 starts. Given the manager is in charge from the start of the season and Gylfi takes free-kicks and pens, looks good to me. Good for a lay later on.

Middlesbrough to get promoted @ 2/1

Glasgow Rangers & Celtic, sorry, Middlesbrough's squad, looks very impressive to me. Scott McDonald and Kris Boyd banged them in for the fun in that non-real football league up north, with the latter being the league's record scorer, Leroy Lita has form for this league too, a strong midfield in Julio Arca, Gary O'Neill, Kevin Thomson and Barry Robson, all based on impressive English defence in David Wheater, Matthew Bates, Andrew Taylor and Justin Hoyte. Strachan didn't perform too well last season, only 9 wins in 33, but he's now had his chance to make a mark on the squad, brought in his own players, so will be looking for a strong season.

I can see Smogs nodding his head in agreement at this.

Darren Bent to be top English goal scorer at 15/2

To be honest this one is pretty self explanatory. Will be Sunderland’s leading man and given the games, will score plenty of goals. Only Frank Lampard @ 9’s and Jermaine Beckford @ 66’s have tempted me in the each way market.

Spurs for the League @66/1

Bit of a daft bet but at the time I thought it was a little bit of value and since then the price has halved so I suppose I have got value. I was impressed with them last season and when you consider they dropped some really silly points (6 at home to Wolves and Stoke alone), if they'd strengthened their squad they could have made a real push for the title this season, they still could but I'm not really confident. Will be a good price for a lay sometime during the season.

Porto for the Europa League @ 33/1

They're usually in the latter stages of the Champions League but had a poor season last season meaning that they're in the Europa League this. They've got a phenomenal home record in Europe and will still be in the mix of this come next April. They've kept the core of last season's side, which was pretty good together and added to it very well. One problem they had was that they didn't really replace Lucho who left for Marseille - well they've done that this summer with Moutinho. I'm presuming their midfield will involve him sitting deep with Raul Meireles who impressed so much at the World Cup.

In support of that you've got players like Cristian Rodriguez, Jorge Fucile, Bruno Alves, Mariano Gonzalez, Hulk, Fernando Belluschi, and obviously, Falcao up front the goalscoring machine that he is. And then there's the addition of Colombian wonderkid James Rodriguez.

Own goals are also 2/1 to outscore Michael Owen

Only because I hate the Judas twat.

Got a few others including Newcastle getting relegated, a treble of Newcastle, West Brom and Blackpool getting relegated, top scorers in the La Liga and Serie A, which I will be sharing later.

SoV · 08-12-10, 11:44 PM

Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks

Lets hope for a better outcome then the WC. Realized you ditched it half way through, might wait on it before I tail some of your plays to see if your good or not. Cheers!

I'd wait and see how I was doing if I ever wanted to follow me.

SoV · 08-13-10, 07:17 AM

Not liking a lot today but have some slight leans.

I was looking at Irish footy earlier and liked the following-

Bray Wanderers -:- St.Patricks

Drogheda -:- Shamrock

Bohemians -:- Galway

Don't play them too big. Small stakes on each of the games.

Good luck.

phenomenon · 08-13-10, 09:01 AM

goodluck mate

I ll be here for sometime

Daveyboy · 08-13-10, 09:03 AM

Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks

Lets hope for a better outcome then the WC. Realized you ditched it half way through, might wait on it before I tail some of your plays to see if your good or not. Cheers!

LOL, thanks for the heads up. Anyone who failed to make profit on the World Cup should give up with betting!!!

SoV · 08-13-10, 09:04 AM

Adding-

Mervue United -:- Limerick

Kuban Krasnodar -:- Energiya Khabarovsk

Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod -:- Salyut Belgorod

Good luck.

SoV · 08-13-10, 09:09 AM

Originally posted by phenomenon

goodluck mate

I ll be here for sometime

Good stuff, mate. Hope we win.

Originally posted by Daveyboy

LOL, thanks for the heads up. Anyone who failed to make profit on the World Cup should give up with betting!!!

I don't want anyone to tail me blindly, which is why I mentioned my World Cup thread in the opening post. However, I did make a profit on the World Cup. I abandoned my thread and started posting my leans in lakerboy's thread, where I did a whole lot better. You can check his thread or my post history and see I did well towards the latter part of the tournament.

I messed up massively on the units during the World Cup. I'm awful at determining what number of units I should play on each game, which is why I'm letting people choose for themselves how much they want to put on. I will mention if it' a strong play or not.

Even if I lose, I'll continue this thread throughout the season and not chicken out like I did with the World Cup. I'm hoping people come in and give insightful contributions.

Hope you have a great season ahead.

Good luck.

SoV · 08-13-10, 09:17 AM

I removed the Ural Sverdlovskaya Oblast -:- Rotor Volgograd play since the game already was at 60 min when I posted. Missed playing the game.

CindyCryBaby · 08-13-10, 10:39 AM

Hey SoV, caught a glimpse of this thread by seeing your avatar in another thread mate! Thought I'd join a fellow Anfield lover as we can't walk alone in these turbulent times. I'm looking forward to your plays and good luck this coming season. do you plan on tracking your record?

svenodds · 08-13-10, 10:45 AM

BOL

SoV · 08-13-10, 11:07 AM

Originally posted by CindyCryBaby

Hey SoV, caught a glimpse of this thread by seeing your avatar in another thread mate! Thought I'd join a fellow Anfield lover as we can't walk alone in these turbulent times. I'm looking forward to your plays and good luck this coming season. do you plan on tracking your record?

Good to see fellow Reds on here, mate. Good times are coming ahead. We might get new owners very soon; even today or tomorrow. Can't wait for a new era!

Originally posted by svenodds

BOL

Thank a lot!! Your avatar brought a tear to my eye. Heard so much about the great man in your avatar from my grandfather. His soul must be destroyed at the current state of our club. Hopefully, there are better times in the future.

Well made up to see fellow Reds here!

YNWA

SoV · 08-13-10, 11:10 AM

Originally posted by SoV

I removed the Ural Sverdlovskaya Oblast -:- Rotor Volgograd play since the game already was at 60 min when I posted. Missed playing the game.

Funnily enough, Ural won 4-0, scoring those 4 goals after the 60 min mark.

SoV · 08-13-10, 11:11 PM

Originally posted by SoV

Not liking a lot today but have some slight leans.

I was looking at Irish footy earlier and liked the following-

Bray Wanderers -:- St.Patricks

Drogheda -:- Shamrock

Bohemians -:- Galway

Don't play them too big. Small stakes on each of the games.

Good luck.

Very surprised with Bohemians losing.

SoV · 08-13-10, 11:13 PM

Originally posted by SoV

Adding-

Mervue United -:- Limerick

Kuban Krasnodar -:- Energiya Khabarovsk

Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod -:- Salyut Belgorod

Good luck.

4-2-0 record for the day. Positive day, which I'll take anyday.

Looking forward to the start of the Premier League tonight.

SoV · 08-14-10, 04:41 AM

Plays for today-

Hereford -:- Gillingham

Huddersfield -:- Tranmere

Wigan -:- Blackpool

Chelsea -:- West Brom

Zenit Petersburg -:- Dinamo Moscow

Spartak Nalchik -:- Sibir Novosibirsk

Millwall -:- Hull

Ajax -:- Vitesse

Rangers -:- Kilmarnock

Standard Liege -:- Lokeren

Naval -:- Porto

Good luck.

Tommy_de1st · 08-14-10, 12:01 PM

Glad you opened your thread

BOL

SoV · 08-14-10, 12:12 PM

Cheers mate! I hope it's half as successful as your thread.

SoV · 08-14-10, 12:47 PM

Adding-

Seville -:- Barcelona OVER 2.5 goals

Good luck.

EDIT: Dropping the Barcelona pick since I just read that Barcelona are playing the 1st leg away from home.

SoV · 08-14-10, 10:25 PM

Originally posted by SoV

Plays for today-

Hereford -:- Gillingham

Huddersfield -:- Tranmere

Wigan -:- Blackpool

Chelsea -:- West Brom

Zenit Petersburg -:- Dinamo Moscow

Spartak Nalchik -:- Sibir Novosibirsk

Millwall -:- Hull

Ajax -:- Vitesse

Rangers -:- Kilmarnock

Standard Liege -:- Lokeren

Naval -:- Porto

Good luck.

Didn't quite understand Liege. Down 2-0, make it 3-2 but then concede in the 88th minute. Oh well.

Think quite a few people got burned bad with Wigan.

SoV · 08-14-10, 10:27 PM

Originally posted by SoV

Adding-

Seville -:- Barcelona OVER 2.5 goals

Good luck.

EDIT: Dropping the Barcelona pick since I just read that Barcelona are playing the 1st leg away from home.

Glad I dropped the Barcelona play since they didn't have their World Cup winners playing and Leo was on the bench.

SoV · 08-14-10, 10:29 PM

7-5-0 record for the day. Not as good as I hoped for, but still a positive day.

Overall: 12-7-0 (W-L-D)

d1m@ · 08-15-10, 02:22 AM

good luck

Tommy_de1st · 08-15-10, 02:32 AM

I see you are gonna be disciplined and keep your record. Im not that good, no time for this

phenomenon · 08-15-10, 08:10 AM

goodluck mate

SoV · 08-15-10, 12:24 PM

Originally posted by d1m@

good luck

Thanks! Input is always appreciated.

Originally posted by Tommy_de1st

I see you are gonna be disciplined and keep your record. Im not that good, no time for this

Haha, yeah. It's a bitch to do but thought I'd do it anyways.

Originally posted by phenomenon

goodluck mate

Thanks!

Just got back from the Liverpool-Arsenal game. Pissed off at the result. Ref robbed us.

SoV · 08-15-10, 12:44 PM

I didn't have any posted plays today since I was going to the Liverpool-Arsenal game and was out since the morning.

I'll start my research for tomorrow's games today.

SoV · 08-15-10, 02:03 PM

Avai FC -:- Corinthians Over 2.5 goals

Fluminese -:- Internacional Over 2.5 goals

Good luck.

Euphoria38 · 08-15-10, 02:51 PM

Good luck man! I like those. Avai FC O especially.

Tommy_de1st · 08-15-10, 03:01 PM

Avai 1-1 and Fluminense 2-0 at HT. Should be winners

Squirrel · 08-15-10, 04:05 PM

Originally posted by SoV

I didn't have any posted plays today since I was going to the Liverpool-Arsenal game and was out since the morning

Sods law that you battle like absolute ******* lions for 44 minutes with 10 men and a 1-0 lead ... then (probably) the 2nd best goalie in the world drops an absolute ******* bollock and you have to "settle" for a point. Yep, the football season is back alright...!

Good luck for the season pal (The bets that is, not so much Liverpool

)

Tommy_de1st · 08-15-10, 05:15 PM

Well done Sov, both Overs cashed