Mr.Kittys 2010/11 soccer thread

[Mr.Kitty]

I like the U3 in next Holland game, Groningen.

Thanks for the tip hedgejob, I think the value is on Excelsior in this one and I hate to play under in Holland but U3 looks like a push at worst here, might throw a unit on it. Good luck!

[hedgejob]

I need to stop betting EPL it always cancels my winners, lost all 3 EPL bets today.

[Mr.Kitty]

I need to stop betting EPL it always cancels my winners, lost all 3 EPL bets today.

I hear ya, I mostly bet smaller leagues, its better. Thanks for Groningen U3, it won nicely.

I was going to post two plays from Belgium div 2 but I had a killer headache so I had to go lay down.

[Mr.Kitty]

Both of my bets won today, Willem-ADO 2-2 after like 60mins. I'll update the record tomorrow, posting on my ipone now, watching 300

[Optional]

Tailed you in Holland Mr. K., kind of.

+2.5 $1.66 1.6u
+3.5 $2.56 1u

Thankyou.

[Mr.Kitty]

Holland Eredivisie: Willem II- ADO den Haag over 2.5, 3 @ 1.775, 2 units to win 1.55

The over is a decent option in this one, both teams are in the bottom half of the table and will go for the win.
-Willem II has scored 3 and conceded 16 in 5 matches, 80% over 2.5 goals, 100% at home. 20% over 3.5 goals.
-ADO has scored 9 and conceded 12 in 5 matches, 100% over 2.5 goals, also 100% over 3.5 goals.

England League One: Exeter - Peterborough over 2.5 @ 1.85, 2 units

Result: 2-0, +3.25 units
Record: 44-30-4, +20.03 units

[Mr.Kitty]

Latvia Virsliga: Daugava v Jurmala FK under 2.5 goals @ 1.90, 3 units to win 2.7

-Daugava has played 17 of 19 matches under 2.5 goals, thats a whopping 89% and 100% at home.
-Jurmala has played 9 of 19 matches under 2.5 goals, thats 47%, away 5 of 9 has gone under (56%).
-H2H they have met 6 times @ Daugava who has 4 wins and 2 draws. 4 out of those 6 matches has gone under 2.5.
-Form wise Daugava has scored 8 and conceded 5 in the last 6 matches, which gives us an average of 2.17 goals per game and 5 of 6 games went under the total.
-Form wise Jurmala has scored 4 and conceded 6 wich gives us an average of 1.67 goals per game, 4 of 6 games went under the total.

[INVINCIBLE]

I'm giving a shot at VV-Jūrmala's double chance @ 2.50 as there's too much at stake in this match and both sides will come out 101% strong and imo there is no favourite in this one - but Yes, the Under is a decent choice as well. A red card is probable here too.

GL

[Mr.Kitty]

I'm giving a shot at VV-Jūrmala's double chance @ 2.50 as there's too much at stake in this match and both sides will come out 101% strong and imo there is no favourite in this one - but Yes, the Under is a decent choice as well. A red card is probable here too. GL

I try not to overthink this one because Daugava is a under-machine and if I get such good odds its a must play that will be +EV no matter what the outcome will be. I hope we both win, good luck to you

[Mr.Kitty]

Latvia Virsliga: Daugava v Jurmala FK under 2.5 goals @ 1.90, 3 units to win 2.7

-Daugava has played 17 of 19 matches under 2.5 goals, thats a whopping 89% and 100% at home.
-Jurmala has played 9 of 19 matches under 2.5 goals, thats 47%, away 5 of 9 has gone under (56%).
-H2H they have met 6 times @ Daugava who has 4 wins and 2 draws. 4 out of those 6 matches has gone under 2.5.
-Form wise Daugava has scored 8 and conceded 5 in the last 6 matches, which gives us an average of 2.17 goals per game and 5 of 6 games went under the total.
-Form wise Jurmala has scored 4 and conceded 6 wich gives us an average of 1.67 goals per game, 4 of 6 games went under the total.

Result: 1-0, +2.70 units
Record: 45-30-4, +22.73 units

Daugava won 2-0 and im happy to see that Inter won 2-1 over Palermo .

[h1holstrom]

only one word
great great great

[Mr.Kitty]

only one word great great great

Thanks buddy, .

[mihaita666]

hey kitty, good luck this week

[Mr.Kitty]

hey kitty, good luck this week

Thanks, good luck to you too .

[Mr.Kitty]

Germany Bundesliga II: Hertha Berlin - Karlsruhe over 2.5, 3 @ 1.794, 4 units to win 3.17

-First and foremost this is a league that average 3.17 goals per game and 64% of all games goes over 2.5 goals.
-Hertha has played 3 of 4 games over 2.5 goals and 2 of 4 over 3.5 goals. Those two games was at home.
-Karlsruhe has played 4 of 4 games over 2.5 goals and 2 of 4 over 3.5 goals. Those two games was away.
-H2H, Hertha has 3 wins in 3 meetings at home. All three has gone over 3.5 goals.

Belgium Eerste Klasse: Genk @ 1.855, 2 units to win 1.71

This is the derby of they year for these teams, so very important game.

-St Truidense, 2W-1D-4L, 5:12 overall and 2W-0D-1L, 2:2 at home.
-Genk, 6W-1D-0L, 24:6 overall and 2W-1D-0L, 10:3 away.
-H2H, Genk has 11W-4D-1L in 16 meetings @ St Truidense.

[venhitman]

re

i played hertha also over, good luck

[latinrus]

BOL man! With u on the Herta and thinking about take Genk!

[vieruccio]

I 'll follow you
every picks
bol

[Mr.Kitty]

i played hertha also over, good luck

BOL man! With u on the Herta and thinking about take Genk!

I 'll follow you every picks bol

Thanks guys . I just came in and Hertha are leading 3-0 with 30min to go . Genk ML are up to 2.04 and I dont know why , thinking about buying some back and make it a 1 unit play.

[Mr.Kitty]

Cash this bitch 4-0 Hertha Berlin .

[Optional]

So leave the Genk bet then ya think Mr K?

Congrats on the Hertha call.

[Mr.Kitty]

So leave the Genk bet then ya think Mr K? Congrats on the Hertha call.

Hmm I still think its worth to play it, im just going to ride it out and not buy anything back even if the unthinkable happens and its a loss im still up 1.17 units for the day. With that kind of history with 11 wins in 16 meetings and the form they are in its hard not to like Genk here.

[Optional]

It just hit 2.00 on Betfair (1.95 after commission)

Might see how it looks closer to kick off.

[svenodds]

Cash this bitch 4-0 Hertha Berlin .

nice one

[hedgejob]

Genk

[Mr.Kitty]

nice one

Thanks svenodds!

Genk

Oh Yeah, Vossen and the gang did their part .

[Mr.Kitty]

Germany Bundesliga II: Hertha Berlin - Karlsruhe over 2.5, 3 @ 1.794, 4 units to win 3.17

-First and foremost this is a league that average 3.17 goals per game and 64% of all games goes over 2.5 goals.
-Hertha has played 3 of 4 games over 2.5 goals and 2 of 4 over 3.5 goals. Those two games was at home.
-Karlsruhe has played 4 of 4 games over 2.5 goals and 2 of 4 over 3.5 goals. Those two games was away.
-H2H, Hertha has 3 wins in 3 meetings at home. All three has gone over 3.5 goals.

Belgium Eerste Klasse: Genk @ 1.855, 2 units to win 1.71

This is the derby of they year for these teams, so very important game.

-St Truidense, 2W-1D-4L, 5:12 overall and 2W-0D-1L, 2:2 at home.
-Genk, 6W-1D-0L, 24:6 overall and 2W-1D-0L, 10:3 away.
-H2H, Genk has 11W-4D-1L in 16 meetings @ St Truidense.

Result: 2-0, +4.88 units
Record: 47-30-4, +27.61 units

[Supamanu]

Nice job bro, great day for you!!!

[Mr.Kitty]

Nice job bro, great day for you!!!

Thanks, Yeah not bad at all .

[Mr.Kitty]

Sweden Allsvenskan: Elfsborg @ 2.05, 2 units to win 2.1

This is a very important game for both teams, if we take a quick look at the league table:

1 Malmö FF 24 +22 52
2 Helsingborg 24 +16 52
3 Örebro 23 +7 39
4 Elfsborg 23 +15 38
5 Djurgården 24 -1 35
6 IFK Göteborg 23 +15 34

Both Elfsborg and Goteborg wants to get that third place finish since that equals a ticket to Europa League qualification. Elfsborg has a better chance to get it, only one point behind Orebro. This game also has a revenge angle since im sure Elfsborg wants to revenge their loss in Goteborg where they lost 5-1!! Lets take a look at some numbers:

-Elfsborg at home: 8W-3D-0L, 30:8.
-Goteborg away: 3W-3D-5L, 12:11.

-Elfsborg form: 3W-2D-1L, 11:5.
-Goteborg form: 4W-1D-1L, 12:5.

-H2H @ Elfsborg: Elfsborg has 10 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.

As we see Elfsborg are strong at home on their artifical grass where they score a lot of goals (most home goals in the league), many of the teams are not used to play on artifial grass which makes it more difficult for them. Goteborg arent that strong away but they have fantastic form right now. But Elfsborgs form arent that much worse and with the crushing H2H stats I think Elfsborg will win in a close game. According to reports Denni Avdic, Elfsborg leading scorer looked really good in practice yesterday so lets hope he can score a couple tonight!

[Mr.Kitty]

Im also leaning Orebro -1 against Gefle, im going to wait a bit and see what kind of team Gefle will play. Its a tricky situation for them since they need points in the relegation battle but is it against Orebro they should try and get those points when they meet Halmstad the next game? The game vs Halmstad is absolutely critical, so they might rest some players, Jawo and Orlov are already questionable due to injuries. Orebro need points to keep the third place in the league with Elfsborg and a few other teams right on their tail and Orebro are strong at home 8W-0D-3L, 17:7.

[tongo]

Sweden Allsvenskan: Elfsborg @ 2.05, 2 units to win 2.1

This is a very important game for both teams, if we take a quick look at the league table:

1 Malmö FF 24 +22 52
2 Helsingborg 24 +16 52
3 Örebro 23 +7 39
4 Elfsborg 23 +15 38
5 Djurgården 24 -1 35
6 IFK Göteborg 23 +15 34

Both Elfsborg and Goteborg wants to get that third place finish since that equals a ticket to Europa League qualification. Elfsborg has a better chance to get it, only one point behind Orebro. This game also has a revenge angle since im sure Elfsborg wants to revenge their loss in Goteborg where they lost 5-1!! Lets take a look at some numbers:

-Elfsborg at home: 8W-3D-0L, 30:8.
-Goteborg away: 3W-3D-5L, 12:11.

-Elfsborg form: 3W-2D-1L, 11:5.
-Goteborg form: 4W-1D-1L, 12:5.

-H2H @ Elfsborg: Elfsborg has 10 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.

As we see Elfsborg are strong at home on their artifical grass where they score a lot of goals (most home goals in the league), many of the teams are not used to play on artifial grass which makes it more difficult for them. Goteborg arent that strong away but they have fantastic form right now. But Elfsborgs form arent that much worse and with the crushing H2H stats I think Elfsborg will win in a close game. According to reports Denni Avdic, Elfsborg leading scorer looked really good in practice yesterday so lets hope he can score a couple tonight!

would you consider the over a good play?

[Mr.Kitty]

would you consider the over a good play?

I was actually thinking about also playing the over, both teams are in form so why not, its a decent option here imo. I think we will see two goals or more but I would not go big on it though, bear in mind that its Allsvenskan.
Good luck tongo .

[tongo]

ha i'm gonna stay away but good luck today

[latinrus]

fvck! Did u watch the game? how they played?