Wilforth's post-WC thread

Wilforth · 07-15-10, 09:02 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

Plays #14-15

Brazil:
Gremio Prudente +0.5 (+175) 1u WIN
Palmeiras +190 2u WIN

Today: 2-0 +5.55

Thread: 7-7-1 -7.87

Wilforth · 07-16-10, 06:38 AM

7-7-1 -7.87

Play #16

Austria (Div 1): Gratkorn +320 1u

Slainte · 07-16-10, 08:08 AM

Why do you like Gratkorn here?

Wilforth · 07-16-10, 08:59 AM

Originally posted by Slainte

Why do you like Gratkorn here?

The line is a gross overreaction to the results of the last round of games involving these teams. Rheindorf won their home game against Hartberg by a whopping 4-0 and Gratkorn lost on the road at WAC by 4-1. On that account alone, it would like Rheindorf should roll today at Gratkorn. For Rheindorf backers, it also helps that Rheindorf won their last game at Gratkorn by 2-1.

But all that tells only a little bit of the story. Believe it or not:
1) Rheindorf's last win at Gratkorn is their only win there in 5 visits!
2) Gratkorn won its first home game against Rheindorf last season as a +359 dog!

Admittedly, a Gratkorn home will not come easily but Rheindorf are not the -160 road favorite that the books want us to believe they are in this matchup.

Wilforth · 07-16-10, 09:09 AM

Originally posted by Wilforth

7-7-1 -7.87

Play #16

Austria (Div 1): Gratkorn +320 1u

Play #17

Friendly: St Pauli/Bayer Leverkusen OVER 2.5 (-166) 10u

Slainte · 07-16-10, 09:12 AM

Yes i admit, but it will be very hard, those odds are not randomly set. Gratkorn have big financial problems as well as several regulars missing for this game.
This, of course doesn't not mean your bet is bad!
Just a friendly warning, don't go too big on the game

Wilforth · 07-16-10, 09:20 AM

Originally posted by Slainte

Yes i admit, but it will be very hard, those odds are not randomly set. Gratkorn have big financial problems as well as several regulars missing for this game.
This, of course doesn't not mean your bet is bad!
Just a friendly warning, don't go too big on the game

Thanks. As you can see, it's a 1u play for me. I also love the fact that Gratkorn are shorthanded. They'll be more defensive than usual. I expect a very close game, which will likely be won by the team that scores the first goal. And there's no guarantee that Altach will score the first goal.

Wilforth · 07-16-10, 02:13 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

Play #17

Friendly: St Pauli/Bayer Leverkusen OVER 2.5 (-166) 10u LOSS

Game ended in a 1-1 draw.

0-1 -16.6

7-8-1 -23.93

Friendlies suck!

Wilforth · 07-16-10, 03:16 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

7-7-1 -7.87

Play #16

Austria (Div 1): Gratkorn +320 1u LOSS

7-9-1 -24.93

Wilforth · 07-18-10, 03:20 PM

7-9-1 -24.93

Play #18

Brazil: Gremio Prudente +125 5u

broadway6 · 07-18-10, 03:55 PM

Gremio is +175 at 5dimes... i hate it when the lines are that far apart.

Wilforth · 07-18-10, 04:53 PM

Originally posted by broadway6

Gremio is +175 at 5dimes... i hate it when the lines are that far apart.

Those lines are really far apart. We'll see how it'll end.

broadway6 · 07-18-10, 05:19 PM

yeah, good lucck wilforth...i'm going to be furious when they win and i didn't bet the game.

Wilforth · 07-18-10, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

7-9-1 -24.93

Play #18

Brazil: Gremio Prudente +125 5u WIN

1-0 +6.25

8-9-1 -18.68

lasker · 07-18-10, 07:07 PM

broadway6 · 07-18-10, 10:02 PM

Glad I didn't jinx it for u

NorwegianDude · 07-18-10, 10:04 PM

Great win, Wilforth, you seem solid

Wilforth · 07-19-10, 01:17 PM

Yesterday: 1-0 +6.25
8-9-1 -18.68

Play #19

Ireland: Drogheda United +0.5 (+150) 3u to win 4.5u

Wilforth · 07-19-10, 03:17 PM

Hoping Drogheda can hold on for the next 20 minutes.

Wilforth · 07-19-10, 03:44 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

Yesterday: 1-0 +6.25
8-9-1 -18.68

Play #19

Ireland: Drogheda United +0.5 (+150) 3u to win 4.5u WIN

1-0 +4.50
9-9-1 -14.18

Should get over this hole soon.

Wilforth · 07-20-10, 12:57 AM

Yesterday: 1-0 +4.50
9-9-1 -14.18

Play #20-21

Switzerland: Basel -153 15.3u to win 10u
Switzerland: Basel/Zurich OVER 2.5 (-181) 9.05u to win 5u

Will either go up or sink! We'll see.

theplagy · 07-20-10, 11:03 AM

Go up up up up, lol cuz i'm riding the same plays

Wilforth · 07-20-10, 12:32 PM

Originally posted by theplagy

Go up up up up, lol cuz i'm riding the same plays

Let's hope we go up up up up!

lakerboy · 07-20-10, 12:37 PM

We are together on the over so lets get both now. Basel should win this game. They have been steamed big time and you got a great # on them.

Wilforth · 07-20-10, 12:40 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

We are together on the over so lets get both now. Basel should win this game. They have been steamed big time and you got a great # on them.

If we're lucky, the Over could cash in the 1H.

Wilforth · 07-20-10, 01:56 PM

Originally posted by wilforth

yesterday: 1-0 +4.50
9-9-1 -14.18

play #20-21

switzerland: basel -153 15.3u to win 10u
switzerland: basel/zurich over 2.5 (-181) 9.05u to win 5u win

1-0 +5.00
10-9-1 -9.18

PickApprentice · 07-20-10, 02:27 PM

I hope Basel win, went 50 units on them, thats like 75% of my betting money. 2-2 now, Some magic from Frei plz!!!!!!!!!!

Wilforth · 07-20-10, 05:23 PM

Originally posted by PickApprentice

I hope Basel win, went 50 units on them, thats like 75% of my betting money. 2-2 now, Some magic from Frei plz!!!!!!!!!!

But never put 75% of your bankroll on anything!

Wilforth · 07-20-10, 05:25 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

Yesterday: 1-0 +4.50
9-9-1 -14.18

Play #20-21

Switzerland: Basel -153 15.3u to win 10u WIN
Switzerland: Basel/Zurich OVER 2.5 (-181) 9.05u to win 5u WIN

2-0 +15.0
11-9-1 +0.72

The units should now start piling up.

theplagy · 07-20-10, 09:54 PM

up up up up up up up, I said

Wilforth · 07-20-10, 10:26 PM

Originally posted by theplagy

up up up up up up up, I said

Yes! Up! Up!

Wilforth · 07-20-10, 10:41 PM

11-9-1 +0.72

Play #22

European U19 Championship: Netherlands/England OVER 2.5 (-125) 6.25u to win 5u

lakerboy · 07-20-10, 10:48 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

11-9-1 +0.72

Play #22

European U19 Championship: Netherlands/England OVER 2.5 (-125) 6.25u to win 5u

Good luck but thats a lot of juice as i have it at -102 for the over. Hope you cash buddy.

fox sixers · 07-21-10, 09:44 AM

question.. is that over play women's? lolol sorry if that's a stupidy question

fox sixers · 07-21-10, 09:45 AM

nevermind sorry about that