Don't bet on Germany-Spain morons

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  • maersksealand
    SBR MVP
    • 09-17-09
    • 1673

    #1
    Don't bet on Germany-Spain morons
    This game is totally unpredictable, not worth risking a dime. A sharp will not touch this game, so you losing amateurs should do the same, just watch and enjoy the game without betting, so this way nobody has to put up with your constant whining during and after the game because things didn't go your way.

    Save you money for games where you have an edge.
  • Fishhead
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-11-05
    • 40179

    #2
    Originally posted by maersksealand
    This game is totally unpredictable, not worth risking a dime. A sharp will not touch this game, so you losing amateurs should do the same, just watch and enjoy the game without betting, so this way nobody has to put up with your constant whining during and after the game because things didn't go your way.

    Save you money for games where you have an edge.

    Not true whatsoever...........
    Comment
    • Daveyboy
      SBR MVP
      • 05-12-10
      • 1317

      #3
      So if I say I am backing Germany to qualify and the person below then replies they are backing Spain, we're both losing amateurs

      I'm taking Germany at evens to qualify tonight
      Comment
      • ouman101
        SBR MVP
        • 12-02-09
        • 2815

        #4
        Germany takes this one. Have large bet on them, small hedge on the draw
        Comment
        • BIGDAY
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 02-17-10
          • 48245

          #5
          I have one unit on Germany.
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Sharps are obviously on Spain.

            As of 10:45 AM ET, 73% of bets were on Germany, only 22% were on Spain and 5% was on Draw.

            Yet, line on Spain has gone down since opener and lines on both Germany and Draw have both risen. Not too hard to read between the lines.

            That said, sharps do not always win, although they do win more often than they lose.
            Comment
            • maersksealand
              SBR MVP
              • 09-17-09
              • 1673

              #7
              Originally posted by Daveyboy
              So if I say I am backing Germany to qualify and the person below then replies they are backing Spain, we're both losing amateurs

              I'm taking Germany at evens to qualify tonight
              no...one of you will get lucky...but betting should be more then "hope I will get lucky", don't you think ? It makes more sense to bet on games where the probabilities of the games ending your way are higher the 50%. No matter who you play here, you have no edge...it's absolutely crazy to pretend this game is not totally unpredictable.
              Comment
              • Philavanh
                SBR MVP
                • 08-18-06
                • 2800

                #8
                Will be a good game, so far leaning on Germany
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  I should also add that to have Reverse Line Movement on a game as heavily bet as this one is much more significant than your average garden variety regular season RLM.
                  Comment
                  • lakerboy
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-02-09
                    • 94379

                    #10
                    Agree this game is for viewing purposes and maybe a small prop bet
                    Comment
                    • necro
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-07-09
                      • 1633

                      #11
                      Sharp will pound Spain
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        Originally posted by necro
                        Sharp will pound Spain
                        They have already begun.
                        Comment
                        • PeePee
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-08-09
                          • 619

                          #13
                          Originally posted by maersksealand
                          This game is totally unpredictable, not worth risking a dime. A sharp will not touch this game, so you losing amateurs should do the same, just watch and enjoy the game without betting, so this way nobody has to put up with your constant whining during and after the game because things didn't go your way.

                          Save you money for games where you have an edge.

                          That's where the word DEGENERATE comes from....
                          Comment
                          • whatsgood5
                            Restricted User
                            • 10-13-09
                            • 15359

                            #14
                            Agreed completely
                            Comment
                            • Dirty Sanchez
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-01-10
                              • 16031

                              #15
                              Just bet the Over...that way you don't care who scores
                              Comment
                              • Brock Landers
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 06-30-08
                                • 45359

                                #16
                                i talked to people who actually WATCH this shit on a regular basis..not just the last 3 weeks, and he said SPAIN is the play.

                                SALUD
                                Comment
                                • cornerkick
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 04-19-10
                                  • 165

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                  Sharps are obviously on Spain. As of 10:45 AM ET, 73% of bets were on Germany, only 22% were on Spain and 5% was on Draw. Yet, line on Spain has gone down since opener and lines on both Germany and Draw have both risen. Not too hard to read between the lines. That said, sharps do not always win, although they do win more often than they lose.
                                  What do you mean when you say "draw"?
                                  Comment
                                  • james4512
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-27-08
                                    • 3707

                                    #18
                                    the over is a huge play for me, not sure how sharps wouldnt touch this, theres always an edge in a game just people arnt smart enough to think outside the box
                                    Comment
                                    • vitalyo
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-05-07
                                      • 1615

                                      #19
                                      Too late i bet draw
                                      Comment
                                      • james4512
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-27-08
                                        • 3707

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by cornerkick
                                        What do you mean when you say "draw"?
                                        when the 90 minutes plus injurey time are expired and the score is tied that qualifies as a draw
                                        Comment
                                        • ouman101
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-02-09
                                          • 2815

                                          #21
                                          maersk, all I have to say is that I feel like Germany does have an edge. Thats why I bet them. They have looked great throughout the tournament, and beat some strong opponents pretty handily. Spain on the other hand, is lucky to even be here. They have scrapped by their opponents with lackluster performances. Germany is going to be the most aggressive, offensively, team that Spain has faced so far. I'm saying 2-1 German. You can rip me apart if Spain wins
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by ouman101
                                            maersk, all I have to say is that I feel like Germany does have an edge. Thats why I bet them. They have looked great throughout the tournament, and beat some strong opponents pretty handily. Spain on the other hand, is lucky to even be here. They have scrapped by their opponents with lackluster performances. Germany is going to be the most aggressive, offensively, team that Spain has faced so far. I'm saying 2-1 German. You can rip me apart if Spain wins

                                            i know nothing bout soccer but its comical to me that you think any team is "lucky to be here", let alone one of the tournament favorites coming in....
                                            Comment
                                            • ouman101
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-02-09
                                              • 2815

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                              i know nothing bout soccer but its comical to me that you think any team is "lucky to be here", let alone one of the tournament favorites coming in....
                                              obviously you haven't seen them play. They look about as good as the Cavs (Eastern Conference Favorites) did in this years playoffs
                                              Comment
                                              • Raleigh77
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 12-28-09
                                                • 320

                                                #24
                                                Spain will win 3-1.
                                                Comment
                                                • bachngocduong
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-17-06
                                                  • 1826

                                                  #25
                                                  I'm on Germany
                                                  Comment
                                                  • chibears
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 12-08-09
                                                    • 786

                                                    #26
                                                    too much of a toss up
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jram68
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 12-16-09
                                                      • 693

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by maersksealand
                                                      This game is totally unpredictable, not worth risking a dime. A sharp will not touch this game, so you losing amateurs should do the same, just watch and enjoy the game without betting, so this way nobody has to put up with your constant whining during and after the game because things didn't go your way.

                                                      Save you money for games where you have an edge.
                                                      LOL Is that Vlad Putin on your icon?
                                                      I agree that betting the side is kinda crazy for this match. I bet a small amount on the over 1.5 and 2.5 since both teams can score at will.
                                                      Will greatly enjoy watching this incredible matchup!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2daBank
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                        • 88966

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by ouman101
                                                        obviously you haven't seen them play. They look about as good as the Cavs (Eastern Conference Favorites) did in this years playoffs

                                                        i have, not that it matters much as like i said dont know much about the sport, but i do know gambling and its obvious to me ppl are making way to much of what has happened to this point, the fact of the matter is they are here and if they didnt play well that is even more impressive not less, if you are telling me this "great" event that the rest of the world loves has semi-finalist that "are lucky to be here" then soccer a bigger joke than i thought, but my guess is it wasnt luck as i know Spain has lost like once in 3 years, that is a hell of a lucky streak......Luckily i know next to nothing about soccer so im probably wrong and they are lucky.....gl with your play

                                                        almost forgot, they look nothing like the Cavs as Spain is doing the important thing cle couldnt do, win and Advance.....
                                                        Comment
                                                        • lak420187
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 05-17-09
                                                          • 567

                                                          #29
                                                          Spain to win. ...but id rather bet baseball today then test my money on this match.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • eSTOXX
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-25-08
                                                            • 1866

                                                            #30
                                                            If is unpredictable I'll bet correct score 0-0
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ouman101
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-02-09
                                                              • 2815

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                              i have, not that it matters much as like i said dont know much about the sport, but i do know gambling and its obvious to me ppl are making way to much of what has happened to this point, the fact of the matter is they are here and if they didnt play well that is even more impressive not less, if you are telling me this "great" event that the rest of the world loves has semi-finalist that "are lucky to be here" then soccer a bigger joke than i thought, but my guess is it wasnt luck as i know Spain has lost like once in 3 years, that is a hell of a lucky streak......Luckily i know next to nothing about soccer so im probably wrong and they are lucky.....gl with your play almost forgot, they look nothing like the Cavs as Spain is doing the important thing cle couldnt do, win and Advance.....
                                                              I agree with your point that it is more impressive to have made it this far, playing sub-par for a team of Spain's quality. If Spain plays to their full ability, then they have a great shot at winning. My point with the Cavs reference was that sometimes you can have all of the talent coming in, but something just doesn't click when it comes to crunch time. By calling Spain "lucky", I mean they have had a lot of breaks go their way for them to be here. Maybe what I see as breaks, is their talent coming through. Germany, on the other hand, has created the breaks for themselves.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • snowball22
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 03-23-10
                                                                • 150

                                                                #32
                                                                Spain 2-1. Small play. It should be great game.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BiffTFinancial
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-29-09
                                                                  • 22670

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by ouman101
                                                                  I agree with your point that it is more impressive to have made it this far, playing sub-par for a team of Spain's quality. If Spain plays to their full ability, then they have a great shot at winning. My point with the Cavs reference was that sometimes you can have all of the talent coming in, but something just doesn't click when it comes to crunch time. By calling Spain "lucky", I mean they have had a lot of breaks go their way for them to be here. Maybe what I see as breaks, is their talent coming through. Germany, on the other hand, has created the breaks for themselves.
                                                                  wait, is Delonte West shtupping Fernando Torres' mother?

                                                                  over for me.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Extra Innings
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 02-26-10
                                                                    • 15058

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Good luck to all bettors placing a wager on this World-Wide Event
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ANGRYBLACK
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-16-10
                                                                      • 1148

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Over 1.5 goals at 1.40...
                                                                      Comment
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