Neatherlands -.5 just tanked

[Sunde91]

5Dimes went from -155 to -134

BookMaker went from -170 to -150

Getting pretty worried about playing Orange here...Uruguay is tough and will fight for their lives and Neatherlands could be up for a let down, now money pounding Uruguay.

[Goat Milk]

lol @ line movement in the world cup.

[Tevez]

Logically,


initial prices were SO wrong!!


I posted about this.



I see Netherlans at evens 5 mins before the beginning, and still it will be a bad bet.

[Sunde91]

lol @ line movement in the world cup.

Yeah, I would normally agree, but paranoid about this game

[Goat Milk]

Uruguay hasn't beaten a European side in 40 years

[SolidDala]

they haven't been in semi for 40y either... I do think HOL will win this though

[aceking]

Uruguay has no chance without Suarez , Forlan is so bad Man U dumped him few years ago .

[Goat Milk]

Uruguay has no chance without Suarez , Forlan is so bad Man U dumped him few years ago .

Forlan shits on Suarez. Club play doesn't determine who is good. It's those that show up on the international stage that can claim they are world class players. If you've watch any of Uruguay's games you would know that Forlan is their engine.

[Tevez]

Forlan shits on Suarez. Club play doesn't determine who is good. It's those that show up on the international stage that can claim they are world class players. If you've watch any of Uruguay's games you would know that Forlan is their engine.

Well,

in spite of thinking differently I see you are objective and you know something about soccer.

[protein]

Come on. anyone seriously thinking Uruguay to advance from this round? Holland has not shown their real game yet during this World Cup.

[suicidekings]

Come on. anyone seriously thinking Uruguay to advance from this round? Holland has not shown their real game yet during this World Cup.

And shouldn't they really have done so by now? They fail to impose their will on anyone so far, but will somehow start playing their real game now?

[sweethook]

i tell ya it may be a coin flip type game ,tie looks better

[atval]

holland is a much better team than uruguay. they will win by 2 goals.

[Giuvara]

The Netherlands should still win. Uruguay without Suarez and Fucile. Alvaro Pereira must hold Robben. Lugano, Godin uncertain. There are too many problems for the Uruguayans to cover. They still a tough team that will fight until the end, but I see Holland winning a low scoring affair.

[STAY STRONG]

the dutch will take this one

[ezmoney]

DUTCH by 2 goals!

EZ

[sjm5122]

Would be careful of a draw here, uruguay could keep it tight.

[Sforz]

funny line movement.. unreal.

[Karayilan9]

Hope some of you greened up on this game already, the Dutch price was and still is short.

[lakerboy]

lol @ line movement in the world cup.

you dont follow closely do you? remember when the dutch were pounded before there game versus brazil ? who won? line movement is not as big in soccer for sure but if you ignore it completely its not wise. books are not in the business of giving away free money. thats why they have luring lines out there like argentina +145ml (versus germany and spain +165 versus germany) todays luring line is holland -0.5 and -1 at -105. are you gonna bite?

[arizona22]

Would be careful of a draw here, uruguay could keep it tight.

Not today. They would have to play best in years to draw this today.

[pavyracer]

When Netherlands played Denmark and Japan and when Argentina played South Korea and Greece the line moved against these teams in the morning and they still won their games.

[Sforz]

yeah, i'm not scared, actually doubled up my bet... if netherlands loses, oh well. but i had them pegged to win the whole thing from day one, and i'm not going back on it... if it's tied at the half, ill bet them some more, they have been very strong in the 2h of their games.

[Capybara]

The Netherlands should still win. Uruguay without Suarez and Fucile. Alvaro Pereira must hold Robben. Lugano, Godin uncertain. There are too many problems for the Uruguayans to cover. They still a tough team that will fight until the end, but I see Holland winning a low scoring affair.

I agree with this... just too many missing players for Uruguay to overcome when they are already facing a more talented team.

1-0, Netherlands.

[Rixsaw]

yeah, i'm not scared, actually doubled up my bet... if netherlands loses, oh well. but i had them pegged to win the whole thing from day one, and i'm not going back on it... if it's tied at the half, ill bet them some more, they have been very strong in the 2h of their games.

Same here. Netherlands defeated Brazil, and yet people still don't give them any credit. I hope Netherlands will shut up their critics today.

[EaglesPhan36]

If you sit and watch line movement and disregard who you originally thought would win a match, you're doomed.

[lakerboy]

If you sit and watch line movement and disregard who you originally thought would win a match, you're doomed.

And if you took Netherlands -155 and they close at -135 you will lose doing this type of thing long term. getting beat on closers will ensure you lose in sports betting whether it happens today or not long term it isnt good.

[Rixsaw]

If you sit and watch line movement and disregard who you originally thought would win a match, you're doomed.

And if you took Netherlands -155 and they close at -135 you will lose doing this type of thing long term. getting beat on closers will ensure you lose in sports betting whether it happens today or not long term it isnt good.

So you guys are saying Uruguay is the right play?

[lakerboy]

So you guys are saying Uruguay is the right play?

No not at all. EP is saying forget the line move and stick with your original play which in this case for the OP was Holland. Im saying that getting beat by the closing # isnt good and will insure you lose long term. As for the match today my statement really has nothing to do with it other than saying holland was -155 yesterday and now you can have them for -133. So if you took Holland at -155 its not a good bet long term based on the current and potential closing odds.

[Rixsaw]

Thanks for the clarification LB. I took Netherlands ML last night thinking the price will increase. I'm obviously wrong. Lets hope my pick isn't.

[EaglesPhan36]

Yeah exactly what LB said.

I don't get into what the "correct" play is based off of line movement. I formulate my opinion and stick with it personally. That's why I put that note in my signature to myself to trust my gut instinct and not waffle on who to pick. If you sit on the fence, more often than not, I think you end up screwing yourself. I'd much rather lose with the pick I wanted to take rather than take the pick everyone else thinks you should take based on movement, etc.

By the by, I'm on Uruguay +0.5/+1.

[Unicorn7]

Nice post Eagles Phan

[byronbb]

lol @ line movement in the world cup.

For England you are correct, as the ever faithful British squares pile on before game time. But for Uruguay this is completely the opposite. I am now convinced the World Cup is the squarest sporting event of all time.