MEXICO +1 recieving tons of action

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  • Fishhead
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-11-05
    • 40179

    #1
    MEXICO +1 recieving tons of action
    One example, BOOKMAKER



    POINTSPREADS
    06/24 11:25 -1 -120 / +1 +100
    06/25 08:21 -1 -105 / +1 -115
    06/27 04:18 -1 +110 / +1 -130
    06/27 05:54 -1 +115 / +1 -135
    06/27 06:44 -1 +120 / +1 -140
    06/27 07:10 -1 +125 / +1 -145
    06/27 07:37 -1 +130 / +1 -150
  • HoulihansTX
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-12-09
    • 30566

    #2
    So did USA yesterday, but I agree with the bettors here


    When you can get a point in soccer, take it.
    Comment
    • 3PtShooter
      SBR MVP
      • 04-13-08
      • 3936

      #3
      thanks for the heads up
      Comment
      • dtp
        SBR MVP
        • 09-17-09
        • 2106

        #4
        good information seems like many love Argentina
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          I got -120 on Mexico +1 this morning.
          Comment
          • Fishhead
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 08-11-05
            • 40179

            #6
            Originally posted by LT Profits
            I got -120 on Mexico +1 this morning.

            I got +1 -105............

            ..........and just scalped back some on the other side at -1 +133............
            Comment
            • Doug
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-10-05
              • 6324

              #7
              nice
              Comment
              • Fishhead
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 08-11-05
                • 40179

                #8
                DOUG, I wish the WORLD CUP were going on 365 days a year....................
                Comment
                • Flight
                  Restricted User
                  • 01-28-09
                  • 1979

                  #9
                  Where did you find +1 -105???
                  Comment
                  • szk1983
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 07-08-06
                    • 642

                    #10
                    Seems like a great bet.
                    Comment
                    • GRUMPERZ
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 10-26-09
                      • 261

                      #11
                      wow Fish,, you are just an amazing bettor
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Fishhead
                        I got +1 -105............

                        ..........and just scalped back some on the other side at -1 +133............
                        Well that's the difference between you and me, you seem to make bets with the sole intent of scalping back later, which is fine.

                        Me, if I had -105 on this, someone would need to teach me how to do cartwheels and I would just let it ride, knowing I am sick +EV long term.

                        I am still happy with my -120 though, as my goal isn't necessarily to get the best number possible during the day, but rather to beat the closing line, which I should still do by a considerable margin here.

                        Comment
                        • Pauulzcappin
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 04-23-10
                          • 20295

                          #13
                          Big mistake guys
                          Comment
                          • davidchong
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-10-06
                            • 1806

                            #14
                            at caliente mexico is +180, draw +350, and argentina -150...

                            bookmaker have few shop there, so most probable mexico odds will drop until game start
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                              Big mistake guys
                              You are talking like a handicapper.

                              From a numbers perspective, if you continuously get -120 on games that close at -150 in an efficient market, it would be virtually impossible to lose in the long run.
                              Comment
                              • Jaug
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-11-09
                                • 3087

                                #16
                                So did England, just fyi.
                                Comment
                                • Fishhead
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 08-11-05
                                  • 40179

                                  #17
                                  Back down to +1 -121 at Matchbook.........your bet may not beat the "efficient" closing number LT.
                                  Comment
                                  • Jaug
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-11-09
                                    • 3087

                                    #18
                                    I would like some action on Argentina -1 +130 here, pinny is only giving me +122.
                                    Comment
                                    • Fishhead
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 08-11-05
                                      • 40179

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Jaug
                                      I would like some action on Argentina -1 +130 here, pinny is only giving me +122.


                                      ........I got my partial buyback -1 +133 at Matchbook.

                                      Very pleased with my current position with this line and scalp.
                                      Comment
                                      • Jaug
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-11-09
                                        • 3087

                                        #20
                                        I'm kind of thinking over here, if the last game had 5 goals this one should be able to go over 2.25. Who would have ever thought 5 goals with those two teams. I guess you could say 6 goals
                                        Comment
                                        • Fishhead
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 08-11-05
                                          • 40179

                                          #21
                                          Agree, the OVER seems good.
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Fishhead
                                            Back down to +1 -121 at Matchbook.........your bet may not beat the "efficient" closing number LT.
                                            Well, THAT sucks!
                                            Comment
                                            • Fishhead
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 08-11-05
                                              • 40179

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                                              Well, THAT sucks!

                                              You're still a favorite though to do such.........don't panic........yet.
                                              Comment
                                              • LT Profits
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-27-06
                                                • 90963

                                                #24
                                                Still +1 -132 at Pinny though. Not bad but not -150 either.
                                                Comment
                                                • PeePee
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 10-08-09
                                                  • 619

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Jaug
                                                  I'm kind of thinking over here, if the last game had 5 goals this one should be able to go over 2.25. Who would have ever thought 5 goals with those two teams. I guess you could say 6 goals

                                                  Disagreed.... In soccer, the final scores would not tell the story as in American football. I'm pretty sure if the ref did not screw up that obvious goal and the score were tie at 2 England would have played a more conservative style instead of full mode attack which yield more chances on the counter = goals.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Fishhead
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 08-11-05
                                                    • 40179

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                    Still +1 -132 at Pinny though. Not bad but not -150 either.

                                                    Screw Pinny, MB is the source.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Fishhead
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 08-11-05
                                                      • 40179

                                                      #27
                                                      Back up to a solid -126 at MB..........with the takeback +125
                                                      Comment
                                                      • dimon
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-14-09
                                                        • 1159

                                                        #28
                                                        yeah...WC is the haven for scalping...one thing is matchy is not that big of a market though
                                                        Comment
                                                        • xGrr
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 02-24-10
                                                          • 216

                                                          #29
                                                          you guys cant be serious thinking mexico will beat argentina, i know this wc is full of surprises but this is as square it can be.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Fishhead
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 08-11-05
                                                            • 40179

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by xGrr
                                                            you guys cant be serious thinking mexico will beat argentina, i know this wc is full of surprises but this is as square it can be.

                                                            Mexico can lose the match and the wager can still win for those that have Mexico +1.


                                                            .........and in my case, if Argentina doesn't win by exactly one goal in regulation, I profit.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • suicidekings
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 03-23-09
                                                              • 9962

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by xGrr
                                                              you guys cant be serious thinking mexico will beat argentina, i know this wc is full of surprises but this is as square it can be.
                                                              Backing Mexico is a square play? I totally disagree with that comment...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Wilforth
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 05-10-08
                                                                • 16309

                                                                #32
                                                                To be fair to those pounding Mexico +1, the facts are that:

                                                                1) Argentina only managed to beat Mexico by an extra-time goal when they met at this stage of the last WC
                                                                2) Argentina's defense is suspect. The truth is that they haven't met a side that can expose their defensive vulnerability.

                                                                As for me, I still like Argentina to win but I think both sides will get on the score sheet and a winner will emerge in regulation time. That's why I think Over 2.5 (down from +120 to +105) looks like the best value bet of the game.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • AceKingHigh
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-23-09
                                                                  • 3888

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Took the OVER EASY!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • durito
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 07-03-06
                                                                    • 13173

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Fishhead
                                                                    Screw Pinny, MB is the source.
                                                                    You've lost your ******* mind, this is soccer, the limit at pinny is 120k. You want another opinion look at sbo or betfair, but matchbook lol
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • wtf
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 08-22-08
                                                                      • 12983

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Wilforth
                                                                      To be fair to those pounding Mexico +1, the facts are that: 1) Argentina only managed to beat Mexico by an extra-time goal when they met at this stage of the last WC 2) Argentina's defense is suspect. The truth is that they haven't met a side that can expose their defensive vulnerability. As for me, I still like Argentina to win but I think both sides will get on the score sheet and a winner will emerge in regulation time. That's why I think Over 2.5 (down from +120 to +105) looks like the best value bet of the game.
                                                                      didnt you make same argument for england vs germany?
                                                                      Comment
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