Using Betfair to make picks

[xGrr]

I decided to set some rules and see how it will go so for an early bet i will give a shot to this one
AFC - Champion League
Adelaide

[uva3021]

saw this one too, everyday there are high volume wagers on one side, especially the home team that is either a small odds favorite or underdog on a 3way line, not sure how popular this league is though and if $25,000 bet on any one particular game in this league is the norm

[JOHON8]

Bundesliga III
Carl Zeiss Jena / 3.5

This was the biggest bet in the league for today on betfair. They play away from home against a team a few places under them in the table.

[uva3021]

here is one that fits one of these conditions

http://sports.betfair.com/?mi=101238447&ex=1&origin=MRL

Dubnica 1.8 ($263)

MFK Petrzalka 5.1 ($597

Draw 3.95 ($6)

[BojeN]

here is one that fits one of these conditions



Dubnica 1.8 ($263)

MFK Petrzalka 5.1 ($597

Draw 3.95 ($6)

Not to much money at stake thought....

[blackf1re]

Bundesliga III
Carl Zeiss Jena / 3.5

This was the biggest bet in the league for today on betfair. They play away from home against a team a few places under them in the table.

Just FYI: Erfurt v Jena is the biggest game of the season for both teams and supporters. It's the Thuringia derby.

I'd still go with Jena but these games are usually tight affairs. Also Erfurt players recently critizised their own fans for not supporting them properly whereas the fans don't have a lot of faith in team and manager. So this game might be the perfect opportunity to to become reconciled.

[Gandev]

Not to much money at stake thought....

Although considering the game this kind of deserves a small risk!

[rfr3sh]

guys couple things to consider with atalanta, its a big league game tend to stay away from those, and they are the favourite so it is expected they have more money on them, and the ammount of money on the game isnt that great for serie A so I would not try that game as a test.

[rfr3sh]

also dont play al-itthad anymore

but al-saad looks good still

[rfr3sh]

Not much being traded in this game but someone put 100$ on Bath City out of 106$ wagered on the match

Total matched on this event: $106 Betting summary - Volume: $100 Last price matched: 2.00

[rfr3sh]

Ya for sure sorry:
AFC Champions League:
Al-Saad SC +110
Al Ittihad Jeddah +130
Czech Republic Gambrinus Liga
Ceske Budejovice +100
Bulgaria A PFG
Lokomotiv Mezdra +350
Austria Bundesliga
SV Ried +150

money is on the other sides in these games, so when you check make sure you dont do it so early like i did

Adding
Czech Republic Gambrinus Liga

Sigma Olomouc +110

Slovenian Corgan League

Petrzalka +425

Serbian Super League:
Belgrade -120

[uva3021]

early money may be a better indicator

saw olomouc but they are 2.12 on a 3way line, so its basically expected 60-70% of the money flows their way, not much line movement either

[xGrr]

I decided to set some rules and see how it will go so for an early bet i will give a shot to this one
AFC - Champion League
Adelaide

3-2 win

[rfr3sh]

Nice, what did you notice in that game xGrr

[Masu485]

money is on the other sides in these games, so when you check make sure you dont do it so early like i did

fukk, last night i made a round robin with those plays

[pitman]

what about burghausen to beat bremen(am) in germany 3. +145

[rfr3sh]

fukk, last night i made a round robin with those plays

Both AFC games won. so you can still win some

[pitman]

and dresden +.5 (-115) @ Aue , germany 3

[rfr3sh]

what about burghausen to beat bremen(am) in germany 3. +145

that market wont show up on betfair

[rfr3sh]

Belgium Division 2:
RFC Tournai v Lierse DRAW

testing this one, because most money is on the draw, so will list it here to see if it hits

[pitman]

hmm. ok, ya i've been using flashscore. this is what it has for game. burghausen - bremen (am)

[rfr3sh]

oh right, I usually just check the amount of money not the line move

[pitman]

it shows the amounts on betfairs website?

[pitman]

Is reid still a play?. From the looks of it on what ive been using is a whack load have layed reid.yet odds are dropping on reid ML.....
reid-vienna

[rfr3sh]

yeah when you click on the individual game there is a graph symbol next to the team name or draw click that

[rfr3sh]

yes im still on reid

[pitman]

ok thanks

[rfr3sh]

no problem, tomorrow I have no class so I can check the games at 3am EST which is when i checked them the first day and got good results

[rfr3sh]

not looking like a good day today, maybe its all about the time checked, or maybe it was just a coincidence the first day

[N.O.S.]

Is Betfair still off limits to the US players? They have great soccer forum there.

[Masu485]

Both AFC games won. so you can still win some

i did round robin with 3s. i didnt understand round robins completely when i made the bet. so i lost everything. my luck is unreal. i have to go at least 3-1 now on my late plays to make this a winning day.

[JOHON8]

Bundesliga III
Carl Zeiss Jena / 3.5

This was the biggest bet in the league for today on betfair. They play away from home against a team a few places under them in the table.

Erfurt 0-3 Carl Zeiss Jena

There was 5k on Jena vs a few hundred on Erfurt.

[uva3021]

what about a play like Atalanta v Cagliari

Atalanta 1.83 ($268,000)
Cagliari 5 ($8000)
Draw 3.75 ($7000)

would atalanta just be a square bet? high volume on high favorite, but its absurd the percentage of bets on one side

Damn Atalanta won 3:1, should have played this

[JOHON8]

Damn Atalanta won 3:1, should have played this

Atalanta was in relegation zone and needed this win badly. This is a pattern that's pretty much the same but at different levels through out every league right now, so when we see almost 300k on a match we should look at these things and take advantage.

[rfr3sh]

ok guys I am checking for plays right now