Grab Fiorentina on the Handicap Tomorrow

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  • tbill11
    SBR MVP
    • 03-15-09
    • 1451

    #1
    Grab Fiorentina on the Handicap Tomorrow
    Bayern is going to be very weak and this huge win streak just can't go on any longer. I'm seeing a draw tomorrow, or even a Fior win. +1,1.5 is a gift for this Italian squad, even if they have played like sh*t lately. Anybody with me?
  • JOHON8
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-28-10
    • 7712

    #2
    Bayern is at home... No matter how bad they play, they seem to do amazing things at the Allianz.

    If you want to go for the draw I don't blame you, but personally I'm staying away from favouring Fiorentina simply because psychologically the Italians know if they screw up they got the 2nd leg to make up for it.
    Comment
    • diamond
      SBR MVP
      • 02-09-06
      • 3636

      #3
      Cant agree, but passing the whole game. As you say, Fiorentina sucks at the moment, and missing Mutu, Santana and Gamberini I believe.
      Comment
      • Euphoria38
        SBR MVP
        • 09-04-08
        • 1188

        #4
        Fiorentina without Mutu sucks, try fifa 2010 without Mutu and let me know how that goes =) Bayern here... 2-1 or 3-1
        Comment
        • minet123
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-17-07
          • 10280

          #5
          I like Bayern on the handicap, Fiorentina has been awful lately
          Comment
          • psulions
            Restricted User
            • 01-03-10
            • 205

            #6
            I'm on Bayern as well.
            Comment
            • samitarian
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-02-10
              • 610

              #7
              why exactly is bayern going to be weak?
              Comment
              • ClydeFontaine
                SBR Sharp
                • 11-09-09
                • 375

                #8
                Fiorentina will likely play tight and try and keep it close for the second leg at home. They will be perfectly content to lose 1-0 or even better have a scoreless draw. Taking the goal handicap with them seems the contrarian thing to do here and I like it.
                Comment
                • Arsenal
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-30-09
                  • 1349

                  #9
                  How are they weak? They are getting stronger considering Ribery was able to start last game. Your whole angle seems to be that Bayern is due to lose. Sure the streak cannot go forever, but give a reason why it ends tomorrow?
                  Comment
                  • tbill11
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-15-09
                    • 1451

                    #10
                    Well, I suppose I was misinformed about the stomach bug that's been going around Bayern and that it's almost through with, but that was one reason I had. Any number of Munich's players could wake up tomorrow morning feeling sh*tty as hell...you don't bet with the team that's got swine or stomach flu.

                    Stomach bug or no, I still like Fiorentina on the +1, 1.5. They wont lose by more than 1 goal...they're a CL team for crying out loud. Morever, the line is dying for bettors to take Bayern -1. Being able to get the split Asian Handicap is a gift, because I do see a 2-1 Bayern victory. A -1 line as low as -120 is just too enticing for bettors. You know what they say about the obvious in gambling...a hot team thats only a -201 and a -1 (-120) against a cold team...sounds like a trap.

                    Also, most of you seem to have forgotten that Bayern barely made it through to the 2nd round of CL while Fiorentina literally razed competition in the group stage.
                    Comment
                    • fixxer
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-13-05
                      • 1877

                      #11
                      My choice is Fiorentina win + 1-1

                      I see great value in the away team....even without Mutu, they are not weaker team than the home side
                      Comment
                      • blackf1re
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 01-31-10
                        • 487

                        #12
                        Took Bayern -2 @4.60 a couple of days ago. I expect a 3-0, 4-1, 5-1 etc scoreline tonight.
                        Comment
                        • JOHON8
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-28-10
                          • 7712

                          #13
                          Originally posted by blackf1re
                          Took Bayern -2 @4.60 a couple of days ago. I expect a 3-0, 4-1, 5-1 etc scoreline tonight.
                          good luck bro this is very possible if Bayern perform as expected.
                          Comment
                          • hedgejob
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-21-09
                            • 2561

                            #14
                            I'm taking Fiorentina ML.
                            Comment
                            • sidewinder66
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 01-31-10
                              • 148

                              #15
                              I like Bayern here, even with the handicap
                              Comment
                              • JOHON8
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-28-10
                                • 7712

                                #16
                                Originally posted by hedgejob
                                I'm taking Fiorentina ML.
                                Bold move I hope you win though, BOL.
                                Comment
                                • winM
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-21-10
                                  • 340

                                  #17
                                  I follow! Forientina! I confident on 1st Half! Yes!
                                  Comment
                                  • Czu81
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-25-09
                                    • 1082

                                    #18
                                    OMG it is a tough pick. Zanetti is also out.....
                                    Comment
                                    • Ace_of_Spades
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-14-09
                                      • 13518

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by tbill11
                                      Well, I suppose I was misinformed about the stomach bug that's been going around Bayern and that it's almost through with, but that was one reason I had. Any number of Munich's players could wake up tomorrow morning feeling sh*tty as hell...you don't bet with the team that's got swine or stomach flu.

                                      Stomach bug or no, I still like Fiorentina on the +1, 1.5. They wont lose by more than 1 goal...they're a CL team for crying out loud. Morever, the line is dying for bettors to take Bayern -1. Being able to get the split Asian Handicap is a gift, because I do see a 2-1 Bayern victory. A -1 line as low as -120 is just too enticing for bettors. You know what they say about the obvious in gambling...a hot team thats only a -201 and a -1 (-120) against a cold team...sounds like a trap.

                                      Also, most of you seem to have forgotten that Bayern barely made it through to the 2nd round of CL while Fiorentina literally razed competition in the group stage.
                                      Quite possibly the worst reasoning i've heard ever. Where did you hear about the flu situation and did Bayern have it before or after whipping Dortmund 3-1? Bayern will win 3-1.
                                      Comment
                                      • Ace_of_Spades
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-14-09
                                        • 13518

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by fixxer
                                        My choice is Fiorentina win + 1-1

                                        I see great value in the away team....even without Mutu, they are not weaker team than the home side
                                        But they are.
                                        Comment
                                        • sportscash
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 01-16-09
                                          • 2894

                                          #21
                                          Comment
                                          • JohnAnthony
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-30-09
                                            • 5110

                                            #22
                                            GL everyone!
                                            "I have never seen a wild thing feel sorry for itself. A little bird will fall dead, frozen from a bough, without ever having felt sorry for itself."

                                            - D.H. Lawrence
                                            Comment
                                            • secret007
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-12-09
                                              • 1786

                                              #23
                                              My friend is a fans of Fiorentina and he expects them to be destroyed by Munich today.
                                              Comment
                                              • smitch124
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 05-19-08
                                                • 12566

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by secret007
                                                My friend is a fans of Fiorentina and he expects them to be destroyed by Munich today.
                                                Thats kinda funny though, my teams always seem to win when I think they are gonna get crushed.
                                                Comment
                                                • lakerboy
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 04-02-09
                                                  • 94379

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Ace_of_Spades
                                                  Quite possibly the worst reasoning i've heard ever. Where did you hear about the flu situation and did Bayern have it before or after whipping Dortmund 3-1? Bayern will win 3-1.




                                                  It didnt make a difference obviously but it was there
                                                  Comment
                                                  • diamond
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-09-06
                                                    • 3636

                                                    #26
                                                    Bayern with 12 straight wins so far in all competitions.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • diamond
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-09-06
                                                      • 3636

                                                      #27
                                                      And Fiorentina has never won a game in Germany, and Bayern beat them 3-0 last year.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • tbill11
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-15-09
                                                        • 1451

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Ace_of_Spades
                                                        Quite possibly the worst reasoning i've heard ever. Where did you hear about the flu situation and did Bayern have it before or after whipping Dortmund 3-1? Bayern will win 3-1.
                                                        If you're referring to the line movement theory as the worst way of reasoning, then I suggest you look at the Real Madrid game yesterday. Public pounds Madrid because bookies made them about +100 on the ML, they lose. With injuries, this has turned into a no play for me, but I wouldn't be surprised if Fiorentina kept it close. The line just bleeds trap.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • diamond
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-09-06
                                                          • 3636

                                                          #29
                                                          Dont think its a trap, pretty much sums up the situation at the moment. Bayern is superstrong, Fiorentina is extremely weak: Fiorentina always struggled in Germany. That being said, this is a quarterfinal, the value does not look so strong on the homewin, although they will probably win.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • protein
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-20-09
                                                            • 1231

                                                            #30
                                                            I have now Fiore in a Parlay. Cazy odds but good value.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • nulldah
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-27-10
                                                              • 1473

                                                              #31
                                                              if fiorentina win here, it will be one of the upset at this round, wrong if bayern has trouble qualify of the groupstage, it was their early season problem, after that they win comfortably starting from that riot at juventus, n also wrong to say fiorentina qualify nicely, they qualify coz my fav team (liverpool) screwed up big time.

                                                              12 winning streak is BIG risk for us, but i cant see why it cannot continue with bayern players motivated at this match. imo this streak will break when they relax against lesser bundesliga team n fail to score at all, but not champion league, the one thing they like to reclaim their top spot at europe
                                                              Comment
                                                              • tbill11
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-15-09
                                                                • 1451

                                                                #32
                                                                So, the +1.5 was a bad decision now, was it? If it weren't for that last minute goal you Bayern fans would have been burned goooood today
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JOHON8
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-28-10
                                                                  • 7712

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by tbill11
                                                                  So, the +1.5 was a bad decision now, was it? If it weren't for that last minute goal you Bayern fans would have been burned goooood today
                                                                  Obviously Fiornetina got cheated, but looking at it from an experienced betting perspective, betting on Fiorentina would be an error anyways.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • tbill11
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-15-09
                                                                    • 1451

                                                                    #34
                                                                    All I'm saying is that I said take Fiorentina on the +1.5 because the line is screaming for money on Bayern -1, which will end in a push. That sounds like I was spot on. Bayern fans, a retort?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • nulldah
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-27-10
                                                                      • 1473

                                                                      #35
                                                                      good call there.. lucky i took ML n the refs saved my ass
                                                                      Comment
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