The Karayilan Thread - Part 2

[Karayilan9]

The clocks are all saying something different, I was up all night watching MLS then went to a bar and now don't have a clue what the real time is so hope these picks are on time

Dutch League - Ajax v Groningen - Ajax -1.5/2@ -120 / 1.8 (1X) 13:30 GMT WIN

Ajax are very strong at home, Groningen have also been in form but have alot of key injuries this game including top defenders, goalkeeper, midfielders and strikers. They don't have a deep squad and against an Ajax team who even blew out the top teams of the league at home they should be able to exploit this teams weaknesses.

Serie A - Napoli v Catania - Napoli -1 @ +110 / 2.1 (2X) 14:00 GMT PUSH

After their recent fix jobs Catania have got themselves out the danger zone, this match isn't on their priority list, they have their eye set on the big Sicilian derby with rivals Palermo next week. Strangely all the key players this week are either injured or not fit. Napoli have hit form at the right time if they are to push for a CL place. Lavezzi is back and has bought that attacking threat they were missing.


Seria A - Sampdoria v Caligari - Sampdoria -1 @ +100 / 2 (2X) 14:00 GMT LOSS

Samps also hit form at the right time, they are also pushing for a CL place, Caligari is safe in mid table and seems to be happy with that as the teams gone AWOL in the last few games, losing the last 4 on the trot. A motivated Sampdoria team has a good chance against a Caligari team who have achieved their goal.

[Lem]

lmao

Anyway...i like the picks!

[ararat2010]

Good Job! BOL!

[Ace_of_Spades]

It seems the times have changed. The Italian games here are an hour early. Which i do like.

[schenker88]

bol 2 all noble lords!

[waco66]

Sampdoria can suck a fat one. they had chances to easily go up 2-0 but couldnt finish. I had them as one of my picks aswell. Congrats with the Ajax pick

[Karayilan9]

Sampdoria can suck a fat one. they had chances to easily go up 2-0 but couldnt finish. I had them as one of my picks aswell. Congrats with the Ajax pick

Yeah Samps screwed up bad, last minute goal stole the push from us and Napoli was peppering Catanias goal but couldn't get that 2-0 lead.

Ajax never lets down at home though

[waco66]

Yes, Ajax almost never disappoints at home. I have been riding that train for a while. They can go into Half-time 0-0 and then explode for 3-4 goals in the second half. They have been a great second half team at home. Hopefully we can make a couple of more dolla's on them at home before the season is up.

[Club]

Hay Karay, I don't like to force anything and I know you don't either but does that Penarol match in the Uruguay League interest you or do you not play that league? Seems like a popular play. Thanks.

[Karayilan9]

Hay Karay, I don't like to force anything and I know you don't either but does that Penarol match in the Uruguay League interest you or do you not play that league? Seems like a popular play. Thanks.

Yeah I'm tailing Jimmy on it but its not my play that's why I didn't put it up, our faith is in Jimmy

La Liga - Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid - Real Madird -1.5 @ -110 / 1.9 (1X) 20:00 GMT LOSS

In Ronaldo we trust

[SRBI]

Ronaldo was on fire last game - shouldn't be any different today.

[schenker88]

nice

[sprn]

Real Madrid are so unpredictable, and so are Atletico.

[SRBI]

Real Madrid are so unpredictable, and so are Atletico.

Real Madrid are actually quite predictable - Atletico is just staying alive like a cockroach would.

That's a wrap anyway.

[tbill11]

Hey Kara, feeling Fluminense at all? This is one of those inner city scuffles where the away team gets better odds despite essentially playing at home. They're a much stronger side than Vasco from what I can tell. Thoughts?

[Karayilan9]

Tbill I like Santos at home, Neymar is back and the team is firing

Brazil - Santos v Monte Azul - Santos -2 @ +100 / 2 (1X) 22:30 GMT WIN

[SRBI]

Tbill I like Santos at home, Neymar is back and the team is firing

Brazil - Santos v Monte Azul - Santos -2 @ -140 / 1.7 (1X) 22:30 GMT

BOL buddy I would get on this but the book is not showing the HC for this game right now

[pitman]

is that a 1.5/2 line?. i got -2 for +105, bodog still has it at that.
i think they get er done. GL Kara

[Karayilan9]

I wrote the wrong line Pitman

[pitman]

thought so cause i rarely ever get better lines than you
santos is killing

[Karayilan9]

thought so cause i rarely ever get better lines than you
santos is killing

Santos is a machine, they will make us alot this season, great manager Luxumburgo and very talented team with world class players like Robinho and Neymar.

[SRBI]

all around - beers on me

[Karayilan9]

Turkish League - Kayserspor v Trabzonspor - Trabzonspor -0@ -130 / 1.8 (2X) 18:00 GMT LOSS

Championship - Newcastle v Notting Forrest - Newcastle -0.5/1@ -105 / 1.95 (1X) 19:45 GMT WIN

[Gargamel]

Hey Kara mate! Have a look into the AFC thread, and see if you can help me find any early good plays for this week's AFC

Should be another great one! Oh, and I like the plays.

[schenker88]

Turkish League - Kayserspor v Trabzonspor - Trabzonspor -0@ -130 / 1.8 (2X) 18:00 GMT Championship - Newcastle v Notting Forrest - Newcastle -0.5/1@ -105 / 1.95 (1X) 19:45 GMT

where could u get trab -0 @-130 sir?
i can see it only @-160

[Nyphra]

Both got totally slashed . Took newcastle for 1.87 but trabzonspor is impossible.

[SRBI]

Trabzonspor PK line got pounded up to -170 at 5dimes and its an hour till game-time.

I may go with the under 2/2.5 as well. I can see this ending in a 1-0 victory for Trabzonspor.

[tbill11]

Man, wish I had taken these lines last night. Didn't get roughed up too badly, as they should both hit, but who knows. As always though, very excited to tail your picks Kara

[kmarinouofm]

Man, wish I had taken these lines last night. Didn't get roughed up too badly, as they should both hit, but who knows. As always though, very excited to tail your picks Kara

me and kara tried to warn everyone.. i even posted that Traza and Newcastle were the only tickets we were sitting on already... everything else we are watching.. i even predicted the line would be -170 for newcastle last night.. which it currently is..

[kmarinouofm]

Kara.. i think we need to lay off bilbao.. maybe a half unit play on Racing +.5

i am taking wigan +1.5 for sure man.. odds been dropping like crazy on the asian line..

[RockyS]

Turkish League - Kayserspor v Trabzonspor - Trabzonspor -0@ -130 / 1.8 (2X) 18:00 GMT

Championship - Newcastle v Notting Forrest - Newcastle -0.5/1@ -105 / 1.95 (1X) 19:45 GMT

What does 1.8 (2X) mean by Trabz?

I've taken over 2,5 for manch c, otherwise I would like +2 on wigan.

[SRBI]

What does 1.8 (2X) mean by Trabz?

I've taken over 2,5 for manch c, otherwise I would like +2 on wigan.

Well since Karay isn't around right now, the 1.8 is just European odds, and the (2x) is his stake and/or confidence level on the play. This line has been bouncing around like crazy, saw it at -170 now its at -150 then -166.

[Nyphra]

Karayilan9, I got a question for you since you are Turkish right?

I've come up with a theory bookmakers where the general public in a country bet on are quite good in predicting games. This bookies should only operate in their respective countries (and generally take quite alot of money). I then convert their odds to what the odds should be if there is no theoretical hold in the market. Anyway one of the bookies is IDDAA. Do you think I can apply this theory on IDDAA, or is it just madness?

I've recorded 2 picks last weekend btw, Trabzonspor (pick) v Antalyaspor and Fenerbache (pick) v Manispor. Trabzonspor today was also a pick given the odds of yesterday, the odds right now are still slightly profitable according to my calculation but not enough to bet on it.

[Barroco]

Trabzonspor looks to end in a tie, still a bit left though

[RoagBettor]

I took Kayserispor ML at +244 when the line started to move against Trabzonspor late. 90th minute goal cashes the ticket.