2-teamer: Inter Milan/Palmeiras +130
Inter Milan: They're playing host to Palermo. This qualifies as a good play for 2 reasons:
1) Juventus' demolition of Sampdoria means Inter now holds a slim 1-point lead over Juve at the top of the standings. Inter will savor taking all 3 points in this game to widen their lead over Juventus.
2) Palermo is quite a mediocre side on the road as they're 1-1-2 in that role. An examination of their road record shows that their only road win was at Livorno, which is one of the basement teams. Their 2 road losses were at Fiorentina and Parma, which home records are inferior to Inter's. Inter's 4-1-0 home record clearly edges Palermo's 1-1-2 road record.
3) After an inexplicable 1-1 draw in their first home game against Bari, Inter have won their home games, scoring at least 2 goals in each of those games. On the flip side, except for their 1-2 win at Livorno, Palermo haven't scored more than 1 goal in any of their other road games. In fact, they've been shutout in 2 of their 4 road games.
4) The meetings between these sides at Inter have been an alternation of home wins and draws. The last meeting at Inter ended in a draw and Inter has never drawn 2 straight home games against Palermo. You may check this out:
Palmeiras: Palmeiras have done everything in their capacity to scare away bettors as they're now winless in their L4 games. They however qualify as a solid play for 2 reasons:
1) Palmeiras qualify as a good redemption play. Before their slump, Palmeiras had a win rate of over 50%, while their opponent, Goais, have a win rate of about 30%. I've tested the redemption rule whenever I saw an opportunity and it has 100% success so far. By the redemption rule, play a team with a win rate of at least 50% that is winless in its L4 and is playing against a team with a win rate of about 30% or less, in a game that matters to the higher-winning team, baring injuries to key players.
2) The home team has won each of the L5 meetings between these sides.
Inter Milan: They're playing host to Palermo. This qualifies as a good play for 2 reasons:
1) Juventus' demolition of Sampdoria means Inter now holds a slim 1-point lead over Juve at the top of the standings. Inter will savor taking all 3 points in this game to widen their lead over Juventus.
2) Palermo is quite a mediocre side on the road as they're 1-1-2 in that role. An examination of their road record shows that their only road win was at Livorno, which is one of the basement teams. Their 2 road losses were at Fiorentina and Parma, which home records are inferior to Inter's. Inter's 4-1-0 home record clearly edges Palermo's 1-1-2 road record.
3) After an inexplicable 1-1 draw in their first home game against Bari, Inter have won their home games, scoring at least 2 goals in each of those games. On the flip side, except for their 1-2 win at Livorno, Palermo haven't scored more than 1 goal in any of their other road games. In fact, they've been shutout in 2 of their 4 road games.
4) The meetings between these sides at Inter have been an alternation of home wins and draws. The last meeting at Inter ended in a draw and Inter has never drawn 2 straight home games against Palermo. You may check this out:
Palmeiras: Palmeiras have done everything in their capacity to scare away bettors as they're now winless in their L4 games. They however qualify as a solid play for 2 reasons:
1) Palmeiras qualify as a good redemption play. Before their slump, Palmeiras had a win rate of over 50%, while their opponent, Goais, have a win rate of about 30%. I've tested the redemption rule whenever I saw an opportunity and it has 100% success so far. By the redemption rule, play a team with a win rate of at least 50% that is winless in its L4 and is playing against a team with a win rate of about 30% or less, in a game that matters to the higher-winning team, baring injuries to key players.
2) The home team has won each of the L5 meetings between these sides.
