Two soccer picks - Tuesday

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  • Wilforth
    Restricted User
    • 05-10-08
    • 16309

    #1
    Two soccer picks - Tuesday
    Sevilla -105

    Sevilla arrive Stuttgart with a stellar record of 4-0-1 in their L5, scoring 12 while conceding only 3 in those 5 games. The home team, Stuttgart, are 2-1-2 in their L5. One of those 2 wins came in extra time against a non-league side. So in reality, Stuttgart are 1-2-2 in their L5. In those 5 games, they've scored 6 and conceded 6 (regulation time only). The harsher truth, however, is that in it's L3 home games, Stuttgart conceded a total of 6 goals while scoring only once. If that is a true reflection of their current form, then Sevilla will have an easy time in this game. On current form, Sevilla are by far the better side both offensively and defensively. Given their current position in the league (13th out of 18), Stuttgart falls into a category of teams in the Champions League that should be worrying more about their domestic games than Champions League games. And I think they won't put much into this game as they're among the numerous "outsiders" in the thick and thin of the Champions League hierarchy. The time has come to start making plays only on those teams that are genuinely in this competition. And Sevilla is among those.


    England Championship: Newcastle +100

    Thanks to Smogs. He's the one I'm tailing on this one.
    Last edited by Wilforth; 10-20-09, 01:57 AM. Reason: Typo
  • Totolover1409
    SBR MVP
    • 06-14-08
    • 1400

    #2
    Wilforth, I dont really see Man U winning Wednesday's game either. With Park, Rooney, Evra out, and Sir Fergie never winning a CL game in Russia, what do you think of a draw on the game?
    Comment
    • demize21
      SBR MVP
      • 11-03-08
      • 3541

      #3
      he posted draw in initial leans
      Comment
      • lakerboy
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-02-09
        • 94379

        #4
        never doubt man u . they find ways to win when they have no business winning.i would stay far away from them
        Comment
        • Ace_of_Spades
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-14-09
          • 13518

          #5
          Originally posted by lakerboy
          never doubt man u . they find ways to win when they have no business winning.i would stay far away from them

          So true.
          Comment
          • Wilforth
            Restricted User
            • 05-10-08
            • 16309

            #6
            Originally posted by Totolover1409
            Wilforth, I dont really see Man U winning Wednesday's game either. With Park, Rooney, Evra out, and Sir Fergie never winning a CL game in Russia, what do you think of a draw on the game?
            Giggs is also unavailable for Man Utd. The injury list for Man Utd is really troubling, to say the least. Even if Man Utd went to Russia with a healthy squad, picking a win in Russia will be difficult. Given that Man Utd will be going to Russia with a thin squad and with a league game on Sunday at Liverpool, I think Man Utd will just play to avoid a loss at CSKA. That's why a draw looks very promising. These are my leans for Wednesday's CL games:

            Bordeaux +140 (Bayern Munich will be without Robben)
            CSKA/Man Utd draw +225
            FC Zurich/Marseille OVER 2.5 (-130)
            Last edited by Wilforth; 10-20-09, 01:58 AM. Reason: Typo
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            • Totolover1409
              SBR MVP
              • 06-14-08
              • 1400

              #7
              my bad, didnt see the initial lines
              Comment
              • Wilforth
                Restricted User
                • 05-10-08
                • 16309

                #8
                I'm considering this prop in the Rangers game:

                x/1 +340

                I think Urzeceni can hold Rangers to a 1H draw before falling apart in the 2H.
                Comment
                • tbill11
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-15-09
                  • 1451

                  #9
                  Hey Wilforth, what do you think of Kiev +1, +1.5? Inter has been less than impressive as of late, and I don't think that they'll beat this stingy Kiev team by more than 1 goal
                  Comment
                  • Wilforth
                    Restricted User
                    • 05-10-08
                    • 16309

                    #10
                    Originally posted by tbill11
                    Hey Wilforth, what do you think of Kiev +1, +1.5? Inter has been less than impressive as of late, and I don't think that they'll beat this stingy Kiev team by more than 1 goal
                    To be honest, Inter Milan hasn't been particularly impressive at home. The Inter game is a pass for me but I think Inter will scrap their way to a win. One can't rule out the possibility of Kiev +1 cashing but I highly doubt it will. Kiev +1.5 stands a good chance. My thinking is that if Kiev can hold Inter scoreless in the 1H, and Inter on their part can shutout Kiev and then score one scrappy goal in the 2H, then one or both of these props could cash:


                    Exact score: Inter 1-0 +550
                    x/1: +330

                    Just my 2 cents.
                    Comment
                    • tbill11
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-15-09
                      • 1451

                      #11
                      What does the X/1 mean? I've seen it a couple times. 1st half draw?
                      Comment
                      • Wilforth
                        Restricted User
                        • 05-10-08
                        • 16309

                        #12
                        Originally posted by tbill11
                        What does the X/1 mean? I've seen it a couple times. 1st half draw?
                        1H draw and home team to win the game.
                        Comment
                        • Ace_of_Spades
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-14-09
                          • 13518

                          #13
                          Basically Draw/Home.
                          Comment
                          • BL
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-11-09
                            • 4070

                            #14
                            Good Luck! With you on Sevilla! If Stuttgart plays like they recently did in the Bundesliga Sevilla is the right play
                            Comment
                            • Wilforth
                              Restricted User
                              • 05-10-08
                              • 16309

                              #15
                              Originally posted by BL
                              Good Luck! With you on Sevilla! If Stuttgart plays like they recently did in the Bundesliga Sevilla is the right play
                              Exactly. I don't expect Stuttgart to play any differently from the way they've played in their L3 home games which has seen them ship 6 goals while scoring only 1.
                              Comment
                              • BL
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-11-09
                                • 4070

                                #16
                                It seems like Stuttgart doesn't know any longer how to build pressure on the opponent. The game vs Werder Bremen for example... Bremen didn't play that good. Stuttgart just found no way to get chances to score. I expect the game tonight going under 2,5 as long Sevilla won't score like in a Handball match
                                Comment
                                • Wilforth
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 05-10-08
                                  • 16309

                                  #17
                                  I like to stay from totals in these kind of games and just go for what appears the most feasible outcome
                                  Comment
                                  • Hybris
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-22-09
                                    • 1023

                                    #18
                                    I´m leaning towards a coward 2 teamer..
                                    Sevilla DnB and Olympiakos DnB @1.94, -106.

                                    Just hate draws thats all...
                                    Comment
                                    • TurkzZ
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-07-09
                                      • 4095

                                      #19
                                      what you think on the Newcastle game going over 2.5? Colocini and Taylor might be out
                                      Forward points to Karayilan, i am unable to receive SBR points
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                                      • RoagBettor
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-20-09
                                        • 8355

                                        #20
                                        Sevilla trio to miss Stuttgart match

                                        Sevilla will be without Renato, Andres Palop and Abdoulay Konko for Tuesday’s UEFA Champions League match at Stuttgart. Renato ended his side’s 1-0 weekend defeat against Deportivo La Coruna complaining of calf cramps prompting coach Manuel Jimenez to leave the Brazilian midfielder out of the squad. Goalkeeper Palop’s calf injury is more serious than initially expected, while French defender Konko has failed to recover from a virus. On a brighter note, forward Luis Fabiano returns to the team after a late arrival from international duty with Brazil forced him out of the Deportivo defeat.
                                        Comment
                                        • theplagy
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-21-09
                                          • 1915

                                          #21
                                          With Gerrard back, Torres remains out.

                                          anythought on the kops?
                                          Comment
                                          • TurkzZ
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-07-09
                                            • 4095

                                            #22
                                            Gerrard is the key factor, he can single handedly turn a game in L'pools favor and seems to shine in the Champions League. I cant see them loosing this in front of the KOP
                                            Forward points to Karayilan, i am unable to receive SBR points
                                            Comment
                                            • TurkzZ
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-07-09
                                              • 4095

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                              Sevilla trio to miss Stuttgart match Sevilla will be without Renato, Andres Palop and Abdoulay Konko for Tuesday’s UEFA Champions League match at Stuttgart. Renato ended his side’s 1-0 weekend defeat against Deportivo La Coruna complaining of calf cramps prompting coach Manuel Jimenez to leave the Brazilian midfielder out of the squad. Goalkeeper Palop’s calf injury is more serious than initially expected, while French defender Konko has failed to recover from a virus. On a brighter note, forward Luis Fabiano returns to the team after a late arrival from international duty with Brazil forced him out of the Deportivo defeat.
                                              Missing Palop could be an Issue, no idea how there 2nd GK is, Adriano is back though ,
                                              Forward points to Karayilan, i am unable to receive SBR points
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                                              • Wilforth
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 05-10-08
                                                • 16309

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by TurkzZ
                                                what you think on the Newcastle game going over 2.5? Colocini and Taylor might be out
                                                Considering that Newcastle has kept 3 clean sheets in their L6 road games, Over may not be encouraging. In fact, the record shows that they're keeping clean sheets in every other road game. Having allowed a goal in their last road game, one would expect them to keep a clean sheet today, going by the pattern of their clean-sheet recurrence. On the flip side, we see that Scunthorpe has been shutout twice at home by teams in the upper half of the league and on each of those 2 occasions, the game stayed Under. Given that Newcastle are capable of shutting out Scunthorpe, I'd stay away from the o/u play and take what appears more feasible - a Newcastle win. You may check these out:




                                                Comment
                                                • theplagy
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-21-09
                                                  • 1915

                                                  #25
                                                  Im liking under 2.5 for Liverpool

                                                  can't just see them coming on a scoring spree against Lyon
                                                  Last edited by theplagy; 10-20-09, 08:09 AM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TurkzZ
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-07-09
                                                    • 4095

                                                    #26
                                                    Barton, Colochini and Taylor out, Newcastles defence will be no better then others in the league without these guys and Barton the in Midfield. BTW "The easier it seems, the riskier it is" Quote of the month guys
                                                    Forward points to Karayilan, i am unable to receive SBR points
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                                                    • TurkzZ
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-07-09
                                                      • 4095

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by theplagy
                                                      Im liking under 2.5 for Liverpool

                                                      can't just see them coming on a scoring spree against Lyon
                                                      i was thinking that to, but both teams do pose a goal threat so under could be risky, especially as Liverpool are not defending very well
                                                      Forward points to Karayilan, i am unable to receive SBR points
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                                                      • bigjonson
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 05-27-09
                                                        • 668

                                                        #28
                                                        All over Sevilla.

                                                        3 units.....
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Smogs
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-31-08
                                                          • 4173

                                                          #29
                                                          Good luck wil, i like your plays and angle on these games.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SmackdownV
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-14-09
                                                            • 5918

                                                            #30
                                                            Wil,

                                                            I jumped on Lyon today +390 ML....

                                                            I hope your right about that one! GL.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • aneurysm00
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 03-07-08
                                                              • 230

                                                              #31
                                                              I'm taking the O2.5 in the Liverpool game.
                                                              Rafa's getting attacked by all and sundry off late and I can see a reaction on a night like this. No calm measured probing play but an assault from the word go.
                                                              That's not to say that I'm confident in a home win as I'm not sure our shaky defense will nullify the threat posed by Gomis, Cissokho, Pjanic and Lopez.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • tbill11
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-15-09
                                                                • 1451

                                                                #32
                                                                I think that Sevilla's loss this weekend is an even better indication that they'll be playing well today. I feared a look ahead and left the Deportiva game unbet, but this one will be my strongest play of the day. Good call as always Wilforth!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • aneurysm00
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 03-07-08
                                                                  • 230

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Early Liverpool team news.
                                                                  Glen Johnson is out for Liverpool. Martin Kelly is the replacement. Ngog starts up front.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Phillth
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-09-09
                                                                    • 1785

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by aneurysm00
                                                                    Early Liverpool team news.
                                                                    Glen Johnson is out for Liverpool. Martin Kelly is the replacement. Ngog starts up front.
                                                                    .

                                                                    lol. under it is. ill play the under to start then hegde in live betting
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SmackdownV
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 04-14-09
                                                                      • 5918

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by aneurysm00
                                                                      Early Liverpool team news.
                                                                      Glen Johnson is out for Liverpool. Martin Kelly is the replacement. Ngog starts up front.

                                                                      Do you see Lyon playing D the entire game or do you see them being agressive?

                                                                      Thanks for your response.
                                                                      Comment
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