Max Soccer Handicapping Thread

[mats9863]

3 out 3.

Til now a good day.

W(9) L(12) P(0)

by mats9863

Now baseball picks.

[mats9863]

Well...new day and new games.
I already posted my first pick.
I am not able to vary the odd ( I wrote 110 instead of -117.65)
I'm sorry for that.

Come see my
http://mats9863.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet

by mats9863

[mats9863]

I lost my first pick .
I won't bet on the Championship League again.
Being a Milan supporter ...I see them going to win today.
I 'd rather betting on QPR win ( even not easy but well-paid) and
Chesterfield drawing.
According to stats QPR won more away than at home in this season til now.
Grimsby never went to a draw ....I'll fist my fingers.
I'll post my picks on my spreadsheet...every suggestions appreciated

[mats9863]

This my sheet :

W(6) L(15) P(0)

I'm proud of my system method.
I tested it and I'll go on doing it again and again....
I took 2 bets whose fully odd was about 6.
Not so bad, imho.
If anyone wanna to know more and better , please message me.
Keep in touch!

[mats9863]

Not less important than European League is the Denmark Cup.
Two still unbeaten teams are playing a tough match...well paid in my humble opinion.
I'm referring to Lyngby and Esbjerg.
Betting on here is worthy.

by mats9863

[mats9863]

I wanna tell you more about a betting system method.
Consider only two matches in the same country but not the same league.
You'll have to bet on the more frequent result among them.
For instance :
Chesterfield v Grimsby Home sign frequency (75%) was higher than draw and away sum both. Chesterfield won.

Newcastle v QPR Draw sign was so frequent as Away and Home sum sign. Newcastle drew in the second half time.

Now I'm expecting Lingby win...I have no data for the other two danish teams...and I'll lose my bet.
Hopefully talking something interesting , I'll stay here for further details...
by mats9863

[mats9863]

Lyngby underwent to an unexpected defeat in the second half last minutes .
Sorry

[mats9863]

GENT-MOUSCRON 1
It'll be an easy win between a tough team and a bad one.

by mats9863

[mats9863]

Atletico Madrid after 5 weeks in La Liga still without victory.
They play every game under big pressure. They have problems with squad too.
Pernia, Jimenez, Raul Garcia, goalkeeper Sergio Asenjo, Dominguez and Cabrera are absence players for Atletico.
Probably third goalkeeper Davind De Gea will play today with Zaragoza.
At last 5 games only 1 time Atletico win at home with Zaragoza.
Zaragoza will try not to lose this hard game

Atletico Madrid - Zaragoza
Details on my sheet

by mats9863

[theplagy]

Lyngby underwent to an unexpected defeat in the second half last minutes .
Sorry

that's an ouch

sorry dude

[mats9863]

Cork City - Derry City

A game that of some importance between the two sides is being totally over shadowed by off the field problems for both clubs. I think we will probably see a close game tonight, tight and very little goal mouth action with 1 goal probably winning it.

Chesterfield- Huddersfield

Chesterfield with 4-1-0 at home and last game in this trophy wont with 1;5 away in burton.Huddersfiled dont have win for 5 games ( 3 lost)away form 1-1-4 ( 7:11)

Honefoss - Tromsdalen

It's a hard match to bet on. Honefoss is stronger than Tromsdalen in order to some player's injuries.

[demize21]

im lost?

[mats9863]

SWEDEN SUPERETTAN


FALKENSBERG - LANDSKRONA


Game difficult to understand because they are two teams that play and make the result more away than @ home ....

[demize21]

i took the under 2.5

[mats9863]

i took the under 2.5

It's a good choice even if I guess a typical swedish match by more goals.
Hopefully we both result in winning
by mats9863

[mats9863]

The second posted match would be just an hint.
I really don't believe a large amount of goals but the odd was such a eager to invite me to bet on a chip.
GL
by mats9863

[demize21]

i took the over in colon fixture

[mats9863]

i took the over in colon fixture

My method relies X2 and Under.
Hopefully it ll be wrong.
GL
by mats9863

[demize21]

i hope it wwill go over just started my spreadsheet again after looking at yours hopefully i stick with it i tried early this year and forgot about it LOL

[mats9863]

i hope it will go over just started my spreadsheet again after looking at yours hopefully i stick with it i tried early this year and forgot about it LOL

Colon team gets a good opportunity in the second half time coz they will play with a man more than Arsenal.
But Colon shoot a penalty out at the opening :-).
I am fisting my fingers...LoL

[mats9863]

Cheers Denize

[mats9863]

Den Graaf team is to play without six owners.
It'll be an emergency team but I cannot guess Helmond take advantage of this condition.

[demize21]

yea i took the over in that one, actually took over in 6 dutch games today

[demize21]

Cheers Denize

thanks

[mats9863]

English League 2

DAG&RED - DARLINGTON
Even though in the season, Darlington have been more unlucky than any team deserves but it still doesn't mean they aren't a very poor side, who are all the way down there for a reason, so getting them on the right track is a massive task, but the first few weeks of fresh impulses might just give them that little extra that would see them win a game or two....
Bradford v Crewe
Crewe has some good young players trying their best but results are not there yet and it won’t be easy for them at Bradford.
Bradford who are unbeaten in last ten are looking forward to extend that excellent record. Bradford have scored two in eight of these games. I believe Bradford in excellent form and able to deliver a very good game.

[mats9863]

English League Two

Notts County-Torquay

This is quite a statistical bet and I really like it.
Notts County have been on fire at home, scoring 3 or more in 4 occasions out of 5 in the league. Torquay hasn´t been impressive form away home.They are playing quite loose actually. They have scored 4 occasions out of 5 away games and 3 of them have been over. They scored 2 against Southampton away in JPT trophy on Tuesday and were quite unlucky there as Soton came form behind to win the match on penalties. So Notts County´s great attacking force mixed with high possibility that Torquay can score I can only see an over game here!

[mats9863]

Spain Segunda Division


Real Betis - Union Irun

First of all quality difference between these teams is really big.
Betis is relegated last season from the Primera Division, while Union Irun is promoted.
Real Betis showed good football so far, and at home their results are good: Cordoba 3:0, Huelva 3:0 and Cartagena 0:0. Last match Betis picked up a draw away from home against Vallecano 2:2.
A pretty good result for them because Vallecano is in a great form right now.

Union Irun on the other hand didn't impress so far and they lack quality, and are not good travellers.


Cadiz v Cartagena

13th placed Cadiz usually do well at home and won their last two games both by 1-0 after a spell of eight winless games. They will look forward to add a third win in a row but they are hosting fourth placed Cartagena who are unbeaten in six league games.
Cartagena have one game in hand to the two leaders and are at only two points adrift from them. Cartagena will therefore move to top seat if they win tonight.
However Cartagena are showing some drop in form lately. They have been unbeaten in eight games in a row before their first defeat this season on Wednesday at Salamanca in the Copa Del Rey. Cartagena scored only six and have second worse attack after Cadiz (3) in the league. They also show the best defense while Cadiz conceded only one more. So both teams have been playing the game tightly.
GL
by mats9863

[TurkzZ]

I like the Cadiz Under

[mats9863]

BOTAFOGO- AVAI

Botafogo has got more motives, as they would get over many problems with a win here. The visitors are pretty-much safe in the league and will enter tonight’s clash totally relaxed. The motivation, as well as the home pitch, bring out the hosts as serious favs in this clash. Botafogo’s club board have decreased the ticket prices for this clash by half due to its significance, so a full stadium can be expected and a big support to the home players. Good luck.

[demize21]

great pick on them as well

[mats9863]

Lecce - Salernitana
Take this pick for 3 reasons: first reason- if Lecce will win today, they will be on 6-th place in seria B. Second reason- the team that Lecce meet today is the worriest team in seria B, with 3 goals scored, and all this goals they scored at their home, thet don`t have chance to score today. And third reason- Lecce have nice strikers, they can score more than 3 goals in Salernitana gate )), also Salernitana have the worriest dafence in seria B
GL

[demize21]

already on them

[betme]

demize, just curious where you have posted your plays ? i've been looking to tail you but can't find your plays anywhere.

Lecce -180
Lecce game o2½ +111 is this a good play ?

[demize21]

have em on Spreadsheet and or other threads and if i have in round robins parlays not gonna post em all

i like the under in lecce
i have lecce in parlay and round robins but not straight dont wanna lay that chalk

[demize21]

Parlay (4 Teams) 10/15/09 23:57 ET
bet 50.00 to win 277.80 Result: Pending
AlemanniaAachen(BundesLiga2)
ArminiaBielefeld(BundesLiga2) 10/16/09(12:00 ET)
ArminiaBielefeld(BundesLiga2) -142
FCEindhoven(GidsDivise)
AGOVVApeldoorn(GidsDivise) 10/16/09(14:00 ET)
AGOVVApeldoorn(GidsDivise) -250
Ghana(U20WorldCup)(LiveInRunning)
Brazil(U20WorldCup) 10/16/09(14:00 ET)
Brazil(U20WorldCup) -111
Salernitana(SerieB)
Lecce(SerieB) 10/16/09(14:45 ET)
Lecce(SerieB) -222


Parlay (3 Teams) 10/16/09 00:01 ET
bet 50.00 to win 184.20 Result: Pending
AlemanniaAachen(BundesLiga2)
ArminiaBielefeld(BundesLiga2) 10/16/09(12:00 ET)
ArminiaBielefeld(BundesLiga2) -142
Ghana(U20WorldCup)(LiveInRunning)
Brazil(U20WorldCup) 10/16/09(14:00 ET)
Brazil(U20WorldCup) -111
Salernitana(SerieB)
Lecce(SerieB) 10/16/09(14:45 ET)
Lecce(SerieB) -222