Why is everyone and their mother on Cagliari

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  • Gaze73
    SBR MVP
    • 01-27-14
    • 3291

    #1
    Why is everyone and their mother on Cagliari
    I don't know why some favs attract so much attention, whereas a hundred others at the exact same odds get very little attention. Smells like a draw to me.
  • Gaze73
    SBR MVP
    • 01-27-14
    • 3291

    #2
    There we go, a useless team but all idiots were backing it like sheep for some dumb reason.
    Comment
    • Gaze73
      SBR MVP
      • 01-27-14
      • 3291

      #3



      What a game, they were trading @95 on betfair when trailing 1:3. And the ridiculous last goal came a full minute after the scheduled injury time was over but as you can see I'm prepared for such jokes. EZ money.
      Comment
      • Merkel
        SBR MVP
        • 10-30-13
        • 1473

        #4
        Originally posted by Gaze73
        There we go, a useless team but all idiots were backing it like sheep for some dumb reason.
        Gaze wisdom as usual.
        Comment
        • Gaze73
          SBR MVP
          • 01-27-14
          • 3291

          #5
          Originally posted by Merkel
          Gaze wisdom as usual.
          Hey, I made money on the game, my pic disappeared.

          You were probably one of the clowns backing Cagliari and thanking your lucky stars at the end. 1:3 to 4:3 happens like once a season in Serie A. You wouldn't believe it but my prognosis for the game was actually 0:2 to 2:2, I know these public favs too well. There was probably some non-numerical reason for everyone taking them but I don't care about such things and it's probably the very reason that made the books shade the line so everyone would pile on Cagliari. I bet you thought they had a 58% chance to win so 2.05 was a steal lmao.
          Comment
          • cashin81
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-10-14
            • 12946

            #6
            Gaze won everybody
            Comment
            • cashin81
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-10-14
              • 12946

              #7
              Sampdoria scored 9 goals in 12 games before yesterday. 13 points behind Cagliari who have Naingollen on beast mode getting player of the month.

              they were playing away, Cag @ 2.05 - nothing wrong with that.

              also you cant dismiss 1-3 to 4-3 as "oh you should have lost" because if you were on the winning side you would create 20 different threads saying how clever you are.

              also also, saying you won when you lost because of a chase bet is pathetic, again because if the chase bet lost we wouldnt see it posted (twice)
              Comment
              • Gaze73
                SBR MVP
                • 01-27-14
                • 3291

                #8
                Originally posted by cashin81
                Sampdoria scored 9 goals in 12 games before yesterday. 13 points behind Cagliari who have Naingollen on beast mode getting player of the month.

                they were playing away, Cag @ 2.05 - nothing wrong with that.

                also you cant dismiss 1-3 to 4-3 as "oh you should have lost" because if you were on the winning side you would create 20 different threads saying how clever you are.

                also also, saying you won when you lost because of a chase bet is pathetic, again because if the chase bet lost we wouldnt see it posted (twice)
                Nice capping bro, why don't you just lay the bottom 30% teams on the road when the home fav has plus odds and make a bank. Thank me later.

                Yes, I can dismiss a miracle comback as "you should have lost." I knew Cagliari was a bad bet and the books knew it too, the public just got lucky. You do realize luck is a part of sports, right? You're just a smartass talking after the game. You should have made a topic about Cagliari ML if they were such a great bet of the day and if they had tied as they should have you'd chalk it up to bad luck.

                Hedging is not chasing you clueless moron. This isn't the first time a 96 minute goal would have killed my draw, that's why I fukin hedge to protect my investment. You're so damn results-oriented that in your mind literally every pick that loses is a bad pick. A 4:3 win in a 100/1 comeback was a good pre-game pick. A draw in which there are 0 shots on target in 93 minutes and the first goal comes from a penalty is a bad pick. Or a team which leads 3:0 with 15 minutes to go and loses 3:4 was a bad pick. Talking about Solihull Moors. Probably the soccer comeback of the year, but the fav was obviously a great pick because they won.

                I had to post the tickets just so clowns like Merkel and yourself couldn't laugh that I was so stupid as to fade a top tier fav such as Cagliari.
                Comment
                • cashin81
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 09-10-14
                  • 12946

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Gaze73
                  Nice capping bro, why don't you just lay the bottom 30% teams on the road when the home fav has plus odds and make a bank. Thank me later.

                  Yes, I can dismiss a miracle comback as "you should have lost." I knew Cagliari was a bad bet and the books knew it too, the public just got lucky. You do realize luck is a part of sports, right? You're just a smartass talking after the game. You should have made a topic about Cagliari ML if they were such a great bet of the day and if they had tied as they should have you'd chalk it up to bad luck.

                  Hedging is not chasing you clueless moron. This isn't the first time a 96 minute goal would have killed my draw, that's why I fukin hedge to protect my investment. You're so damn results-oriented that in your mind literally every pick that loses is a bad pick. A 4:3 win in a 100/1 comeback was a good pre-game pick. A draw in which there are 0 shots on target in 93 minutes and the first goal comes from a penalty is a bad pick. Or a team which leads 3:0 with 15 minutes to go and loses 3:4 was a bad pick. Talking about Solihull Moors. Probably the soccer comeback of the year, but the fav was obviously a great pick because they won.

                  I had to post the tickets just so clowns like Merkel and yourself couldn't laugh that I was so stupid as to fade a top tier fav such as Cagliari.
                  You posted after the game lol - what were you expecting?

                  Not saying cag were a great bet, you dismissed everything positive about them and just babbled on about "the public"

                  Hedging is fine, and being in position is great - but ultimately you cant say you were right. What abut the people who had Cagliari - i guess they were wrong to cash. And again, had it finished 3-3 you wouldnt post a ticket saying you hedged some.
                  Comment
                  • Gaze73
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-27-14
                    • 3291

                    #10
                    Originally posted by cashin81
                    You posted after the game lol - what were you expecting?

                    Not saying cag were a great bet, you dismissed everything positive about them and just babbled on about "the public"

                    Hedging is fine, and being in position is great - but ultimately you cant say you were right. What abut the people who had Cagliari - i guess they were wrong to cash. And again, had it finished 3-3 you wouldnt post a ticket saying you hedged some.
                    I posted pre-game, during game and post-game. You and Merkel came here after everything was over, real classy.

                    Fading the public is a thing. If you can't do it then congrats, you are the public. Why does one fav at 2.0 get 35% of tickets and another 70%? They should both get 50% no? The bookies think the favs are equal yet the market thinks one of them is awesome and the other is garbage, why are there such discrepancies? Clueless bookies, right?

                    I wasn't right about the final whistle but I was right about value. If you make a pick and in play the odds rise by 5000% you made a bad pick.
                    Comment
                    • cashin81
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 09-10-14
                      • 12946

                      #11
                      We are taking about the cagliari game. Ive heard enough about you thinking you will be a multi millionaire by simply saying "public are sheep, im gonna win." without knowing anything about football.

                      Cagliari had a lot of positives and at the 2.15 mark, i dont see why thats a bad bet, unless you can argue with some football knowledge - shut up.

                      And change your duck tales avatar ffs
                      Comment
                      • Gaze73
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-27-14
                        • 3291

                        #12
                        I haven't had a losing month in soccer all year and yet I could hardly name 10 players. Are you saying the public are not sheep? Are you saying the bookies are laying gifts like Cagliari right in front of your face because they like to throw money away? Lol.
                        Comment
                        • cashin81
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 09-10-14
                          • 12946

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Gaze73
                          I haven't had a losing month in soccer all year and yet I could hardly name 10 players. Are you saying the public are not sheep? Are you saying the bookies are laying gifts like Cagliari right in front of your face because they like to throw money away? Lol.
                          do you think the real pros will say the same thing?

                          You are the one saying books are throwing money away, thats your whole premise. Books are stupid gaze is god.

                          i just gave some positives about cagliari to weigh it out as you couldnt be bothered.
                          Comment
                          • Gaze73
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-27-14
                            • 3291

                            #14
                            Do you know the green lumber fallacy? The best trader of green lumber didn't even know what green lumber was. Why aren't retired sports coaches making bank in betting? Should be a piece of cake for them, right? I know a dutch guy who bets almost exclusively on the dutch league. He basically broke even after 5.6k picks while making a loss each month this year. Somehow knowing every player on the roster didn't help him one bit. Because everything is about numbers.
                            Comment
                            • Gaze73
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-27-14
                              • 3291

                              #15
                              My premise is that the market is stupid, not books. When the books give out what looks like a gift I know I should fade it.
                              Comment
                              • Merkel
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-30-13
                                • 1473

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Gaze73
                                I haven't had a losing month in soccer all year and yet I could hardly name 10 players. Are you saying the public are not sheep? Are you saying the bookies are laying gifts like Cagliari right in front of your face because they like to throw money away? Lol.
                                Comment
                                • cashin81
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 09-10-14
                                  • 12946

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Gaze73
                                  Do you know the green lumber fallacy? The best trader of green lumber didn't even know what green lumber was. Why aren't retired sports coaches making bank in betting? Should be a piece of cake for them, right? I know a dutch guy who bets almost exclusively on the dutch league. He basically broke even after 5.6k picks while making a loss each month this year. Somehow knowing every player on the roster didn't help him one bit. Because everything is about numbers.
                                  So the fact that you know nothing about football puts you at a risk to books.

                                  Its about numbers, but you have to make sense of the numbers. Retired sports coaches arent professinal gamblers. they have zero experience, but if they really wanted to and had a few years into it - my money would be on them rather than you.
                                  Comment
                                  • Gaze73
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-27-14
                                    • 3291

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Merkel
                                    I can PM you proof if you want. I know nothing technical about tennis either and I could beat anyone here in ATP betting.
                                    Comment
                                    • Merkel
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-30-13
                                      • 1473

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Gaze73
                                      I can PM you proof if you want. I know nothing technical about tennis either and I could beat anyone here in ATP betting.

                                      Go right ahead. Don't expect an answer.
                                      Comment
                                      • Merkel
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-30-13
                                        • 1473

                                        #20
                                        So what you sent me, as you have before, proofs that you do well on a recreational site, I'm happy for you.
                                        Not for a minute do I believe you would go 11 months turning a profit betting real money, I know your MO. If you were making a living from betting, you wouldn't be here.
                                        Comment
                                        • Gaze73
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-27-14
                                          • 3291

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Merkel
                                          So what you sent me, as you have before, proofs that you do well on a recreational site, I'm happy for you.
                                          Not for a minute do I believe you would go 11 months turning a profit betting real money, I know your MO. If you were making a living from betting, you wouldn't be here.
                                          What does that even mean? I was 3rd out of 4500 people last month, you think that's easy? I'm pretty sure you wouldn't reach top 10 on this "recreational site" sponsored for years by Pinnacle itself. I also have another account where I bet 90% pinnacle odds and it's in a big profit after 424 picks. If you are making a living from betting why the fuk are you here, smartass? Apparently looking for soccer picks from sbr members lmao.
                                          Last edited by Gaze73; 12-03-19, 05:18 PM.
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