I don't know why some favs attract so much attention, whereas a hundred others at the exact same odds get very little attention. Smells like a draw to me.
Why is everyone and their mother on Cagliari
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Gaze73SBR MVP
- 01-27-14
- 3291
#1Why is everyone and their mother on CagliariTags: None -
Gaze73SBR MVP
- 01-27-14
- 3291
#2There we go, a useless team but all idiots were backing it like sheep for some dumb reason.Comment -
Gaze73SBR MVP
- 01-27-14
- 3291
#3
What a game, they were trading @95 on betfair when trailing 1:3. And the ridiculous last goal came a full minute after the scheduled injury time was over but as you can see I'm prepared for such jokes. EZ money.Comment -
Gaze73SBR MVP
- 01-27-14
- 3291
#5Hey, I made money on the game, my pic disappeared.
You were probably one of the clowns backing Cagliari and thanking your lucky stars at the end. 1:3 to 4:3 happens like once a season in Serie A. You wouldn't believe it but my prognosis for the game was actually 0:2 to 2:2, I know these public favs too well. There was probably some non-numerical reason for everyone taking them but I don't care about such things and it's probably the very reason that made the books shade the line so everyone would pile on Cagliari. I bet you thought they had a 58% chance to win so 2.05 was a steal lmao.Comment -
cashin81SBR Posting Legend
- 09-10-14
- 12946
#6Gaze won everybodyComment -
cashin81SBR Posting Legend
- 09-10-14
- 12946
#7Sampdoria scored 9 goals in 12 games before yesterday. 13 points behind Cagliari who have Naingollen on beast mode getting player of the month.
they were playing away, Cag @ 2.05 - nothing wrong with that.
also you cant dismiss 1-3 to 4-3 as "oh you should have lost" because if you were on the winning side you would create 20 different threads saying how clever you are.
also also, saying you won when you lost because of a chase bet is pathetic, again because if the chase bet lost we wouldnt see it posted (twice)Comment -
Gaze73SBR MVP
- 01-27-14
- 3291
#8Sampdoria scored 9 goals in 12 games before yesterday. 13 points behind Cagliari who have Naingollen on beast mode getting player of the month.
they were playing away, Cag @ 2.05 - nothing wrong with that.
also you cant dismiss 1-3 to 4-3 as "oh you should have lost" because if you were on the winning side you would create 20 different threads saying how clever you are.
also also, saying you won when you lost because of a chase bet is pathetic, again because if the chase bet lost we wouldnt see it posted (twice)
Yes, I can dismiss a miracle comback as "you should have lost." I knew Cagliari was a bad bet and the books knew it too, the public just got lucky. You do realize luck is a part of sports, right? You're just a smartass talking after the game. You should have made a topic about Cagliari ML if they were such a great bet of the day and if they had tied as they should have you'd chalk it up to bad luck.
Hedging is not chasing you clueless moron. This isn't the first time a 96 minute goal would have killed my draw, that's why I fukin hedge to protect my investment. You're so damn results-oriented that in your mind literally every pick that loses is a bad pick. A 4:3 win in a 100/1 comeback was a good pre-game pick. A draw in which there are 0 shots on target in 93 minutes and the first goal comes from a penalty is a bad pick. Or a team which leads 3:0 with 15 minutes to go and loses 3:4 was a bad pick. Talking about Solihull Moors. Probably the soccer comeback of the year, but the fav was obviously a great pick because they won.
I had to post the tickets just so clowns like Merkel and yourself couldn't laugh that I was so stupid as to fade a top tier fav such as Cagliari.Comment -
cashin81SBR Posting Legend
- 09-10-14
- 12946
#9Nice capping bro, why don't you just lay the bottom 30% teams on the road when the home fav has plus odds and make a bank. Thank me later.
Yes, I can dismiss a miracle comback as "you should have lost." I knew Cagliari was a bad bet and the books knew it too, the public just got lucky. You do realize luck is a part of sports, right? You're just a smartass talking after the game. You should have made a topic about Cagliari ML if they were such a great bet of the day and if they had tied as they should have you'd chalk it up to bad luck.
Hedging is not chasing you clueless moron. This isn't the first time a 96 minute goal would have killed my draw, that's why I fukin hedge to protect my investment. You're so damn results-oriented that in your mind literally every pick that loses is a bad pick. A 4:3 win in a 100/1 comeback was a good pre-game pick. A draw in which there are 0 shots on target in 93 minutes and the first goal comes from a penalty is a bad pick. Or a team which leads 3:0 with 15 minutes to go and loses 3:4 was a bad pick. Talking about Solihull Moors. Probably the soccer comeback of the year, but the fav was obviously a great pick because they won.
I had to post the tickets just so clowns like Merkel and yourself couldn't laugh that I was so stupid as to fade a top tier fav such as Cagliari.
Not saying cag were a great bet, you dismissed everything positive about them and just babbled on about "the public"
Hedging is fine, and being in position is great - but ultimately you cant say you were right. What abut the people who had Cagliari - i guess they were wrong to cash. And again, had it finished 3-3 you wouldnt post a ticket saying you hedged some.Comment -
Gaze73SBR MVP
- 01-27-14
- 3291
#10You posted after the game lol - what were you expecting?
Not saying cag were a great bet, you dismissed everything positive about them and just babbled on about "the public"
Hedging is fine, and being in position is great - but ultimately you cant say you were right. What abut the people who had Cagliari - i guess they were wrong to cash. And again, had it finished 3-3 you wouldnt post a ticket saying you hedged some.
Fading the public is a thing. If you can't do it then congrats, you are the public. Why does one fav at 2.0 get 35% of tickets and another 70%? They should both get 50% no? The bookies think the favs are equal yet the market thinks one of them is awesome and the other is garbage, why are there such discrepancies? Clueless bookies, right?
I wasn't right about the final whistle but I was right about value. If you make a pick and in play the odds rise by 5000% you made a bad pick.Comment -
cashin81SBR Posting Legend
- 09-10-14
- 12946
#11We are taking about the cagliari game. Ive heard enough about you thinking you will be a multi millionaire by simply saying "public are sheep, im gonna win." without knowing anything about football.
Cagliari had a lot of positives and at the 2.15 mark, i dont see why thats a bad bet, unless you can argue with some football knowledge - shut up.
And change your duck tales avatar ffsComment -
Gaze73SBR MVP
- 01-27-14
- 3291
#12I haven't had a losing month in soccer all year and yet I could hardly name 10 players. Are you saying the public are not sheep? Are you saying the bookies are laying gifts like Cagliari right in front of your face because they like to throw money away? Lol.Comment -
cashin81SBR Posting Legend
- 09-10-14
- 12946
#13
You are the one saying books are throwing money away, thats your whole premise. Books are stupid gaze is god.
i just gave some positives about cagliari to weigh it out as you couldnt be bothered.Comment -
Gaze73SBR MVP
- 01-27-14
- 3291
#14Do you know the green lumber fallacy? The best trader of green lumber didn't even know what green lumber was. Why aren't retired sports coaches making bank in betting? Should be a piece of cake for them, right? I know a dutch guy who bets almost exclusively on the dutch league. He basically broke even after 5.6k picks while making a loss each month this year. Somehow knowing every player on the roster didn't help him one bit. Because everything is about numbers.Comment -
Gaze73SBR MVP
- 01-27-14
- 3291
#15My premise is that the market is stupid, not books. When the books give out what looks like a gift I know I should fade it.Comment -
MerkelSBR MVP
- 10-30-13
- 1473
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cashin81SBR Posting Legend
- 09-10-14
- 12946
#17Do you know the green lumber fallacy? The best trader of green lumber didn't even know what green lumber was. Why aren't retired sports coaches making bank in betting? Should be a piece of cake for them, right? I know a dutch guy who bets almost exclusively on the dutch league. He basically broke even after 5.6k picks while making a loss each month this year. Somehow knowing every player on the roster didn't help him one bit. Because everything is about numbers.
Its about numbers, but you have to make sense of the numbers. Retired sports coaches arent professinal gamblers. they have zero experience, but if they really wanted to and had a few years into it - my money would be on them rather than you.Comment -
MerkelSBR MVP
- 10-30-13
- 1473
#20So what you sent me, as you have before, proofs that you do well on a recreational site, I'm happy for you.
Not for a minute do I believe you would go 11 months turning a profit betting real money, I know your MO. If you were making a living from betting, you wouldn't be here.Comment -
Gaze73SBR MVP
- 01-27-14
- 3291
#21So what you sent me, as you have before, proofs that you do well on a recreational site, I'm happy for you.
Not for a minute do I believe you would go 11 months turning a profit betting real money, I know your MO. If you were making a living from betting, you wouldn't be here.Last edited by Gaze73; 12-03-19, 05:18 PM.Comment
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