2019 Copa America/Gold Cup & The African Cup of Nations Thread

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  • DiamondJack
    SBR MVP
    • 11-13-14
    • 3940

    #1
    2019 Copa America/Gold Cup & The African Cup of Nations Thread
    Taking on all 3 tournaments starting this Friday with the Copa America kicking off as Brazil host Bolivia. I have 1 future that I will play prior to kick of and that is.....

    1. Group B winner Colombia @ 2.80/+180 (Marathon) 1 Unit
  • franz555
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-13-14
    • 10516

    #2
    Vamos Colombia


    BOL DJ
    Comment
    • DiamondJack
      SBR MVP
      • 11-13-14
      • 3940

      #3
      Thanks Franz
      Comment
      • DiamondJack
        SBR MVP
        • 11-13-14
        • 3940

        #4
        Copa America

        Brazil v Bolivia


        A mismatch in every category and position even with Neymar out injured. In the past 6 head to head Brazil wins 2 loses 1 and draws 3 times. Bolivia come to this match on the back of a 2-0 loss to France. Bolivia will try to park the bus. They have only allowed 6 GA in the past 6 games. There is zero value on Brazil as everyone will be backing them. I just hope it might take some time for Brazil to pile on the goals.


        2. Bolivia +1 (HT) @ 2.00/+100 (Bet365) 1 Unit
        Comment
        • JIMC0911
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-28-13
          • 867

          #5
          BOL DJ
          Comment
          • DiamondJack
            SBR MVP
            • 11-13-14
            • 3940

            #6
            Copa America

            Venezuela v Peru



            Both sides will come into this match with a not to lose mindset. Both will see the Bolivia game as a must win and Brazil as a likely loss so they will not want to lose here. The last 2 head to head encounters ended with Draws and I see that trend continuing.



            3. Venezuela/Peru to DRAW @ 3.01/+201 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit
            Comment
            • DiamondJack
              SBR MVP
              • 11-13-14
              • 3940

              #7
              JJ---
              Comment
              • DiamondJack
                SBR MVP
                • 11-13-14
                • 3940

                #8
                Copa America

                Argentina v Colombia

                Argentina are favourites here largely because of the masses thinking Messi is due to win something and perhaps he will but not this game. Last meeting between these two ended 0-0. In fact 4 of the past 7 games finished 0-0. Both teams will have 2 very winnable games coming up and both would be happy to pick up a point.

                4. Argentina/Colombia to DRAW @ 3.13/+213 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit
                Comment
                • JayLA
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-11-12
                  • 7806

                  #9
                  Originally posted by DiamondJack
                  Copa America

                  Argentina v Colombia

                  Argentina are favourites here largely because of the masses thinking Messi is due to win something and perhaps he will but not this game. Last meeting between these two ended 0-0. In fact 4 of the past 7 games finished 0-0. Both teams will have 2 very winnable games coming up and both would be happy to pick up a point.

                  4. Argentina/Colombia to DRAW @ 3.13/+213 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit
                  Hey DJ, interesting you bring up the past 7 matches between colombia and Argentina. How much value do they have these days when you consider that both teams have different players, different coaches, and thus different styles?

                  I'm a square and a homer so I'm betting over 2.5 in that arg/col match so we both can hit or it can end 0-0, of course. But I keep hearing this "trend" that Colombia hasn't scored on Argentina in 8 years or something like that. I think, "what do the last 8 years have to do with now?" A bit of the gamblers fallacy don't you think?

                  Like those trends in American sports, "the home team hasnt covered when the mascot is on her period in 20 years!!! "
                  Comment
                  • DiamondJack
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-13-14
                    • 3940

                    #10
                    Jay--- Only going back 8 years not back to the 70"s lol. The core of both teams has largely remained in tact in the past 8 years. When it comes to the South American nations they know each other and play each other often. Perhaps it will be 2-2 & we both win
                    Comment
                    • DiamondJack
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-13-14
                      • 3940

                      #11
                      Gold Cup

                      Canada v Martinique



                      Canada has a very good attacking team. The young talent in all positions looks very good except for defense. How do you let French Guyana score on you at home?. Martinique is also poor at the back. How do you let Antigua score 2 on you at home?. Thinking 2-1 in the opener, not very much value in the Over 2.5 so going with



                      1. BTTS Yes @ 2.20/+120 (Bwin) 1 Unit
                      Comment
                      • DiamondJack
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-13-14
                        • 3940

                        #12
                        Gold Cup

                        Mexico v Cuba



                        Mexico has scored at least 3 goals in their last 4 games vs the likes of Chile, Venezuela, Ecuador & Paraguay. Cuba is not even close being in that league. This game will be at the Rose Bowl basically a home game for Mexico. The last 2 head to head meetings ended 6-0 & 5-0. I see a similar result so I'm going on a limb here with 3 correct score bets



                        2. CS 4-0 @ 5.20/+450 (Bet365) 1 Unit
                        3. CS 5-0 @ 6.50/+550 (Bet365) 1 Unit
                        4. CS 6-0 @ 8.50/+750 (bet365) 1 Unit
                        Comment
                        • DiamondJack
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-13-14
                          • 3940

                          #13
                          Originally posted by DiamondJack
                          Copa America

                          Brazil v Bolivia


                          A mismatch in every category and position even with Neymar out injured. In the past 6 head to head Brazil wins 2 loses 1 and draws 3 times. Bolivia come to this match on the back of a 2-0 loss to France. Bolivia will try to park the bus. They have only allowed 6 GA in the past 6 games. There is zero value on Brazil as everyone will be backing them. I just hope it might take some time for Brazil to pile on the goals.


                          2. Bolivia +1 (HT) @ 2.00/+100 (Bet365) 1 Unit
                          First one in to the good side
                          Comment
                          • franz555
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-13-14
                            • 10516

                            #14
                            Originally posted by DiamondJack
                            First one in to the good side
                            Comment
                            • DiamondJack
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-13-14
                              • 3940

                              #15
                              Franz --- always loving June.....minus the shitty weather this year
                              Comment
                              • JayLA
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-11-12
                                • 7806

                                #16
                                Originally posted by DiamondJack
                                Copa America

                                Venezuela v Peru



                                Both sides will come into this match with a not to lose mindset. Both will see the Bolivia game as a must win and Brazil as a likely loss so they will not want to lose here. The last 2 head to head encounters ended with Draws and I see that trend continuing.



                                3. Venezuela/Peru to DRAW @ 3.01/+201 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit
                                Nice hit DJ!!!!
                                Comment
                                • boss_of_um
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-18-11
                                  • 1092

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by DiamondJack
                                  Copa America

                                  Venezuela v Peru



                                  Both sides will come into this match with a not to lose mindset. Both will see the Bolivia game as a must win and Brazil as a likely loss so they will not want to lose here. The last 2 head to head encounters ended with Draws and I see that trend continuing.



                                  3. Venezuela/Peru to DRAW @ 3.01/+201 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit
                                  Well done! I love playing draws!
                                  Comment
                                  • DiamondJack
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-13-14
                                    • 3940

                                    #18
                                    Copa America

                                    Paraguay v Qatar


                                    Paraguay has only 1 win in their last 8 games and that was versus Guatemala. Qatar has only 1 loss in their last 8 games and that was versus Brazil. Both sides played Japan and while Qatar won 3-1 Paraguay lost 4-2. I don't know where all the love is coming from for Paraguay

                                    5. Qatar +0.5 @ 2.07/+107 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit
                                    Comment
                                    • DiamondJack
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-13-14
                                      • 3940

                                      #19
                                      Gold Cup

                                      Haiti v Bermuda



                                      It looks to be like the Gold cup trend of blow outs will continue today. I do not fancy Bermuda who lost to Cuba 5-0 earlier this year. Haiti beat Cuba 2-1 also earlier this year. This game is in Costa Rica so no real advantage to either side but still backing the Voodoo boys



                                      5. Haiti -1.5 @ 1.91/-110 (Pinnacle) 2 Units
                                      Comment
                                      • DiamondJack
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-13-14
                                        • 3940

                                        #20
                                        Copa America

                                        Uruguay v Ecuador



                                        I see this match up as a form play where Uruguay have won their past 3 games with a combined score of 10-0. Ecuador are winless in their previous 4 games. 1-0 or 2-0 for Uruguay



                                        6. Uruguay -1 @ 2.53/+153 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit
                                        Comment
                                        • caddy42
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 12-10-14
                                          • 109

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by DiamondJack
                                          Copa America

                                          Paraguay v Qatar


                                          Paraguay has only 1 win in their last 8 games and that was versus Guatemala. Qatar has only 1 loss in their last 8 games and that was versus Brazil. Both sides played Japan and while Qatar won 3-1 Paraguay lost 4-2. I don't know where all the love is coming from for Paraguay

                                          5. Qatar +0.5 @ 2.07/+107 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit
                                          I do think you have to take into account Qatar playing in South America. Often you see teams stumble first match when playing across the world. Probably would avoid.
                                          Comment
                                          • DiamondJack
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-13-14
                                            • 3940

                                            #22
                                            Copa America

                                            Japan v Chile



                                            I do not see Chile winning the Copa 3 times in a row. Their recent results have not been too stellar either with losses to Costa Rica, Peru & Mexico. Japan are always competitive and I fancy them keeping this close.



                                            7. Japan +1 @ 1.94/-106 (Marathon) 1 Unit
                                            Comment
                                            • DiamondJack
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-13-14
                                              • 3940

                                              #23
                                              Gold Cup

                                              Curacao v El Salvador



                                              These nations met the last Gold cup 2 years ago and El Salvador won 2-0. In 2019 El Salvador have won vs the likes of Jamaica Peru & Haiti losing only to Japan. Curacao have played poorer opponents the likes of India Antigua the Virgin Islands etc. Anything over even money seems like value, but I will protect myself with the draw no bet angle.



                                              6. El Salvador PK @ 1.87/-115 (Marathon) 1 Unit
                                              Comment
                                              • DiamondJack
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-13-14
                                                • 3940

                                                #24
                                                Gold Cup

                                                Jamaica v Honduras



                                                I think people are forgetting this game is IN Jamaica. On paper these sides are pretty much even but Playing in Kingston will give the edge to Jamaica. The last head to head game was in Houston when Jamaica won 1-0. I had the game pegged at 1.80/-125 so getting plus money here is value in my books.



                                                7. Jamaica ML @ 2.36/+136 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit
                                                Comment
                                                • DiamondJack
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-13-14
                                                  • 3940

                                                  #25
                                                  Copa America

                                                  Bolivia v Peru



                                                  Peru should win this game knowing they have Brazil on tap in their last game. They could not score on a 10 man Venezuela in their opener. Peru have managed only 1 goal in their last 4 games. Bolivia have been shut out in their last 4.



                                                  8. Bolivia/Peru UNDER 2.5 @ 1.92/-108 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DiamondJack
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-13-14
                                                    • 3940

                                                    #26
                                                    Copa America

                                                    Brazil v Venezuela



                                                    Once again no value in backing the hosts. There is a tad of value on the total being set at 3. Brazil have shut out their last 3 opponents & Venezuela have kept Peru & the USA off the scoreboard in their last 2. The last time these met we had a 2-0 scoreline. Hoping for the same.



                                                    9. Brazil/Venezuela UNDER 3 @ 2.02/+102 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DiamondJack
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-13-14
                                                      • 3940

                                                      #27
                                                      Gold Cup

                                                      Panama v Trinidad



                                                      Both teams have a very beatable Guyana in their group as well as the USA. We have yet to see a draw in the Gold Cup and this match seems like a good recipe. Panama have failed to score in their last 2 & Trinidad have been blanked in their last 4 games. I do fancy Panama a little so going with the low scoring trend here.



                                                      8. Panama/Trinidad UNDER 2 @ 1.97/-103 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DiamondJack
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-13-14
                                                        • 3940

                                                        #28
                                                        Gold Cup

                                                        USA v Guyana



                                                        Yes the United States should win this with ease but the total is set at 5. You have to think Guyana will not score so the question is can the USA score more than 5 goals...they have not done so going back like 35 games. The last 2 games heading into this game they have been held scoreless. Once again hanging with today's Under theme



                                                        9. USA/Guyana UNDER 5 @ 1.97/-103 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DiamondJack
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-13-14
                                                          • 3940

                                                          #29
                                                          African Cup of Nations


                                                          A couple of futures for The African Cup Kicking off on Friday in Egypt. I fancy both of the North African teams top top their groups. Morocco to be better than the Ivory Coast & Tunisia to be better than Mali.


                                                          1. Group D Winner Morocco @ 2.50/+150 (Will Hill) 1 Unit
                                                          2. Group E Winner Tunisia @ 2.00/+100 (Bet365) 1 Unit
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 04-04-11
                                                            • 36871

                                                            #30
                                                            Pretty good, DJack. Funny thing about the Mexico game. They even exceeded your expectation; you surely deserved a payout there.
                                                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DiamondJack
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-13-14
                                                              • 3940

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                              Pretty good, DJack. Funny thing about the Mexico game. They even exceeded your expectation; you surely deserved a payout there.
                                                              When that 7th goal went in I shut the TV off and had a drink
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DiamondJack
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-13-14
                                                                • 3940

                                                                #32
                                                                Copa America

                                                                Colombia v Qatar



                                                                No value in backing Colombia straight up or even on the AH.. There is a tad of value on the HT/FT option. Qatar have given up early goals last 2 matches to Paraguay and to Brazil. Colombia wont break down like Paraguay.



                                                                10. Colombia HT/FT @ 2.00/+100 (Coolbet) 1 Unit
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DiamondJack
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-13-14
                                                                  • 3940

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Gold Cup

                                                                  Cuba v Martinique



                                                                  Yes Cuba got killed but that was by Mexico in a hostile atmosphere. Martinique got schooled by Canada and with Mexico in their last game the tournament is basically over for them. I like the fact that the Cubans played twice as many games as Martinique since 2018 so I think they can keep this close and maybe snatch something from this game.



                                                                  10. Cuba +1 @ 2.13/+113 (Marathon) 1 Unit
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • DiamondJack
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-13-14
                                                                    • 3940

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Gold Cup

                                                                    Mexico v Canada



                                                                    All of the past 5 games for Mexico have gone over. 4 of the past 5 games for Canada have gone over. Neither side parks the bus. Mexico has a better defense but they have conceded in 4 of their past 5. Canada is suspect at the back but have a great attack.



                                                                    11. Mexico/Canada OVER 2.75 @ 1.99/-101 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DiamondJack
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-13-14
                                                                      • 3940

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Copa America

                                                                      Uruguay v Japan



                                                                      Decent value getting plus money on this total on a team where in their last 4 games have scored 3 or more goals and destroyed Ecuador. Japan were soundly defeated 4-0 by Chile. Japan do not defend well and Uruguay should win this 4-1



                                                                      11. Uruguay/Japan OVER 2.5 @ 2.05/+105 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit
                                                                      Comment
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