Draws are a gold mine

[Gaze73]

For years I never even thought about betting draws. Then I noticed certain patterns when my favs just kept drawing. Recently in two weeks I made 13 picks and won 9 with insane 129% ROI. Backing 0:0 in those games won 4/13 with ridiculous 261% ROI. I know the sample size is poor, but I'm very confident it will continue to make money. I mean hell, I hit 6 draws in a row with combined odds of 4428/1 right in the testing phase, is that a mere coincidence? Now I'd just like to find a way to find more picks, because 1 a day on average isn't much.

[puregambling]

Definetly profitable as odds are always +3.00 so if you are hitting 1 in 3 its all profit. IMO look for leagues with less goals i.e. serie b, french div... look for trends, there are teams that draw a lot.

Saying that its so hard to pick draws i dont bet draws myself but thought about it.

[Stackzilla]

http:// http://www.soccervista.com/s...r_of_draws.phpthis site may help you

[Gaze73]

Ha, looks like I will finally become rich. Take a look at my 2+ month results, I don't think that's just luck anymore.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FfJH4Ztnb9IwylRJ2R-Gnfp3BDkK4NMv4xH7OTAECb0/edit#gid=0

Note that the picks are not in chronological order, because I just copy-pasted all my picks from 5 different draw systems into one place.

[oldscho0led]

There's a thread before of Germany Bundesliga 2 DRAW on Monday games. Might want to look at it.

[QuantumLeap]

For years I never even thought about betting draws. Then I noticed certain patterns when my favs just kept drawing. Recently in two weeks I made 13 picks and won 9 with insane 129% ROI. Backing 0:0 in those games won 4/13 with ridiculous 261% ROI. I know the sample size is poor, but I'm very confident it will continue to make money. I mean hell, I hit 6 draws in a row with combined odds of 4428/1 right in the testing phase, is that a mere coincidence? Now I'd just like to find a way to find more picks, because 1 a day on average isn't much.

What is the criteria you are using? Which patterns are you noticing?

I see in your spreadsheet that the first week of this month had 1 win out of 17 bets. It's good that you are able to take that kind of loss and not lose your bankroll.

On the other side, at one time you went 14-6 on draw picks. That will get your bankroll rising.

Good luck in the future. I look forward to seeing how you do.

[Gaze73]

The main pattern is this: When everyone and their mother is on the fav, the value is gone and the dog isn't likely to win - that's why draw holds the most value, though I hate it when the huge dogs win because the fav couldn't even score one goal.

[blackHIPPY]

you gonna start postin the plays or what

[Gaze73]

you gonna start postin the plays or what

Yeah, starting today but not here, but somewhere where it will be appreciated by high rollers.

[yogohama]

Yeah, starting today but not here, but somewhere where it will be appreciated by high rollers.

well, then get the f*ck out of here.

[swordsandtequila]

[intermission]

[Stackzilla]

Here's a play on a draw Russian Premier League Orenburg/Amkar here's some stats easier to copy/ paste then type it out

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Amkar's last 12games (Premier League).
Amkar have failed to score in their last 4 away matches (Premier League).
Amkar have failed to win their last 7 away matches (Premier League).

• FC Orenburg are an extremely solid team when playing in front of their supporters and only succumbed to CSKA Moscow last weekend in the last 10 minutes of the match.
• With zero points from two matches, however, Robert Evdokimov needs to pull rank in order to secure a positive result on Monday.
• FC Amkar are going through a positive run of results and are yet to concede a goal so far this season. Although the visitors are slight favourites for the upcoming match, a draw is the most likely result.

right now the u2 -157 Draw +178 Oreburg +179 Amkar +207

[Stackzilla]

no h2h's

Missing Players

Igor Koronov		Out	N/A
Vladimir Parnyakov		Doubtful	N/A
Sergey Breev		Doubtful	N/A

Ivan Cherenchikov		Out	N/A
Stanislav Prokofjev		Doubtful	N/A
Darko Bodul		Doubtful	N/A

Team News

FC Orenburg

• Russian midfielders Sergei Breev and Vladimir Parnyakov are still recovering from their respective injuries and are doubts for the upcoming match against FC Amkar.
• Igor Koronov is also struggling with injury and will probably be out for quite some time.

Amkar

• Norwegian forward Chuma Anene picked up a small injury in last weekend’s match against FC Anzhi, but he will recover in time for Monday’s visit to Orenburg.
• Ivan Cherenchikov remains sidelined due to a long term injury and is out of the upcoming match, while Stanislav Prokofjev and Darko Bodul are still undergoing individual training programmes in order to recover from their respective injuries.
• According to Gadzhi Gadzhiyev, both will soon be back in action.

[Stackzilla]

robable Lineups Statistical Comparision

• 
• FC Orenburg

(0)0

Goals

2(2)

(0)0

Assists

2(2)

(6.3) 6.4

Average Ratings

7.1 (6.8)

28.1

Average Age

26.3

182.1

Average Height (cm)

183.3

(1.1) 1.3

Shots pg

1.2 (1.2)

(27%) 18%

Aerial Duel Success

60% (58%)

(1.9) 1.7

Dribbles pg

0.7 (0.7)

(1.7) 1.9

Tackles pg

1.6 (1.7)

• 

[Stackzilla]

I recently found this site and it has more stats than Ive ever seen on soccer sites https://www.whoscored.com/

[frankyyv24]

Money on the Orenburg draw!

[Gaze73]

well, then get the f*ck out of here.

Thanks for proving my point. People here don't deserve good picks. 90% are trash talking losers who couldn't make a profit if their life depended on it.

[Stackzilla]

Thanks for proving my point. People here don't deserve good picks. 90% are trash talking losers who couldn't make a profit if their life depended on it.

Yea that's why I posted a draw winner today should've had 2 damn swedes attacked the goalie. I'll keep posting you tout wannabe

[QuantumLeap]

The main pattern is this: When everyone and their mother is on the fav, the value is gone and the dog isn't likely to win - that's why draw holds the most value, though I hate it when the huge dogs win because the fav couldn't even score one goal.

Thanks for the reply. Might be something to consider.

[Gaze73]

Yea that's why I posted a draw winner today should've had 2 damn swedes attacked the goalie. I'll keep posting you tout wannabe

Wow, congrats, one draw. Try hitting 40% at average odds 4 over 100 picks.

[kmarinouofm]

I once caught a fish this big <---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------->

[Stackzilla]

Your calling out the wrong one, 40% hahahahhaha try 80% these are only ones I've played and these are posted for anyone to see not on some spreadsheet that you could've made after the game is over. Challenge pick 5 draws in 5 days. You pick 5 draws and I'll pick 5 draws you tout wannabe

Sochaux/Ajaccio Draw bang it

Winner

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...eims-draw.html Winner

Incheon/Gwangju Draw +220 .5u -5/6 Last Gwangju home games ended in draw. 4/5 matches vs Incheon have ended in draws.

Winner

Since I've done well picking out draws, I'll be doing a Draw Play of the Day.

Amiens/Niort +233 .5u

I lost this one

Halftime scores at home 0 - 0 7 63.6% 4 - 1 1 9.1% 0 - 1 1 9.1% 3 - 0 1 9.1% 1 - 0 1 9.1%

Halftime scores away 0 - 0 4 40.0% 1 - 0 3 30.0% 0 - 1 2 20.0% 2 - 0 1 10.0%

SMASH THE HT DRAW LA HOME^ --------------------------THIS IS COLO AWAY^

I'm even hitting HT draws

Then there was this one yesterday when the goalie got attacked at the 89' and the game was abandoned was 1-1

Looking at another Draw opportunity in Sweden that I'm in on

Jonkopings/Oestersunds +240

Jonkopings 4 games in a row at home Win/Draw no loss and Oestersunds 6 away games in a row Draw/Loss no win

Home	Total	GOAL TYPES	Total	Away
8	17	Matches played	17	8
4	6	Equalizer goals scored	4	4
4	7	Goals giving the lead	10	3
1	9	Goals scored increasing/decreasing lead	7	1
1	2	Equalizer goals conceded	4	2
5	11	Goals giving the lead to the opponent	10	7
2	7	Goals conceded increasing/decr. lead	14	8

Home	Total	GOAL TYPES ANALYSIS	Total	Away
8	17	Matches played	17	8
0.50	0.41	Goals giving the lead per game * (1)	0.59	0.38
80%	55%	Ability to equalize * (2)	40%	57%
0.63	0.65	Goals giving lead to opponent p. game * (3)	0.59	0.88
25%	29%	Opponents' ability to equalize * (4)	40%	67%

Jonkopings Ostersunds FK Scores at home 1 - 1 4 50.0% 1 - 0 2 25.0% 3 - 2 1 12.5% 0 - 2 1 12.5% Scores away 1 - 1 2 25.0% 5 - 0 1 12.5% 3 - 3 1 12.5% 1 - 2 1 12.5% 3 - 1 1 12.5% 3 - 0 1 12.5% 0 - 0 1 12.5%

[Stackzilla]

I forgot about the winner in Russia it may not be 100 picks but it's a good start. I'm doing this with stats not some garbage pattern.

[O]

Stacks..... Gaze is pretty much the same person as UFC except Gaze is not a Monday morning QB like UFC. Just one who goes on some of the coldest streaks around.............

[QuantumLeap]

I forgot about the winner in Russia it may not be 100 picks but it's a good start. I'm doing this with stats not some garbage pattern.

Looking good!

[blackHIPPY]

good shit stacks

[Stackzilla]

Yo wannabe just hit another catch up you tout...thanks hippy

Ajax/Rostov Draw +270
Ajax/Rostov BTTS Yes

Both teams can score and are weak at protecting the lead. Ajax attacks down the wings are strong and Rostov doesn't defend well down the wings.
Rostov creates chances using through balls and Ajax defends through balls very poorly.

Rostov has many players who can score Azmoun (9g,2a last season Prem Lea), Poloz (7g,3a), Erokhin(6g,2a signed to Rostov), Noboa (4g,4a).

[Merkel]

Gaze still at it. Could have been rich by now if he didn't waste all his time trying to be a playa on an internet forum.

[Gaze73]

Your calling out the wrong one, 40% hahahahhaha try 80% these are only ones I've played and these are posted for anyone to see not on some spreadsheet that you could've made after the game is over. Challenge pick 5 draws in 5 days. You pick 5 draws and I'll pick 5 draws you tout wannabe

Then there was this one yesterday when the goalie got attacked at the 89' and the game was abandoned was 1-1

Who are you trying to impress? If you're so good make your own thread and make everyone rich. I'm currently having my picks proofed because I may have invented the best draw system in the world.

[yogohama]

Who are you trying to impress? If you're so good make your own thread and make everyone rich. I'm currently having my picks proofed because I may have invented the best draw system in the world.

Are you still here?
BYE!