As the bankroll has increased I will start testing the following unit/wager process:
1 unit
Pure value bet. Usually higher odds or an event I think that has slight chance of wining therefore it is worth a shot.
I will use this unit size a lot in live play.
3 units
Research + value + good confidence
This will be my top pics of the day.
10 units or higher
Research + value + high confidence on the event
These are my power plays, they are sporadic. When I place this bet is because there are major factors that influence my decision making such as Team performance difference, Line ups, financial issues with teams, environment, weather, altitude, traveling distance, tactics, desire result from each team, local news etc. I study very closely every aspect of the teams involved in the match. Usually you will see that this bets come from the Americas, some may come from Europe.
I am testing this to see if I am able to move to a new unit size, currently my unit size is $100.00 my goal is to move my unit size to $300, I will test it out until I feel comfortable.
There could be times when I post a different unit size such as 0.50 units in a live bet or 1.50 units pre-game, If you want to know how confident I am on a bet refer back to unit info above, this will allow you to figure how confident I may be in a bet. Example:
Live bet 0.50 could be place when Arsenal is playing @home an they are losing 1-2 and there is only 5 min left + stoppage time, odds could be close to 5 or 6 for another goal. My confidence to happen is not high 'cause of the time left but is an event that could happen and is worth the risk as Arsenal will continue attacking until the end.
Pre-match Marseille - Caen, Marseille sold 4 of their top players, morale is down, rumors of Bielsa leaving. The enviroment in Marseille is not good. Caen always plays well when they visit Marseille, they have incorporated couple of good signings in Midfield and attack. Caen smells blood in the water and they have beat Marseille in the past. I would place 1.50 units on Caen DBN @3.75 as I think Caen has a chance to get a win but I am not confident enough to lay 3 units on it.
My logic may not be the same as yours but I want to lay this out so you all understand how I pick the unit size for my bets.
As always follow at your own risk but always make sure you run the picks thought your system if you decide to follow any of my picks. Ultimately is your money so you should feel comfortable laying the money on any bet. And of course no one can win them all, so let's keep grinding and have a blast this season.
1 unit
Pure value bet. Usually higher odds or an event I think that has slight chance of wining therefore it is worth a shot.
I will use this unit size a lot in live play.
3 units
Research + value + good confidence
This will be my top pics of the day.
10 units or higher
Research + value + high confidence on the event
These are my power plays, they are sporadic. When I place this bet is because there are major factors that influence my decision making such as Team performance difference, Line ups, financial issues with teams, environment, weather, altitude, traveling distance, tactics, desire result from each team, local news etc. I study very closely every aspect of the teams involved in the match. Usually you will see that this bets come from the Americas, some may come from Europe.
I am testing this to see if I am able to move to a new unit size, currently my unit size is $100.00 my goal is to move my unit size to $300, I will test it out until I feel comfortable.
There could be times when I post a different unit size such as 0.50 units in a live bet or 1.50 units pre-game, If you want to know how confident I am on a bet refer back to unit info above, this will allow you to figure how confident I may be in a bet. Example:
Live bet 0.50 could be place when Arsenal is playing @home an they are losing 1-2 and there is only 5 min left + stoppage time, odds could be close to 5 or 6 for another goal. My confidence to happen is not high 'cause of the time left but is an event that could happen and is worth the risk as Arsenal will continue attacking until the end.
Pre-match Marseille - Caen, Marseille sold 4 of their top players, morale is down, rumors of Bielsa leaving. The enviroment in Marseille is not good. Caen always plays well when they visit Marseille, they have incorporated couple of good signings in Midfield and attack. Caen smells blood in the water and they have beat Marseille in the past. I would place 1.50 units on Caen DBN @3.75 as I think Caen has a chance to get a win but I am not confident enough to lay 3 units on it.
My logic may not be the same as yours but I want to lay this out so you all understand how I pick the unit size for my bets.
As always follow at your own risk but always make sure you run the picks thought your system if you decide to follow any of my picks. Ultimately is your money so you should feel comfortable laying the money on any bet. And of course no one can win them all, so let's keep grinding and have a blast this season.
