Season 2015-2016

[intermission]

Hope to see those big bets too haha love the portland LA and the mexico play

[afgballer56]

Ur a beast papa
Keep up the great work

[cogiditopapa]

Cheers all and there will be more power plays this season for sure! Mexico one was by far my biggest hit ever.

8/17

Nürnberg - 1860Munich
Over 2.5 @1.925 (1 unit)

Barcelona - AthleticBilbao
Over 1.5 1st half @1.80 (1 unit)

Liverpool - AFC
I think Liverpool can score 2 in this match, currently Pool TT over 1.5 is priced out @1.57 in BET365, I will wait until about 15 to 20 min during the game to try to catch the odds around 1.80 - 1.90.
I think pool will find the net around the 30 min mark. AFC will play counter, they will have their chance to score. Rodgers have worked very hard on his back line during pre-season so I think we will see a more secure pool in the back. AFC will taste what the EPL is like an I think Pool will do everything in their power to punish them.

[cogiditopapa]

LiveBetting

Liverpool - AFC
Liverpool TT over 1.5 @2.11 (1 unit) currently 0-0 25 min

[cogiditopapa]

LiveBetting

ACMilan - Perugia
ACMilan TT over 3.5 @2.10 (1 unit) current score 2-0 min 35

[JIBBBY]

7/3 to 8/16
61W-8P-75L
+102.80 units

Record
166W-33P-170L
+150.6061 units


Unit size: $100 = 1 unit
Starting Bankroll: $4,000.00
Current Profit = $15,606.10
Current Bankroll = $19,606.10

Time = 69 days (from 6/06/2015 to 8/16/2015)
wagers placed = 369
ROI = 390.1525 %
Winning rate = 44.986%

My goal was to reach the +50 units by July 30th.
Still a long season ahead and I have more time in my hands now.
So far I have been targeting higher odds than last year, this means that I will lose more often but I need a smaller winning rate to be profitable. Now that all major European leagues are starting I will probably adjust a few things as I think it may be necessary (unit size, odds approach, etc.) to raise the winning rate close to 54 - 55% which is my target (I took this percentage as a target after my last season).

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/soccer-betting/2931843-2014-2015-season-p28.html

My next goal will be to reach +200 units by Sept 30th.
I will update my record periodically as always. Remember this is still a part-time for me so many times I don't have time to answer or post right away but I will answer as soon as I am available. Be good forum and La Liga is about to start ....now that is exciting!

Stellar numbers Cogi!!!... Keep up the solid play...

[JIBBBY]

hey cogi, i'd like to start systematically following along...

it'd be a LOT easier to do so if you could give a short coded description of the competition involved for the matches (much like Rudeboy does...simple stuff like FRA, EUR, UCL, BRZ, MLS, etc...nothing fancy)

it's ur thread, so do as you see fit, just sayin' it'd cut down a lot on the eyeball wear'n'tear of anyone who wants to check further into the plays you post

Second that notion..

[fitguy67]

quik Q for the OP/thread-regulars...about bet-sizing...(A) or (B)

(A) it's always to RISK the stated units whatever the odds (the usual way when prices stated in euro-decimal as here)

(B) it's to RISK on the "plus money" plays at >=2.0 / but to WIN on the chalk plays at <2.0 (which is the usual way when prices are stated in american format such as in Rudeboy's thread)

I'd guess the answer is A, but want to be sure (the first syllable in "assume" and all that)

thanks guyz

[cogiditopapa]

Fit, I personally place the units I will bet beside the odds, I always state how many units I bet.
The odds are decimal, example:

Liverpool - AFC
Over 2.5 @2.10 [this are the odds] (1 unit) [this is the units I bet no matter the odds]

Hope this answer your question.

Thanks for your words JIBBBY. I will try.
Now the main reason why I don't add the country or league is because I think every soccer fan should know the name and the teams from all over the globe =) and the best way to learn them is scrolling through livescore.in. Please if you have any question let me know I will be more than glad to answer. Cheers

[cogiditopapa]

8/18

All games are from CONCACAF Champions league

LAGalaxy - Comunicaciones
Over 3 @1.60 (10 units)
Over 3.5 @2.08 (2.5 units)

Tigres - IsidroMetapan
Over 3.5 @1.70 (10 units)
Over 4.0 @2.07 (5 units)

Parlay: Totals odds @1.83 (20 units)
LAGalaxy - Comunicaciones over 2.5 @1.41
Tigres - IsidroMetapan over 2.5 @1.31

[fitguy67]

Fit, I personally place the units I will bet beside the odds, I always state how many units I bet.
The odds are decimal, example:

Liverpool - AFC
Over 2.5 @2.10 [this are the odds] (1 unit) [this is the units I bet no matter the odds]

think I got it...it's what i assumed from your decimal odds: by "bet" you mean risk or stake (no matter the odds involved), so
@2.10 (1u)=> risk 1u to win 1.10u
and
@1.80 (2u)==> risk 2u to win 1.60u (and NOT risk 2.5u to win 2u)
________

continued smashing of the books, cogidito

fukk, just noticed you're more than a little "interested" in both these games hitting at least 3 goals...
i'll tail heavier than i normally would to express solidarity on these

[intermission]

holy balls units

[cogiditopapa]

Ok. Let's see how it plays out.

[Aleeki]

So Papa, do you have 47.5 units invested on these two games tomorrow? Wowzers!! Is that like $4750?

If we are tailing do you suggest we go big too?

[cogiditopapa]

Bro, please steak what you are comfortable winning/losing. Remember that there is no such a thing as a guaranteed game, the probability of this events to happen are very likely after I completed my research that is the reason I feel comfortable steaking the units I placed.
I am steaking 27% of my bankroll which is not advisable under any circumstance but on the other hand this tourney and type of games are the ones that had boosted my bankroll considerably in the past.

Again please steak what you feel comfortable with winning/losing , risk/reward.

Cheers,

[afgballer56]

Lets hope tigres have some goals in them

[O]

How have they not scored? Should be 2-1,3-1, the way they have been peppering the goal!! Vamos!

[afgballer56]

I cant watch game its not on bet365
Nd im getting a lil nervous
Best of luck to all

[sjm5122]

Tigres are awful

[sjm5122]

Gifted a penalty and they miss lol

[O]

Let's go CSD....or Galaxy. Stop waiting for the 89th minute and let's hit this!!

[sjm5122]

Galaxy got the 4th, too bad tigres sucked bigtime tonight. Good stuff though and a nice profit

[intermission]

my night is saved

[cogiditopapa]

8/19

America - Ferreti
America TT over 3.5 @1.85 (2.50 units)
Over 4.5 @2.10 (2.5 units)

[cogiditopapa]

LiveBetting

America - Ferreti
Over 1.5 @2.10 (5 units)

[cogiditopapa]

8/20

SantaTecla - Municipal
Over 2.25 @2.05 (1 unit)

[O]

C'mon CSD or Santa! One for Papa!!!

[cogiditopapa]

Thanks O, let's keep grinding.

8/21

Sandhousen - FCHEidenheim
Over 2.5 @2.03 (1 unit)

[cogiditopapa]

Malaga - Sevilla
Over 2.5 @2.0 (1 unit)
Over 2.5 & BTTS @2.40 (0.5 units)

[cogiditopapa]

8/22

ManU - NewCastle
Over 3.0 @2.20 (1 unit)

Schalke04 - Darmstadt
Over 3.0 @2.05 (1 unit)

Parlay @6.218 (0.3490 units)
Koln - Wolfsburg over 2.5
Schalke04 - Darmstadt over 3.0
Hoffenheim - BayernLeverkusen over 2.5

[jontebond]

Hoffenheim vs Bayern munchen you mean? Or is It hannover vs Bayern Leverkusen?
f

[cogiditopapa]

Hannover.

[cogiditopapa]

8/23

LiveBetting
LA - NYC
Over 2.5 @2.10 (1 unit)

[cogiditopapa]

LiveBetting
SportingGijon - RealMadrid
Over 0.5 @1.65 (1 unit)

[cogiditopapa]

LveBetting
Levante - CeltaDeVigo
Under 1.5 @2.89 (1 unit)